November 8, 2019

Friday Musical Interlude - U2

By 1991, the band U2 had established themselves as the biggest band in rock music at the time.  One was a huge hit for them that year.

Friday Musical Interlude - No More I Love You's

Annie Lennox, 1995.

November 7, 2019

Kudos to Tim Pool for reporting this

Leaked emails expose impeachment and Joe Biden, Trump may have been right about corruption the whole time. Well yes, we know that. But progressive leaning Tim Pool, who deserves credit for being a truth seeker, deserves acknowledgement for point all of this out:

Project Veritas Strikes Again

Yes, I'm a little late to the party on the latest Project Veritas expose of ABC News' suppression of it's own Jeffery Epstein expose.  It's important that this gets shared as much as possible, so here's my part in reposting it.

Yale, Moody's and Oxford Economic Polls Show President Trump Winning in Landslide in 2020

These are good signs but I'm worried we are getting a bit overconfident on the right. We should be treating this election as a tough battle coming our way if we really want to win it.

Stuart Varney: Warren has made the Democrats unelectable

Stuart Varney argues that Elizabeth Warren has dragged the Democrats so far left, they have become unelectable. 



While there's a point to be made there, I'm worried that a lot of conservatives and Trump supporters have convinced themselves that a 2020 Trump victory is a foregone conclusion.  That's not a healthy way to approach the election. In fact it's dangerous.

Gingrich: American businesses should exit China

Newt Gingrich is not wrong.

Tom Shillue parodies Adam Schiff

This creeps for itself.

November 1, 2019

Friday Musical Interlude - Linger

The Cranberries single Linger from their debut album in 1993.

October 29, 2019

The Katie Hill Throuple scandal and downfall

I have tried to stay away from this one but Democratic Congresswoman Katie Hill sewed the seeds of her own downfall, and that should not be forgotten as she goes about blaming conservatives.



In case you were unaware of the whole throuple scandal, Stefan Molyneux explains it and follows up with the perfect reaction. I mean, perfect.

October 22, 2019

Surprising Canadian Election Results

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau won re-election last night, winning an election he had no business being close to winning given all of his scandals (not to mention his glaring, drama teacher phoniness).  But the polls between the Liberals and Conservative Party of Canada were within fractions of a percentage point of each other, and it could have gone either way.  So the result is not a shock, but there are some very interesting takeaways nonetheless.

It's worth noting that the Liberals won a minority government.  That means a snap election could be called at any time if a non-confidence motion is agreed to by the other parties.  Typically minority governments last less than two years.

But the results are interesting for two specific reasons. Here are the results as of this morning:


The first reason that this is unusual is clear: the Conservative party won the largest vote share but not the most seats in parliament.  People in the United States who are familiar with the popular vote versus the electoral college results will be familiar with the phenomenon.  There are groups in Canada, mainly far-left-leaning who will take the opportunity to point out that our voting system is not fair.  It's not in the Conservative Party's interest to join this fight.  Parties in Canada rarely garner 40% of the popular vote.  The Liberals (socialist lite) and New Democrats (socialist) would form coalition governments in Canada forever if there was some form of proportional representation.

Besides which, these results are rare:
It marks only the second time in Canada’s history that a governing party will take power with such a low share of the vote. David Moscrop, a political theorist at the University of Ottawa, tweeted that “the last and only time a party has formed government with less than 35 percent of the national popular vote was John A. Macdonald in 1867—with 34.8 percent.”

...Even more unusual in Monday night’s vote, it appeared the Liberals were not even the first place party in terms of absolute number of votes.
Elections Canada official website pointed out how rare this is:
...A party forming a government may receive a smaller share of the popular vote but still win more seats than its principal competing party. This has happened three times since Confederation: in 1957, 1962, and 1979. In 1925, the Liberal government continued in office although it won both fewer seats and fewer votes than the Conservatives.
There's another interesting result.  Party support is highly regionalized.  The Atlantic provinces are predominantly Liberal (though less so than in the last election).  Quebec is predominantly  Bloc Quebecois (a regional party focused mostly on provincial issues).  Ontario, the most populous and central geographically province,  is typically split between conservative (suburban and rural) and liberal (urban) voters and is the real battleground.  It's also where the socialist NDP find support.

The West is predominantly very conservative except right on the coast where there is socialist and liberal support.  The far north has very little representation in parliament but it is split between liberal and socialist support.

The regionalization has been a growing trend over the last decades and it might have reached the point where Ontario becomes the battleground province and the focus of elections going forward.  Again this is similar to typical U.S. elections where battleground states garner the majority of election efforts to the detriment of other areas.

The short term takeaways are obvious for the Conservative Party of Canada - it has grown voter share but not efficiently.  It needs to focus on growing support in suburban Ontario. It can take some comfort in the fact that it won a plurality of the vote, beating the liberals in that regard.  It must look for openings to work with other parties to force another election sooner rather than later (the caveat being it's got to build it's regional support smartly in the meantime).

More Trudeau is not a good thing for Canada, but it looks like we will have to deal with it for a while.

October 21, 2019

Trudeau's last days?

Today there is a national election in Canada.  Justin "black face" Trudeau has been plagued with scandals (from political interference in business, to multiple black face incidents, to ministers leaving due to his treatment of women in the political party), but he has somehow managed to rebound in the polls over the last month.  There is a chance that the Conservative Party of Canada could re-emerge victorious after one term of Liberal leadership but the polling all indicates a tight race between the Conservative and Liberal parties.  

