October 20, 2020

More misleading evidence of Biden's electoral prowess

There's a poll out today in Michigan from MIRS/Mitchell Research that shows an uptick in Joe Biden's lead:


Biden +10?  Is it time to panic maybe?

Nope.  Back in 2016 the same pollster in the same window polled the following:


How did the state voting turn out? President Trump got 47.5% of the vote and Hillary Clinton got 47.3%. In other words they overstated Clinton's vote by 5.5% and understated president Trump's vote by 6.5%.  They were off by 12% total. And they had Clinton +12. If the same is the case in 2020, then we would expect to see the poll corrected to  Biden at 45.5% and Trump at 47.5%. That's a Trump win and improvement for Trump overall vs. his 2016 showing. 

When I look at valid polls in Michigan, and account for this bias (assuming it has not been corrected since 2016) I see Trump as high as +4.4% over three different valid polls.  While I do not believe it will be that high of a lead, I see him winning Michigan.

A few graphs that show a lot

 Back in 2016 the polls in the swing states tightened a lot in the swing states in the last couple of weeks.  The pollsters were predicting a Hillary rout of now president Trump.  But as election day neared they had to become more realistic or the pollsters risked their credibility.

Look what's happening in a few key swing states according the the RealClearPolitics averages (which are problematic in their own right) this time around and draw your own conclusions:

 





Sad news - Rush Limbaugh cancer has worsened

Yesterday I posted the good news that Jordan Peterson was on the mend and back making videos. Unfortunately we also got some less encouraging news from the one and only Rush Limbaugh. I pray he can still recover.

Rush Limbaugh's stage 4 lung cancer has progressed "in the wrong direction," the conservative commentator and radio host announced. 

More than eight months after revealing his diagnosis, Limbaugh, 69, said Monday on his radio show that his new health developments weren't "dramatic," but had nevertheless recently worsened.

"The idea now is to keep it where it is or maybe have it reduce again," he said, according to a transcript on his website. "We’ve shown that that is possible. If it happened once, it can happen again. So that’s the objective of the current treatment plan."

Limbaugh announced in early February that he had been diagnosed with "advanced lung cancer," confirmed by "two medical institutions back on Jan. 20." Speaking Monday, he said at the time, he did not believe he'd live past September.

October 19, 2020

Jordan Peterson returns

Jordan Peterson coming back from ill health is a wonderful thing, for him, for conservatives, and for humanity.

Something to see here folks

Nothing Something to see here folks:


The Bidens are like an organized crime family in an extortion racket that also owns mainstream media.

Addendum: The reaction?  Biden panics and goes into hiding.

October 18, 2020

EXCLUSIVE: Joe Biden's son emailed shop owner about hard drive to 'get it back'

 Via Sky News Australia:

This week in censorship

 Mark Dice shares the frustration.

This is what being woke should look like

 This woman is really thinking about what's going on. This is such a well done video.

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