Waiting for Elizabeth Warren's head to explode

Elizabeth Warren's head will explode after hearing what DOGE's Elon Musk has in mind:

Is the IRS next?

Japan gets CCP to back down

You may have missed this important geopolitical news; Japan has stood up to China and I think it's in large part because of Trump's election victory Japan has felt emboldened and China has been cowed. 

Rush Limbaugh's Thanksgiving memory

Via Benny Johnson:

I miss Rush.

Happy Thanksgiving

 

I told you they're still cheating (2nd opinion)

They cheat, they cheat, they cheat:

The 2020 Presidential election shared a problem with the 1998 MLB home run race: the winning candidate did too well. In 1998, steroid juicer Mark McGwire broke Roger Maris’s home run record by nine home runs or roughly 15 percent.

In 2020, Joe Biden’s 81 million votes broke Barack Obama’s 2008 record 69 million votes by 12 million votes or roughly 17 percent. Obama’s 2008 numbers were anomalous. Hillary Clinton’s 2016 numbers were closer to the norm, and Biden got nearly 25 percent more votes than she did, a cool 16 million additional votes when finally counted.

Campaigning from his basement, this cognitively-challenged, charisma-free codger did much too well in 2020, and now even the Left is noticing. With virtually all the 2024 presidential election votes counted, Kamala Harris’s vote total remains roughly seven million votes shy of Biden’s ballot box-busting performance in 2020.

In trying to explain the differential, Michael Bender of the New York Times hinted at the truth. Wrote Bender, “[S]ome backsliding could be expected after the record turnout in 2020, which was aided by pandemic rule changes that increased mail voting.” You think?

As should be expected, Bender chose not to pursue this line of thinking to its natural end. If he had, he might have asked why only the Democrats seemed to have been aided in 2020 “by pandemic rule changes.” President-elect Donald Trump did not “backslide” in 2024. He upped his 2020 vote total by about two million.

Thank you American Thinker, for taking up the cause. 

I told you they're still cheating

Rasmussen helps make my point:

Was Sunny Hostin radicalized in college?

Based on this clip, perhaps yes. The thing is, she hasn't gotten over it.

This Alan Lichtman guy

This Alan Lichtman guy has cooked himself and is ruining the shreds of his own credibility and that of his model. This election cycle he was way off, and instead of addressing why, he continues to dig himself into a deeper hole.

I can tell you why his model can be right and still provide the wrong answer. It's actually pretty amazing. His model has been highly accurate previously.  It isn't perfect, but it was a pretty good model.  Here's the problem with it; it's open to a high degree of subjectivity from the person inputting stuff into the model. I read the keys to the model and got a different score than Lichtman did and a different score than Tim Pool did when he tried it.

The model did not fail, Alan Lichtman fed partisan garbage into it.  I don't even mean that in a pejorative way. I mean garbage in -> garbage out.  The model wasn't wrong, Alan Lichtman was wrong. If he had been far more objective in his assessment of his own keys, he would have gotten it right.  He live-streamed the election and you can see his slow burn meltdown, trying to convince himself that his model was correct. 

Now, was his judgement clouded by partisanship or was his partisanship that night a result of his projection and trying to have his model come up a winner again?  I don't know for sure but I suspect the former; his original inputs were weirdly partisan skewed. It was a rose-colored glasses view of the Harris campaign, across the board. Either he's ill-informed at that point, or purely partisan. 

I believe he's highly partisan.  He's taking any criticism (and there have been a lot, from many different corners) as a personal attack. That's still not enough evidence that it's the partisan views that sank his model vs. just not being well informed about the state of the nation and political winds. But this ought to clinch the deal on the partisanship; here he is throwing the credibility of his model out the window in a quest to defame president-elect Trump. It's partisanship over reason at the highest setting:

So we're calling this done now?

Honestly, I think Trump will let this go, but as a proactive measure against future government lawfare, this should be pursued as a malicious prosecution. 

The popular vote total situation

In 2020, Let's Go Brandon purportedly got 81,282,916 votes to Trump's 74,223,369 votes. That's a vote total of 155,506,285 votes.

In 2024, we currently see the following:

There's only a difference of a little over a million votes from 2020.  Either Let's Go Brandon truly did earn a record vote volume and it was erased by Trump in 2024, or, there were 26 million more votes in 2020 than there were in 2016 (~128 million for Trump and Clinton combined):

And if the latter is true, Let's Go Brandon got 11.7 million more votes than did Obama (69.4 million) at his most popular in 2008 when there were 129.4 million votes for the two major candidates. 

