Coasting is dangerous... |
Forget Mitt Romney's record of conservatism. Forget even
the concept of electability. Whether Mitt Romney can. Beat president Obama
doesn't just depend on what voters think of him, it depends on how much fight
he has in him. So far, it doesn't look like much.
With a massive war chest relative to the Republican field
and a strong infrastructure as well as the backing of the Republican
establishment both in and out of the media Mitt Romney has not yet had to break
a sweat to win an unprecedented two first states. On top of that, the
Republican field has been fighting each other for second place instead of
hitting the front runner (Mitt) and the liberal press has laid of Mitt in an
effort to both build up and save their powder for the one whom they see as the
eventual winner.
Electability? This is your choice Republicans?
Sure you have to choose from the available choices and
this is not a star-studded cast as far as options go. But despite all of the
weakness of his opponents, you can argue that solid conservative or hot-tempered
would both out-perform a candidate who when tested, didn't win and when not
tested did win. Make no mistake - facing Obama will be a formidable test.
Prior to 2008 Romney's history includes a loss to
Kennedy, a win in a run for governor of Massachusetts for which he did not seek
re-election, and probably wouldn't have won. That's not a track record of a
champion. He could not have beaten Ted Kennedy in the first race, and he claims
he was running to make a point. That's an expensive point. But let's discount
that and look at the rest of his record; a win, a failure to win the nomination
in 2008 and now a probable coast from the start to finish of the race.
Again I ask - is that a battle-tested, proven winner? I
wouldn't call it that myself. If indeed other candidates start to hit Mitt
Romney during the primaries, they are doing both him and conservative voters a
favor. Not only does it test Romney for the upcoming general election battle, it
also helps ensure that voters are getting what they are voting for and there
are no surprises – now, or after it’s too late.
The added bonus is that by getting things like the supposed Bain Capital
‘issue’ off the table before Team Obama has a chance to spring it on the
American public with their own spin (which would include something like “look,
an evil capitalist!”). Remember when
Obama ran in 2008 a lot of things like his association with Reverend Wright had
been brought up by Hillary Clinton long before conservatives raised the same
flag in the fall. By that time the
stories had long been discounted as irrelevant by so many people that the
complaint about who Obama surrounded himself with no longer carried any weight
with voters. The same can be said for
Mitt Romney. Attacking him now, if he
weathers the storm, will take the teeth out of a later attack.
It also gives others a chance to try to win the
nomination (I’m still not a Romney Kool Aid drinker), and for those who do back
Romney, it does not allow him to coast from start to finish. Someone who coasts the whole way, never
wins. He may win the nomination but he
won’t win the presidency unless he works harder to get there.
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