All the other political parties have reverted to form as minor players with minimal representation.  But here's the problem - for Conservatives to win, they must win an outright majority of seats.  The NDP, a truly socialist party, and the Green Party would be more than happy to align with the Liberals to thwart a conservative minority government.   Should the conservatives win less than 50% +1 seats in parliament, it's very likely Canada would have a coalition government between the Liberals and NDP (and the Green Party if necessary).  The Bloc Quebecois will not win many seats but an alignment with conservatives is unlikely in any scenario other than where it would give a slim minority and make the separatist party the power brokers in the next parliament.  other party the PPC, which is a populist/libertarian leaning party might align with the conservatives but it's not clear they will win any seats at all.

I think like with the 2016 election in the U.S., the polls are off and while the Liberals might win a majority (a long shot), a minority (possible), or the Conservatives could win a majority (also a long shot) it's more likely the Conservatives win a minority and are ousted by a Liberal-NDP coalition.

As much as I hope these are Trudeau's last days, and they should be, I think sadly, they aren't.

October 17, 2019

Continuing CNN exposure via Project Veritas.

You can find Part 2 here and Part 1 here.

CNN staff admit they are leftists.

Pacific Garbage Patch alarmists' alarmism

I'm not about to make excuses for the Pacific Garbage Patch being 600,000 square miles of garbage floating in the North Pacific.  It's something that should not be there.  But I do find it alarming that when you see videos about it or read stories about it, they are filled with alarmism.  Take for example the video below.

Let me preface it by pointing out the following. 600,000 square miles represents 0.94% of the surface area of the Pacific Ocean.  Now watch when they show the size of it in their graphics.  Yes, 600,000 square miles is more than twice the size of Texas, but if you put Texas in the Pacific ocean it is miniscule.  Watch how they depict it. 



It's alarmism from alarmists, designed to make you panic.  When you panic you are more likely to accept their radical solutions.

It's also worth pointing out where the garbage is predominantly coming from;
But specifically, scientists say, the bulk of the garbage patch trash comes from China and other Asian countries.

This shouldn't be a surprise: Overall, worldwide, most of the plastic trash in the ocean comes from Asia. In fact, the top six countries for ocean garbage are China, Indonesia, the Philippines, Vietnam, Sri Lanka and Thailand, according to a 2015 study in the journal Science.
China mostly.  The study goes on to say that the United States contributes "contributes as much as 242 million pounds of plastic trash to the ocean every year". REALLY?  That amounts to 121,000 tons per year.  Elsewhere in the article it says the patch is only 88,000 tons.

That math doesn't work.  There are serious flaws with this 'study' as well as the journalist(s) responsible for reporting it, who cannot check basic math.

Another fact. According to PBS the patch weighs 87,000 tons.  That's a lot.  Yes, it needs to be addressed.  No, it's not actually that much compared to the size of the Pacific Ocean. 87,000 tons over 600,000 square miles is 0.145 tons (or 290 pounds) per square mile of the patch. Imagine a 300 lb. man floating in a square mile of ocean.

Put another way, the Pacific Ocean represents 46% of the world's ocean surface.  Given that "The ocean accounts for 0.022 percent of the total weight of earth, weighing an estimated 1,450,000,000,000,000,000 short tons (1 short ton = 2,000lbs)", that means there are 667,000,000,000,000,000 short tons of water in the Pacific Ocean.  You know what percentage of the ocean that garbage patch represents?

0.000000000013%

Yes, we should not pollute the oceans. But should we panic?  Should we spend billions cleaning up what is mostly Asia's mess?  No.  We should demand that they stop.  And we should not feel so much guilt or blame ourselves.


America as an energy exporter

So this is happening, and good thing it is.

GM UAW deal is good for America.

So says the president of Toyota North America.

October 16, 2019

More CNN uncovered

CNN continues to be exposed by Project Veritas:

Pelosi leaves, meeting become productive

Nancy Pelosi claims president Trump had a meltdown during meeting on Syria.  She left the meeting.  Afterwards it became productive.




Let's face it Pelosi is a rambling, politically motivated hack who is more interested in a creative soundbite than a meaningful dialogue and negotiation.

Evidence of the nefariousness of YouTube

Tim Pool notices how his videos are being suppressed.  He can't explain it, but he does see it.  And he doe discuss what he thinks is going on.

WalkAway Wednesday

Another story of departure:

Anti-war liberals (including the media) want more war in Syria.

President Trump gives liberals what they wanted when Bush was president.  Now they hate him for that too.  So what does the president do?  He fires back.


I understand wanting to support America's allies. Conservatives understand and generally support that notion too.  But president Trump is more aligned with the libertarian viewpoint (e.g. Rand Paul).  He is also being consistent.  America first also means with respect to military activities too.

While I lean more towards working with allies who are willing to work with America, I can understand the president's viewpoint.  It's not ideal in my opinion, but I get where he is coming from.

The anti-war liberals who want to stay in Syria to help the Kurds have a consistency problem that I cannot resolve on their behalf.  Clearly Orange Man Bad trumps every other consideration for them and if the president did not pull out they would have the same level of horror with his decision.

CNN exposed by Project Veritas (part 2)

I shared part 1 here.

October 15, 2019

Glenn Beck helps expose American ambassador Yovanovitch blocked entry for Trump investigation

More information that needs to get pushed into the conversation because the mainstream media will ignore it otherwise.