Notice in 2016 and 2008 the totals were awfully close? Yet the vote total sudden leapt up 26 million votes. That's absurd unless there was cheating or duplicate votes being counted. 

And if that absurdity holds true for 2024, Trump, whose vote totals went from 62.9 million in 2016, to 74.2 million in 2020 to 77 million in 2024, actually blew out Kamala Harris by a lot more than 3 million votes and cheating still occurred in crazy numbers. If we extrapolate out the vote total growth from 2008 to 2016, an extra 1.4 million, then 2024 should expect a total of 130.8 million. If Trumps' total was 77 million that would leave just 53 million votes for Harris. 

The thing is that so many people went and voted for Trump that they swamped the cheat. It would explain the push polls saying Harris was going to win Iowa for example.  It would explain why the Harris campaign thought they were going to 'win'.  It would explain a lot actually.

But that's just conspiracy theory stuff. Right?

Maybe it's just that the extra 26 million votes appeared due to illegal immigrants.  That would explain why the 2024 vote totals were similar to the 2020 vote totals. 26 million illegal immigrants is nothing to sneeze at. Of course that's also conspiracy theory stuff, right?

Fine.  It's all just conspiracy theory and Trump did just retake the White House. Fine.  I'm skeptical about the 2020 and 2024 vote totals, but I'll still take it.  Nevertheless, to me it just speaks to creating better controls for open and fair voting.  Federal rules. At a Constitutional level. Because something about the 2020 election, and even the Harris total in 2024, still seems off.

Sunday verse

 

Justin Trudeau trying to buy votes

As a Canadian, I can assure you the title of the video below is 100% accurate.  Justin Trudeau is getting ready for an election that he is going to lose.  He thinks this will help. It might, that's the sad think.  However I think enough Canadians are sick enough of this guy that they'll take the tax cut, they'll take the bribe, and then still vote his @ss out come election time. 

So.....nukes? Now what?

Reports of Russia launching an ICBM (whether nuclear or not, is not clear) at Ukraine this morning, in a major escalation of the war:

Scott Presler VS. Bucks County Commissioners

Well done.

Sunny Hostage, I mean Hostin, apology

Everyone's probably already seen this already but I was really busy today. Sunny Hostin looking like a hostage in this video, reading what shouldn't have to be forced on the clucking hens at The View.  Then again we all know what that show is...

First Dem candidate for 2028

Pennsylvania governor Josh Shapiro, putting on a smiley face for 2028.  Make no mistake, this move is entirely political. Democrats cheating has been an issue in the state for years. NOW Josh Shapiro has something to say about it? I'm not buying it. He has a chance to look like an above board guy with a case of cheating so blatantly obvious that there's no way to stand in support of it.  So why wouldn't he denounce this? There's no downside for Democrats because the cheating won't help. It's opportunism, plain and simple.

Lawyers and volunteers were everything

In my last post I talked about hitting the ground running. Here's why I think that is possible.  The last election Trump was defeated by a very poorly organized GOP. Republicans were locked out of counts in critical battleground states. There was no army of lawyers, no army of volunteers in 2020. Republicans got played so badly that it was inevitable that if Let's Go Brandon didn't win, they could have easily manufactured a win under those tilted-playing-field conditions. This is why so many Republicans reasonably think the 2020 election was stolen by the Democrats.

Remember Hillary Clinton telling Let's Go Brandon not to concede on election night? That's very telling. Why didn't that happen this time? The GOP, while not fully there yet, was so much better prepared with lawyers and volunteers. The Democrats could not organize any sort of shadowy light night rally for Kamala Harris, they knew they had to concede. The popular vote better reflected the reality of regular people, because there was far less possibility of cheating.

Yet despite all the claims by the media that cheating has never happened, it's still going on - out in the open even:

I am saying, we are living in a developed and powerful country on earth where we have to mention the keyword “valid” next to absentee ballot. How do I now believe they are valid? Who says they are valid (see the video below)? I thought the idea of ballot stuffing and other things… https://t.co/VFGoKtDBig

— NC Man (@NCMan2020) November 16, 2024

Trump's team was so organized they couldn't steal the presidency. There were many in the media predicting (or perhaps propagandizing) a Harris victory blowout. Then they were expecting a long week of counting in the swing states. Now Trump is clearly a lot more popular after four years of Brandon/Harris failures as a contrast, but it's not all his popularity that helped him win. The GOP's laser focus on the cheating was a huge boost that led to an election night win for Trump. It's clear Democrats moved the focus to congress because they had to do so. That team of lawyers the GOP assembled should be actively pursuing these other cheats on behalf of the GOP right now.

