September 24, 2020

Trump: winning

I am seeing similar results to this using my polling adjustment factors, which I will share hopefully tomorrow if I have time:

September 23, 2020

Bribery? If it quacks like a duck

 Michael Bloomberg is trying to bribe Florida felons to vote for Joe Biden.

Are we doomed?

I sometimes wonder if I'm talking to the same 100 people all the time.  I'm pretty sure this blog has been shadow-banned, de-listed, whatever term you choose, by Google.  It's very rare that I see a spike in traffic.  There's no hubris in that statement, 10 years ago it used to happen. I'd get an occasional post with thousands of views.  Now?  Well it hasn't happened in about 5 years.  I get an occasional bump into several hundred more than normal, and that's it. 

I'm not going to turn this into a rant against Big Tech, who clearly have their thumb on the scale for Democrats and progressive liberal causes.  There's a reality that needs to be confronted, because Congress is not going to confront it.  Until there's a conservative version of Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, Pinterest and Google, we are going to have an ever-shrinking voice in the public sphere.  We will be silenced.  It will be a death by 1000 cuts scenario, and we are only about 300 cuts into it.

I know there are alternatives that have developed like Parler instead of Twitter but they seem to be stuck below the critical mass needed to become an alternative.  Perhaps it requires a root level alternative, a counter to Google, which is a truly massive undertaking, probably beyond our capability.

So what do we do?

Talking to your neighbors, neighborhood grassroots organizations, and voting are part of the answer but not all of it. At some point that becomes the same as this blog - talking to each other and not spreading the word.  Our message needs to reach into areas that it does not currently reach. There are cities and states that are with 100% certainty, locked down by Democrats. They do not get exposed to a conservative message.

The one weapon we have right now is president Trump. He's not afraid to do the outreach that changing demographics dictate we must at least consider, if not address.  In 2016 Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania proved it.  But if president Trump loses (legitimately or otherwise) or if he's not replaced by a similar fighter who is willing to win over non-supporters we are in big trouble. Are we doomed?  Yeah, maybe.

Even with a Republican congress, senate and president after 2020, we are on borrowed time right now. In every arena, media, education, government beaurocracy (the CIA, IRS, and FBI to name a few), entertainment, sports, law, and Big Tech we are getting our asses handed to us. Even churches are losing their values and caving to the social justice mob. 

It's not over, but as I said, we are on borrowed time thanks to president Trump. We need to make the most of it.  We need a conservative network of support and promotion.  We need one that grows not only in political action committee efforts but to include all of the areas mentioned above.  We need an allegiance to conservative principles and a support system across every area of life.  Yes it sounds like Big Brother, but it's a fight-fire-with-fire situation.  We need to fight back and we need to do it no.  Short of cheating with vote-by-mail schemes like Democrats, we need to coalesce. We need to harden and we need to fight back a lot harder than we are doing.  The reason we aren't is because we can't. We are millions of voices but we are not in unison.  We won't always need to be so homogenous, but the only way to fight the ongoing onslaught by the Democratic hoard is to be an organized, coordinated  hoard on our side. Failing that we probably are doomed.

September 22, 2020

What Trump did and Democrats won't - decoupling

Democrats, step back for a moment.  Look at what has happened in the last 12 years. Most recently, President Trump has worked to stop endless wars. He's stopped ignoring minorities, stopped foregoing rust belt states as locked Democrat voters, he stopped ignoring the working class in favor of a globalist agenda under the guise of free trade. He's decoupled the GOP from having a blind eye on illegal immigration. In effect, he has decoupled the Republican party from it's recent historical agenda in a return to root conservative principles.  He's decoupled the Republican party from it's establishment agenda and tied it to a populist agenda that favors the middle class and the working class.  It's been genius despite all of the resistance from everyone both within the GOP establishment and from without (the Democrats, the media, educational institutions, the beaurocracy in Washington, etc.).  It will be brilliant if he manages to win re-election.

Brilliant because Democrats will not have learned from his example.  The old staid policy platforms of both parties were part of the reason for the logjam that had become Washington D.C. It's not that the positions were unimportant - some were, some were not - but rather that a healthy re-examination of them was not being done on either side.

It certainly was not done on the Democrat side in the eight years of president Obama.  Democrats doubled down on identity politics. Democrats pushed the accelerator on the things they thought got president Obama elected. You believed your own hyperbole not just on Obama but on your policy positions.  You got it wrong.

Now, if president Trump wins re-election, you Democrats will either have to do the same, or face the fact that it is common sense, not demographics, that informs destiny. But you either won't or can't decouple from tax the rich philosophy, so the rich move and Democrat states lose revenue, and eventually, power. You seem oddly unwilling to decouple from globalism, so voters move away from Democrats towards the party that seems to care about the working class and middle American jobs. You are tied to group politics and perhaps cannot decouple from the theory that you build your base on identity politics, as your tight grip on these groups continues to decay.  If the Democrats do not similarly decouple from your recent history as Republicans led by president Trump have done, you won't win. 


September 21, 2020

Do it now!

I'm not going to sugar coat this, Ruth Bader Gindsberg's seat on the Supreme Court should be filled on by a president Trump appointee ASAP. By ASAP I mean before the election, or at worst, in the lame duck session after the election.

There is zero reason to delay this, and I don't expect the president, nor the senate Republicans will do so.  Of course there may be some recalcitrant Republicans who are either in a precarious re-election battle (Susan Collins), wish-washy (Lisa Murkowski) or just plain spiteful (Mitt Romney) who might not vote to nominate a Trump appointee if it happens before the election.  But those are not show-stoppers.  The Republicans have 5 seats in the Senate and if they lose all three of those votes, the deciding vote is cast by VP Pence, so Trump's nominee will be confirmed.

There are many reasons not to delay:

  • it's seen as decisive action by Republicans, delivering on one of the most important issues for conservative voters.
  • there's no guarantee Republicans will be able to pass a Trump appointee after the election if either Trump loses the election or Republicans lose control of the senate in November
  • most importantly, there is no reason to care if the left sees Republicans as holding a double standard after Mitch McConnell refused to hold hearings on president Obama's nominee Merrick Garland when Obama had less than a year left in his term because Democrats would have no compunction about doing it if the roles were reverse.  We must not be held to the standards they want  because Republicans are in power and avoiding the use of that power to achieve conservative goals ensures that they will never be achieved.
Don't sweat the risks of this.  Yes, there are downsides like firing up the Democrat base, but they are pretty fired up already.  Fire up our base by showing them results.

While you are at it, replace the role of the justice you are nominating with another conservative justice at the same time.  Do it.  Do it now!

September 20, 2020

September 19, 2020

Saturday Learning Series - Geography (Myanmar)

 The geography of Myanmar, the flag, and some bonus content:

September 18, 2020

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