Via Glenn Beck

John Solomon breaks down the timeline: starting last year, several Ukraine officials working under former Prosecutor General Lutsenko raised alarms concerning the conduct of US Ambassador to Ukraine, Marie Yovanovitch. They say not only was she meddling in Ukraine domestic affairs, trying to control who the government there could and couldn't prosecute, but that Joe Biden was also up to something fishy concerning his son, Hunter, and Burisma. They tried to bring it to the attention of American politicians, but could never get the visas they needed to travel to America. Why? You guessed it...Yovanovitch blocked their visa applications from ever going further than her desk. And this all happened BEFORE Giuliani ever touched ground there.


This, if verifiable, is criminal behavior.

Project Veritas exposes CNN

More from James O'Keefe's Project Veritas, exposing CNN bias this time.  I share these because YouTube makes it hard for people to know about conservative news and the mainstream media of course smears it as fake news, but this is information that is credible.  It needs to be shared to get knowledge out there.

October 14, 2019

Bannon thinks Hillary is in the race for 2020

Steve Bannon is a bright guy, but I think he's wrong here.  She's a two time loser (first to Obama then to Trump, not to mention probably also Sanders in between).  She would not go far in the primaries let a lone a Trump rematch.

Then again, she is a little bit out of touch.

Liz Warren falsely attacks Facebook

...and I wouldn't be surprised if Facebook knew about this ahead of time.  After all Zuckerberg has begged to be regulated.

October 11, 2019

Debt problem is not a Trump tax cut problem

Stuart Varney breaks it down, it's not a revenue issue, it's the spending that is the problem:

Friday Musical Interlude - Rodriguez

From 1971, the song Cause by Rodriguez.

NBA team kicks out pro Hong Kong fans from game.

Is this the NBA trying to avoid getting into politics the way the NFL was sucked into it by Colin Kaepernick? Maybe they see it that way but most people see it as the NBA capitulating to communist China.



They have a lot of financial interest in China, and businesses like the NBA have been playing by the rules that were set out for them.  After pro Hong Kong tweets by Houston Rockets general manager Daryl Morey, the NBA commissioner grovelled to China in apology before partially walking that back after a flood of criticism.

The NBA finds themselves in the spotlight and trying to balance their financial interests in China with free speech.  Here's the problem.,  The NBA is trying to avoid committing to anything and hoping it will all go away.  The non-committal is de facto capitulation.  They need to come down either way - as pro-China or as the American way; pro freedom (ergo pro Hong Kong).

American values have not spread to China due to ridiculously pro-China trade liberalization.  Liberals argued for doing that with the Soviet Union to liberalize that system.  That's not what happened.  Ronald Reagan spent the U.S.S.R. into dust.  Peace, through strength.  President Trump is doing the same thing now - making the fight economic.

Yes, there is disruption to companies like the NBA.  But so too others like Apple.  Adapt or die.  Americans will not, or at least should not tolerate any company that is willing to get into bed with a totalitarian, oppressive regime like communist China.  If they won't do it on their own, maybe the rules governing trade with China need to be made more punitive.  Dealing with China is an existential necessity.

October 10, 2019

Devin Nunes is genius

There are few political pitbulls in the Republican party, but Devin Nunes is one of them.  Better still, he's an effective fighter.  Best of all, he's a genius.  The GOP needs more like him.

Here's why he's a genius:

Boycott those companies who are bowing to China over Hong Kong

I'm not a supporter of boycotts per se, but I will not support Blizzard or the NBA because they are caving to communist China instead of supporting those desiring freedom in Hong Kong.  I'm not suggesting that you do the same...per se.

Walking towards president Trump

Brandon Straka was the founder of the the #WalkAway movement where people share their stories and reasons for  walking away from the Democratic party.  It's become a movement.

But Brandon Straka did not walk directly towards president Trump.  That is until he saw this:

October 9, 2019

Moderate Democrats poised to lose, lose, lose in 2020

Kiss congress goodbye Democrats.  Impeachment will be your doom.



Addendum: Moderate Democrats are not a real thing anymore.  Sure Democrats in moderate districts are real, and that's who is in danger now.

Disgruntled Mueller did not get the job

President Trump points out that Mueller did not get the FBI Director job he clearly applied for (and lied about under testimony).

Ellen Degeneres has class

A few years back on Twitter I was unfriended by Ellen Degeneres.  It didn't crush me, I may have tweeted something that offended her (or someone on her staff in charge of her Twitter account).  I figured that she friended me based on something I posted on my blog and shared on Twitter and then unfriended me later for the same reason.  I assumed it was because it was a conservative view that I had shared.

But apparently she's bigger than that, classy even:



Just an aside, George Bush is not a truly conservative Republican. He's a Republican for sure, but conservative? Not so much. Nevertheless it was classy of her to be kind and/or friendly with someone who does not share her views and who 10 years ago was considered by the left as the most evil man on the planet.

Hillary Clinton

Where has Hillary Clinton been? Pretending she is the president. Ben Shapiro breaks down her comments on the Ukraine scandal.

October 7, 2019

Donald Trump: tough guy

The country needs a tough guy as president.  I like this ad.

Adam Schiff may have actually talked directly to the "whistle blower"

By whistle blower I mean CIA insider planted to trap president Trump.  And the speculation that he may have known is something I have suspected is the case.  That said, at this point it is just speculation.



Climate activists are pawns - an economics lesson

The world is going to end, soon, unless we stop greenhouse gas emissions entirely, and soon. This is what climate activists are demanding. But those emissions primarily come from manufacturing and energy production.  Climate emissions have skyrocketed in China and India while having declined in the United States*.  That's not uncorrelated to offshoring of manufacturing jobs to Asia. They are pawns.