The main point though, is to point out that president Trump is coming into this term far better prepared than he was in 2016.  That being the case, hitting the ground running is far more likely this time around. He was prepared for election night, and it won him the election.  He has a team assembling much faster than in 2016. Day One should be great.

Hit the ground running on Day One

Frank Miele, in RCP wrote the following, on the topic of unity vs. compromise, and whether both are possible simultaneously;

...This time around, Trump knows he only has four years to fulfill his plans. So he’s moving with lightning speed to do exactly what Abraham Lincoln accomplished in his four years in the White House: unite the country by demonstrating strength, wisdom and patriotism.

This ambitious goal perhaps explains Trump’s seemingly antagonistic selection of Cabinet secretaries. Matt Gaetz for attorney general? Robert Kennedy Jr. for Health and Human Services? Pete Hegseth for Defense? Tulsi Gabbard to oversee the intelligence agencies, including the CIA? There were other qualified candidates for all those positions, but would they have fought as fiercely as these picks to revolutionize the agencies they would helm?

Turning back to our Civil War model, after first selecting traditional generals who were consensus choices, Lincoln decided to go with his gut and promoted Ulysses S. “Unconditional Surrender” Grant and “scorched earth” William Sherman to bring the enemy to their heels. Trump seems to be after the same kind of unsparing determination. Go big or go home.

There's an interesting point in the first sentence of that quote; he only has four years. While that is true, a highly successful four years could lead to another four or eight years of a Republican presidency (likely with JD Vance as the candidate). That would be great, but it requires a great deal of success, across multiple streams of issues; inflation, GDP growth, government efficiency and waste reduction, deep state reduction, natural resource development, border security, crime reduction, military strength, and international peace to mention some of the most prominent ones. 

That's a tall order that necessitates Day One readiness and an agreeable congress. Any Republican not prepared to support the president's agenda has to be dealt with in the most forceful way possible. President elect Trump would be well served to start aligning allies and building a solid support base in both the senate and the house, immediately.  That's something that would go on behind the scenes and we are likely not going to see in the public eye.

The other part of the Day One readiness is the Executive Orders on minute one. I have no doubt the president is already preparing or even mostly prepared for that one already. 

If the president's agenda is rolling from Day One there will be strong results in two years.  The president will be able to retrain control and perhaps even grow the GOP majorities in the house and senate.  The only way to impress the left out of their haze of dream-lies is to Make America Great Again, and quickly. Good results will require rapid movement. It's a snowball effect; good results will help accelerate further good results, which all will improve electoral success.  The good news is it's entirely plausible. It's a tall order, but the right team is being assembled.

Sunday verse

 

Karoline Leavitt: Trump's press secretary / bulldozer

Just wow! Awesome job in this clip! Karoline Leavitt will be an amazing press secretary for president Trump.

An explainer for the left

An oldie but a goodie:

If anyone's in the communist pocket, it's Warren.

Tulsi Gabbard is a great pick to any administrative post.  You need no more evidence than Warren not liking her as a nominee.

John Bolton; not a team player

I think everyone knew John Bolton was a neo-con.  What's perfectly clear now is that he's not a team player for the GOP, like the Cheney's, he's a team player for the neocon establishment.

Vivek Ramaswamy - pit bull incoming

Another of Trump's nominees, Vivek Ramaswamy as part of DOGE? Awesome.

Matt Gaetz - no holds barred.

I've been away for a day and I missed a lot of great stuff to talk about.  Trump picks have flowed in the past 48 hours and they are great!

Matt Gaetz as Attorney General?  Here he is going after the current unqualified AG and political hack Merrick Garland.  Gaetz has enemies but the GOP MUST approve his nomination.

Sharing for those who have been blinded

...(blinded by the mainstream media and Democrats' lies)...

Here's the shocking truth [video now unavailable curiously...]:

Red Wave mission complete?