The establishment wealthy want to offshore jobs to countries where they can pay 70 cents a day instead of $100 a day.  They are the same ones arguing for free trade and against tariffs on China because they say it is bad for consumers.  True, prices would be higher but it does not matter to a consumer if  they don't have a job.  It's as hard to afford $10 for pants as $50 for pants when you are broke.

It's also true that free trade is a good thing for all parties.  Except what is being passed of as free trade really isn't free trade.  Market restrictions in China means that they have free access to our markets but we have highly restricted access to their markets. Further the companies have an easy way to move production and therefore jobs) to cheap labor countries, but you as a producer of labor do not have the same freedom of movement if you are willing to work for less.   Even smaller businesses do not have the same mobility of labor options.  A small dairy farmer or manufacturer can't just move production to China.  Free trade would be truly borderless for all (which is not entirely without it's pitfalls).

So these wealthy business owners have distinct advantages over their competitors and consumers.  They have created the situation where they continue to gain wealth at the expense of jobs and smaller, weaker competitors.  Why would they want that to change?  That's why so many wealthy support climate change activism.

If you are a climate activist, unless you are a billionaire producing items to sell in China and selling them in the Western world, you are a pawn and working against your own self interest.  It behooves you to investigate how global warming climate change activism began.  You'll find it's rooted in socialism (and it's attempt to destroy capitalism through whatever means possible) and married tightly to mega-corporations leveraging the marriage of free trade and climate activism to take advantage of a gullible public to enrich themselves.

*Energy production has already been changed from coal to natural gas and nuclear power in the United States in significant proportions.  This is a large part of why emissions have declined (the other being jobs disappearing).

Mitt Romney considering kneecapping president Trump

Mitt Romney is mulling over a primary challenge to president Trump.
Romney has re-emerged, as he does occasionally, to be the self-appointed voice of morality. He slammed President Trump’s behavior during the phone call to Ukraine’s President Zelensky as “wrong and appalling”.

...While Romney is clutching his pearls over Trump’s phone call, I haven’t seen a tweet criticizing Rep. Adam Schiff for lying about contact with the whistleblower who filed the complaint that opened up the investigation into the phone call. Even the Washington Post gave that four Pinocchios. That’s the problem with Romney – he’s too busy criticizing a Republican president to criticize Democrats.
That's just a #NeverTrump attempt to kneecap the president. Mitt Romney cannot win a general election and he has exactly zero percent probability of beating president Trump in a primary. So what's his end game? Either Mitt Romney is so insulated from reality in his #NeverTrump circle with the likes of Bill Kristol that he thinks he can win, or else he's hoping he does enough damage to allow a Democrat to beat president Trump in the general election. Either way, it's not going to get him anywhere.

October 5, 2019

Saturday Learning Series - Geography (Madagascar)

Madagascar is more than a kids movie:


The flag:

The Joker vs. SJWs

The new Joker movie apparently is very well done, and social justice warriors hate it.

Bernie Sanders is sicker than we thought

The headline applies to his policy ideas obviously but this relates to his recent heart issues and the classic Friday news dump style of the real information being released:

October 4, 2019

Climate change is way bigger than you think

By way bigger, I mean way beyond humans having any sort of consequential impact.  The author of this video does not seek to dispute the impact of humans on climate change.  However, the evidence he presents, kind of does that anyway.  



I've posted other videos years ago that actually quantify the impact of the Milankovitch cycles, H20 etc. on the climate relative to human activity and it turns out we are relatively insignficant.

Greta Thunberg Is a Fraud

The story behind Greta Thunberg - why she's a climate change media complex creation:

Phony Impeachment 2, like many sequels, sucks

Phony Impeachment 2, the sequel to the first phony impeachment flop, sucks even worse than the original.  

Let's see, a CIA agent, a registered Democrat gets assigned to the White House and shortly after the rules were loosened dramatically (to the point of hearsay) on what is required as evidence for whistle blowing, the whistle blower talks to Adam Schiff et. al. and submits a complaint against the president.
Nothing to see here folks:



Post faux-impeachment machinations the media goes into full tilt impeachment hysteria, completely ignoring some profound evidence (including an admission by the man himself) that Joe Biden was doing exactly what they are accusing the president of doing. They ignored the fact that what they are calling quid pro quo from the president occurred after the president had long since suspended aid to Ukraine. They are ignoring the fact that the president of the Ukraine when asked, said he felt no pressure whatsoever.

Nothing to see here folks. Let us tell you what really happened and trust us.

It's no wonder the president is not going to cooperate with Congress on the inquiry without a vote on whether to proceed with an impeachment inquiry (which is an established norm). He's learned that cooperation does absolutely nothing when dealing with Democrats other than getting them to double down.

Friday Musical Interlude - The Cars

Another member of this excellent band died recently (Rick Ocasek).  The Cars had a string of memorable hits through the late 70's and early 80's.  This one, from their 1978 debut album, Good Times Roll only peaked at 41 on Billboard but is an instantly recognizable classic.

October 3, 2019

Democrats' final tactic - silencing opponents

This is real folks.  Democrat presidential candidate Kamala Harris wants to ban president Trump from Twitter.  Do liberals and progressives understand how evil this is?


Don't forget Maxine Waters wants the president thrown in jail - in solitary confinement.  Probably without a trial.  She said so on Twitter.  You remember when conservatives all freaked out and demanded that Twitter ban her for it?  No, me either.

Did Adam Schiff perjure himself?

Adam Schiff lied throughout the Mueller probe claiming he knew stuff that never materialized.  He lied about what president Trump said during his call with Ukrainian president. He actually made stuff up and was called out on it.  And then he said he had no contact with the whistle blower in the Ukraine discussion between the Ukrainian president and president Trump.

It turns out Adam Schiff's office may have even helped the whistle blower craft the complaint.



Schiff is a compulsive liar. He is sleazy.  He may not be treasonous but he has done things that are not legal and he needs to be removed from his Chairmanship and congress. 

#Walkaway Wednesday

The #WalkAway campaign has been around for over a year.  Interestingly it's getting harder to find on YouTube (I never subscribed) so when I cam back to link to another video, it was not as easy as last time.  Nevertheless, here's another personal account:

A reply to Greta Thunberg from 9 months ago (before she became famous in America)

Common sense lacking in the media hysteria over a misinformed, abused young girl:

October 2, 2019

Rumors of Republican Trump support's death are greatly exaggerated.

Not just exaggerated, completely wrong. Someone named Janan Ganesh seems to be claiming that support for president Trump is actually quite shallow and Republicans could easily abandon him during impeachment proceedings.

Unicorns.

How do I know? Record fundraising by the president:
Blockbuster: Trump, RNC Raise Combined $125 Million In Third Quarter, A New Record
How big is this number? When Obama ran for reelection in 2011, he and the DNC managed a combined $70 million in the third quarter.
Does that sound like any kind of scenario where Republicans (RNC) would be politically suicidal enough to abandon ship? 

If Hillary Clinton jumps into the 2020 race, can she win?

Very short answer: NO.

Short answer: Not even the Democrat primary.

Slightly long answer: Not a chance - even though the establishment (including Never Trump Republicans) wants her (even more than they would settle for Biden), no one else does.  She's toxic - anti-Hillary voters will flock to Trump and/or any other Democrat candidate to make sure she doesn't win the presidency or even the nomination.  If Hillary enters the Democrat race, the race will settle into Biden and Warren more quickly than you can imagine.

Long answer:  she doesn't deserve one at this point. Get back to me if she announces an intention to run - probably the day before the first primary if she's running (so as to continue to avoid any potential scrutiny).

This is not to say she isn't going to run.  On that issue I am less sure, even though I doubt it.  Nevertheless, here she is on The View talking 2020 and trying to sound better than the rest of us.  Note she mentions it's still early.  Watch only if you have a strong stomach.


In summary, she has no chance.  She's still bitter, still feeling entitled (she has not learned from being beaten by both Obama and Trump that you actually have to work for it to win it) and neither the left or the right are interested in an establishment candidate at this time.  She has no visible path to the presidency and even if there was, it's a very, very, very long shot.

For that reason I don't think she is really in it to run, just to sell books.  Either that or she is really as deluded as we thought in 2016 and before that.

Trump economy vs. Obama economy

How is president Trump not a shoe-in for re-election in 2020 with this?

Is Bernie Sanders going to have to drop out?

According to Breitbart, Bernie Sanders is facing a medical issue:
Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) underwent emergency heart surgery, installing two stents in an artery, and has canceled all campaign events “until further notice,” his campaign announced Wednesday morning.

Sanders’ Senior Advisor Jeff Weaver said in an emailed statement that Sanders, 78, “experienced some chest discomfort” during a campaign event on Tuesday. A medical evaluation determined that he had a blockage in an artery, and two stents were “successfully inserted.”

Weaver said Sanders conversing and “in good spirits.” However, they are canceling all of his campaign activities until further notice.
It's well within the realm of possibility that Sanders will recover fully, but the question is whether his campaign can do the same. As a real contender, he can't afford an indefinite suspension of events and media face time. It puts his campaign at risk if he misses a weak. Further, there is an immediate perception problem. Voters will wonder, fairly, "is he physically up to the job?" It's not necessarily fair because he could recover fully but the perception may not follow suit. It's a fair perception because you cannot really know, but it is not necessarily fair to Bernie at the same time.

I am no fan of socialist Bernie, but it is an unfortunate development for his campaign. I suspect this is something that drops him back down to the top of the second tier - leaving Warren, Biden as the only contenders in the first tier. Sanders could find himself between that tier with support in the 20% plus range and ahead of Buttigieg and Harris in the 5% range. This could definitely drop Sanders from a barely top tier 16% down to 10%, clearly falling out of the top tier, away from potential recovery to a true contender.

That leaves Warren and Biden in the front runner category. If the Biden scandal pans out this becomes a Trump vs. Warren 2020 general election. Sanders' fellow socialist Elizabeth Warren has an opportunity to seize the nomination by the throat at this point. She will need to go after Biden to do it. It is interesting because with the next debate she will have to decide whether to go after the potential Ukraine scandal involving Biden, or to take the "high road" among Democrats and ignore the scandal.

September 30, 2019

A Westerner living in China, has his view changed

An interesting take from a Westerner who moved to China with initial enthusiasm.  Watch as it gets replaced by disillusionment.

Bannon and Lewendowski redux?

This is interesting:


If this is true, I don't think it's just about impeachment, it's about getting them back for the re-election in 2020. The point mentioned about the ad buy by the RNC only underscores that.  The impeachment inquiry is going to go absolutely nowhere, so why bring back Bannon and Lewendowski for that?

It's also not a sign of Trump being nervous.  This was a winning team in 2016, so why not reunite?

China going for the communist duration record

Clampdown in Hong Kong
The Soviet Union lasted from December 30, 1922 until December 26, 1991. That's just a few days short of 69 years. Tomorrow, China will have reached 70 years of communist rule. Perhaps the Communist Party of China has some trepidation that there's a shelf life for communism beyond which the inevitable decay or overthrown of communism happens within a country. Frankly I've wondered that myself; how long can communism last? How long can a democracy or a representative republic last for that matter? But in china's case you can tell they have that sort of calamity in mind. Why else would they be so worried about the protests in Hong Kong? Sure it's a smear on their supposedly perfect rule, but the bigger picture has to be about maintaining communism. Xi Jinping has not only cracked down on drones, drinking or dissent but since his leadership, China's liberalization towards freedoms has been forced into a hard reverse.

China has made a lot of progress in the last 40 years, particularly since the late 1990's, but now they are reversing course because while they want the success, they also want iron fist rule:
The miraculous quality of China’s achievements makes what is happening in the country today especially tragic—and alarming. Under the guise of fighting corruption, President Xi Jinping is methodically dismantling virtually every one of the reforms that made China’s spectacular growth possible over the last four decades. In the place of a flawed but highly successful system, he is erecting a colossal cult of personality focused on him alone, concentrating more power in his hands than has any Chinese leader since Mao Zedong.

In the short term, Xi’s efforts may make China seem less corrupt and more stable. But by destroying many of the mechanisms that made the Chinese miracle possible, Xi risks reversing those gains and turning China into just another police state (think a gigantic, more open version of North Korea): inefficient, ineffective, brittle, and bellicose. And that should worry not just China’s 1.4 billion citizens but the rest of us as well.
There is no historical precedent for fascist rule and sustained economic success, the same is true for communism and sustained economic success.  China and Xi clearly believe not only that they are destined to become the sole superpower down the road, outlasting previous communist regimes by a very long time, but they also believe they can prove that oppressive rule and economic success can coexist. Make no mistake, if it's possible then China is the place it can be done.  But it's not possible really.

What has kept China going is a series of blunders by the West. 

  • 1971 -The U.N. United Nations recognized the People’s Republic of China, giving it the permanent Security Council seat formerly held by Chiang Kai-shek’s Republic of China on Taiwan (since 1945).
  • 1972 - Richard Nixon visited China to improve relations, trying to leverage the rising nation to help offset the Soviet Union in Asia.
  • 1979 - Jimmy Carter granted China full diplomatic recognition, acknowledged mainland China's One China principle and severed normal ties with Taiwan.
  • 1984 - Ronald Reagan, while supporting the Taiwanese morally, agreed to sell weapons to China, following the Nixonian premise of countering Soviet Russia.
  • 1989 - George H.W. Bush witnesses the Chinese Tiananmen Square massacre and suspends sales of weapons to China but takes no further action.
  • 1993 - Bill Clinton launched a policy of “constructive engagement” with China.
  • 2000 - Bill Clinton commited one of the most egregious errors in China policy by granting China permanent, normal trade relations with the United States and setting the stage for China to join the WTO (World Trade Organization) the following year.
  • 2005 - George W. Bush recognized China as an emerging power and in the post 9/11 world, tried to leverage China to use its influence with rogue nations such as North Korea, Iran and Sudan into the international system. 
  • 2012- Barack Obama faced with China's unfair and often unlawful trade practices (including currency manipulation, intellectual property theft and destructive laws towards foreign companies who want to operate in China, it's protective moves towards rare earth metals) complained to the WTO but does nothing else. 
  • 2014 - Barack Obama in the face of Chinese hacking into U.S. government and business computers, had indictments against Chinese government hackers, but did nothing else, allowing China's communist government to continue hacking, despite the indictments. That same year, Obama signed a climate agreement with China, an agreement China was in no hurry to implement on their side.
  • 2015 - Barack Obama did nothing when China started construction of islands in the South China Sea, clearly intended for military use in the disputed waters.
  • 2017 - Donald Trump reaffirmed the nation's One China policy after flirting with recognizing Taiwan once again.

Every president since Nixon has made mistakes - strategic blunders in fact. But president Trump, despite softening on Taiwan in 2017, has since tried to reverse the nation's course, and fairly aggressively. It's not just the tariffs, it's also the 2018 announcement by VP Mike Pence that the United States will treat China as a competitor and not a partner and condemning the actions of China in the South China Sea and interference in American elections. Further in 2018, America's partner Canada arrested a Huawei executive for industrial espionage and the United States banned Huawei from the 5G developments in the United States because of potential spyware embedding. Just this August, 2019 has designated China a s a currency manipulator.

Make no mistake, communist China is a bad actor. They mistreat their own people, they lie to them. They cheat and lie to trade partners and are acting aggressively in the South China Sea, clearly with their eyes on Taiwan. They also have eyes on Africa and other nations with their insidious Belt and Road Initiative.  President Trump's approach is some unpleasant medicine, but it is completely necessary at this point, before China becomes unstoppable.  True they may not be able to sustain their iron fist communism long term, but they are trying to do just that.  Ignoring it is not an option because as I said before, if there is any country suited to despotism, communism and economic power simultaneously, China is it. 

September 26, 2019

Breaking down the Trump Ukrainian transcript

Every second spent on this is a waste of time and Democrats know that.   They want that.  They don't seem to care or understand that Joe Biden is going to be collateral damage. Mark Dice dissects it for us though.

Dinesh D'Souza on why president Trump won, and can win again

This is an interesting take on president Trump's victory in 20016 (and 2020) with a health side implication of politics versus economics.  

Adam Schiff is in La La Land

Adam Schiff makes up a conversation between president Trump and Ukranian president Volodymyr Zelensky. He makes it up! This fool is the House Intelligence Committee Chair! He has become the very embodiment of fake news. It's so bad he later has to explain himself as 'parodying' the conversation in the transcript. Too late though, the damage is done because CNN has their fake news story.


September 25, 2019

Is Greta Thunberg a victim of child abuse?

An interesting discussion follows on child climate activist (and non-expert) Greta Thunberg and whether her parents have mentally abused her.  



The Left thinks of this girl as a golden goose - she's a child, she's frightened and she suffers from a form of autism.  The theory is that conservatives cannot refute her arguments because it will automatically come across as insensitive and cruel.   

But you can separate her argument from her as a person, which is a must. Further, you can discuss whether she is a victim of mental child abuse without it being about attacking her.  Both are important to do.

Bernie Sanders wants a national enemies list

A wealth registry so we all know who is rich and who we can ridicule and blame for everything.  This is truly sickening.

Democrats have lost their minds

If the Democrats wanted Biden out of the race for the Democratic nominee for president in 2020, they have done brilliantly.  Otherwise, they've stepped in it (and by it, I mean it looks like they have stepped right into a trap).



If Nancy Pelosi wants to be known as the leader of a Congress bent on getting president Trump but not only failing miserably but failing to address any real problem that is currently facing the nation (e.g. illegal immigration, the opioid crisis, China, Iran, etc.), then she is succeeding magnificently.  Otherwise she is ensuring a Republican route of Democrats in Congress in 2020.



If Democrats want to to come across as myopic frothing anti-Trump lunatics, mission accomplished. Otherwise this is going to be a huge self-inflicted wounds and exposure of a lot of Democrat corruption from which they could take a decade to recover.



Oh and duplicity?  Check.



Meanwhile president Trump is looking more measured and smarter than ever.

September 24, 2019

IMPEACH HIM!!!!!

The Democrats Are going ahead with impeachment proceedings.  This is great news for president Trump.  No really, it is.


Is Trump playing 4D chess on Biden in the Ukraine whistle blower story?

Quite possibly.  Or it's possible that some other Democrat running for president is behind this...nah.



Hearken back to this story for thoughts on the possibility.

September 23, 2019

Apple moving Mac Pro production back to America

President Trump, still winning, and winning big time.  Let's trace this back.  (1) President Trump promised and then gave tax breaks for companies to move production back on shore.  (2) A lot of companies took advantage of the break, including Apple, which decided to build a campus in Austin Texas.  (3) President Trump started putting tariffs on Chinese goods because of trade deficits and Chinese intellectual property theft, currency manipulation etc.

At each of these stages Democrats and Never Trump Republicans shrilly denounced the moves as anti-trade, counter-productive and bad for consumers and the economy.  (4) President Trump stayed in conversations with Apple CEO Tim Cook.  Today, in order to avoid the tariffs and gain some exemptions for component parts, Apple announced it would be producing its Mac Pro desktop in Austin Texas.
“The Mac Pro is Apple’s most powerful computer ever and we’re proud to be building it in Austin. We thank the administration for their support enabling this opportunity,” said Apple CEO Tim Cook in a statement.

In July, Trump signaled in a tweet that he wanted to reject Apple’s applications for the Mac Pro exclusions. Trump tweeted on July 26: “Apple will not be given Tariff waiver, or relief, for Mac Pro parts that are made in China. Make them in the USA, no Tariffs!”

“A man I have a lot of liking for and respect is Tim Cook, and we’ll work it out, I think they’re going to announce that they’re going to build a plant in Texas, and if they do that I’m starting to get very happy, okay,” Trump later said.

In response, Cook said that he would like to continue to make the Mac Pro in the U.S. and suggested that Apple is talking to the Trump administration about the issue.

“In terms of the exclusion, we’ve been making the Mac Pro in the U.S. We want to continue doing that,” Cook said on a call with analysts. “We’re working and investing currently in capacity to do so because we want to continue to be here.”
That's a win for American workers, a win for president Trump and a win for consumers who face no price change on the product.

(1)



(2)



(3) This one will make you laugh, Vice from 2 days ago was saying that the tariffs were not working to bring jobs back.



(4)

"It might not be true, but it feels true"

On climate change, spitting facts instead of fake news is not encouraged.


September 21, 2019

Former CIA, Never-Trumper says the president can say what he wants

CNN suffers multiple head explosions.


LOLZ.

Saturday Learning Series - Hypersonic missiles

A little background on what hypersonic missiles are, who is developing them and the challenges they pose in being developed and to international stability.

2020: Can president Trump win New Mexico?

Earlier this week, I posted what I thought were the worst and best case scenarios for president Trump in 2020.  In the best case scenario I didn't have president Trump flipping New Mexico as a possibility. But can president Trump flip New Mexico?

This analysis seems to suggest it's possible:

September 20, 2019

The Jefferey Epstein death saga

Sargon of Akkad spent a lot of time on trying to untangle the conspiracy theories and strange circumstances surrounding the death of "billionaire pimp" Jefferey Epstein.

Here's the background:


Here's the first part of who killed Jefferey Epstein, another part is apparently in the works.



Count me among those who find the whole thing suspicious but at this point all we really have is suspicion.

September 19, 2019

2020 projections are useless, but here's another

It's far too early to predict whether president Trump will win re-election in 2020, but nobody is letting that stop them from making bold predictions. I'm not going to do so. Not exactly. I think there's a realistic range between best cast and worst case for the president. I'm going to kick off my election season discussions with that range as I see it, right now. Thre is still time and room to blow both these scenarios out of the water for or against the president. That said, let me start with the worst case for the president.

Worst case scenario: president Trump loses Wisconsin and Indiana due to the farming bankruptcies as a result of an ongoing U.S.-China trade war.  He loses Michigan as a result of the GM strike fallout and the constant media hammering of the president. Pennsylvania is lost because it was close in 2016 and Democrats are fired up to win back the state.



The good news is that while the president loses in this scenario, it's not a long fall, and he has a lot of runway to prevent this from happening.  Which leads to his best case.

Best case scenario: president Trump holds his 2016 states - Ohio is not in question, Florida is a reasonable hold, as is Georgia and Arizona.  Harder holds are, in order of ease of holding, North Carolina, Iowa (yes, there will be some fallout from the impact on agriculture over the trade war with China, but probably not a color-shifting change), Michigan, Wisconsin (which is going to be harder this cycle than it was in 2016)  and finally a razor thin win in Pennsylvania is still feasible.

Then there's gains - the president, especially if the China trade war resolves to his favor, could see pickups in states like Main, New Hampshire, Minnesota, Nevada and possibly even Virginia.


Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com

At this point, I think the outcome is somewhere in between.  2020 is President Trump's to lose and he seems poised to avoid losing.  I'd guess at this point he'll be re-elected but there's a lot of game time left to play and any projection and this point is more for fun than real prognostication.


More thoughts on China

Harvard's Graham Allison & Kyle Bass recently talked about China and how it compares to and contrasts with the United States.

Meanwhile in Canada

Prime Minister Justin "apologize for everything" Trudeau has been outed with a photo of him in what's being termed brownface yesterday evening by Time magazine (because in Canada, the media are liberal lapdogs).

Time magazine seems to be trying to regain their independent credibility by going after a liberal - in Canada.  Let's hope that falls flat, just like the up for re-election and resurgent in the polls Justin Trudeau.

Here's to hoping Paul Joseph Watson is right about this in the minds of Canadian voters:

September 18, 2019

Brainwashed America - is it too late?

Prager U's Goodbye America explains how America's sense of it's own history has been lost in far too many circles.



After decades of the warping of history and America's sense of self, is a reawakening to the truth impossible?  I don't think so, or else Hillary Clinton would be president today.  A sense that something was, and still is, wrong clearly exists.  President Trump is just the first salvo in fixing the problem, much more needs to be done. But it's not too late.

September 17, 2019

Steve Bannon's Warning on China

Steve Bannon discusses China's hegemonic ambitions.

U.S. China trade war explained

Patrick Bet-David offers a primer on the U.S. China trade war:

September 9, 2019

Dave Rubin talks to Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard has been systemically removed from contention for the Democratic primaries to run for president.  I'm not a fan of hers but she provides some interesting insights in this conversation, and she does so in a way that conservatives can mostly appreciate - she's far more civil than her Democratic cohorts.  In addition, she raises important questions about the whole system  - the DNC, big tech, etc.

Good news / bad new from the Fed

A few days ago, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said the Federal Reserve is not expecting a U.S. recession:


The news you don't hear:

  • no looming recession
  • job market growing faster than available workers
  • strong market for consumer 
  • moderate growth
Here's the bad news for president Trump and for borrowers, it sure sounds like rate cuts are not going continue. They will probably remain stable for the rest of the year, barring 


Is CNN in the tank for Trump?

I'm still playing catch up from not posting for a couple of weeks.  Here's a great summary of the Democrats' nationally fatal proclamations on climate change from the equally insane CNN 7 hour town hall on climate change.


Obviously the proposals are insane.  They are a form of national suicide by economic hemorrhage.  But CNN uses it's platform for a 7 hour climate change discussion, gets terrible ratings.  You compound that with two years of never letting up on hammering president Trump on everything, being proven wrong time and again and losing viewership month after month you can only surmise 1 of 2 things is true about CNN.

Either CNN is so blindly anti-Trump they don't care if they eventually die in the process of their ongoing hatred, OR, maybe they are secretly in the tank for president Trump.  Perhaps they want to be his foil.  They want him to succeed and they are playing the villain and losing on purpose.

It sounds crazy but is it any less crazy than the first proposition?  I know it gets into conspiracy theory territory but there are a couple reasons they might want to support the president by being deliberately stupid.  Their ratings clearly are not one of them because the other mainstream media anti-Trump entities, particularly MSNBC are outperforming CNN.  Continuing to chase that same market segment is not working.  So why support Trump?  They could feel that anti-Trumpism is all they have left and without it, and therefore without him,  they have nothing left.  So they could feel they are in this symbiotic relationship with their arch enemy and it is keeping them on life support - the alternative is complete ratings death.

The other reason, even more cynical, is that those behind the far left liberal progressivism that CNN spouts are the same as a lot of other rich liberals - they are secretly greedy crony capitalists and they like the tax breaks.  It's not as likely as them being just blindly anti-Trump liberal elite, or them wanting to continue to produce goods in China and American workers and America be damned.  

Is CNN in the tank for Trump?  It's highly unlikely, but it is possible.  Their actions have been so inexpiable for the past few years, that anything is possible.


September 6, 2019

Hollywood zealots walk back their full-tilt crazy

Debra Messing wants to out Trump supporters. Pure McCarthyism.



It's so ridiculous, so evil, that even dependable liberal Whoopi Goldberg had to call out the Will and Grace stars.


Erik McCormack the other Will and Grace star, did do some backtracking:


Kudos to Whoopi Goldberg and John O'Hurley for standing up for what is right.
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