Sorta complete anyway.  The GOP now officially controls the presidency, senate and finally the house of representatives (just barely). That's a sweep and with a national popular vote win, I'd fairly consider that a MAGA mandate, more than a red wave. It needs to become more robust. But a mini red wave? Sure, I can agree with that.  Mission complete? Nope, the mission is just starting. Let's hope it's successful enough to sustain a bigger 2026 surge. 

Biting Back II

The Critical Drinker sets Hollywood celebrities straight; nobody cares anymore. Don't tell us how to vote. This is a brilliant take:

Biting back

Flashback: Tim Pool back in April, correctly hit on John Stewart's hypocrisy on the ridiculous Letitia James persecution of Trump. 

Now that Trump won, will someone go after John Stewart for the same 'crime'? No.  But the Trump case needs to be destroyed, not because he won, but rather because he had done nothing wrong.

Veteran's Day remembrance

Never forget why you live free:

Trump cabinet already filling up

Border czar: Tom Homan.  UN ambassador: Elise Stefanik.

The state of the GOP house majority

This is still a work in progress.

Gen X Revenge

As a Gen X member, I get this:

Sunday verse

 

Two great observations from Ben Shapiro

Courtesy of Dave Rubin, two observations from Ben Shapiro, and the second one is just as impactful as the first:

An interesting turning

A personal take on how a black woman got slowly red-pilled and became a Trump supporter.

No strong women, huh?

Trump is never seen with smart strong women, right?

Your gurus were wrong

I'm not going to dance on the graves of my enemies here, but Alan Lichtman was wrong about a Kamala Harris win.  The thing is, his model wasn't wrong, just him.  The old saying garbage in - garbage out explains why he was wrong, even though he clearly doesn't get that yet.

He claimed 9 of his 13 predictors favored Harris. For the record, here the are, in a nutshell:

Key 1 (Party Mandate): After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than it did after the previous midterm elections.

Key 2 (Contest): There is no serious contest for the incumbent-party nomination.

Key 3 (Incumbency): The incumbent-party candidate is the sitting president.

Key 4 (Third party): There is no significant third-party or independent campaign.

Key 5 (Short-term economy): The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.

Key 6 (Long-term economy): Real per-capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.

Key 7 (Policy change): The incumbent administration affects major changes in national policy.

Key 8 (Social unrest): There is no sustained social unrest during the term.

Key 9 (Scandal): The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.

Key 10 (Foreign/military failure): The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.

Key 11 (Foreign/military success): The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.

Key 12 (Incumbent charisma): The incumbent-party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.

Key 13 (Challenger charisma): The challenging-party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero.

Here's the real score, via Tim Pool. And to be fair, Tim Pool is even being generous to Lichtman in his interpretation of the factors, and it still lands on Trump:

Just to top on that, Ann Selzer predicted, rather insanely, that Harris would win Iowa. How anyone believed her makes me incredulous.

The Iowa poll, conducted by Selzer & Company for The Des Moines Register/ Mediacom, found Harris had a three-point lead over Trump in the state, 47 percent to the Republican's 44 percent.

The poll surveyed 808 likely voters in Iowa between October 28 and 31 with its shock result falling within the poll's 3.4 percent margin of error.

Announcing her findings on Saturday, Selzer, previously described as "the best pollster in politics" by aggregator FiveThirtyEight, said Harris had "clearly leaped into a leading position."

However, the Iowa poll turned out to be wrong by 16 points following the results of Tuesday's election. The former president has won Iowa by 55.9 percent to Harris's 42.7 percent, a difference of 13.2 percent so far.

Sorry media, your gurus were wrong. Go get some new ones.

Epic.

I imagine many people, myself included, feel exactly like this today:

I'm far less surprised by Trump's win and his electoral college win, his expected popular vote win and the senate and (likely) house victories than I am surprised by the speed of it.  I expected things to drag on for days, and with each passing day the chances of a Harris 'magical' come from behind win to materialize. That did not happen, and to me that was the biggest surprise.  It was not only too big to steal, it was too quick to steal.

The fact that Fox News called Pennsylvania when it did is historically not surprising, but for recent history a bit of a shock.  Perhaps Fox was trying to atone for calling Arizona way too early in 2020, or perhaps it was just too obvious to not call. Indeed the AP called the state shortly afterward. With that state gone and Trump leading in all the battleground states the weight of the victory was just too much to overcome by a vote dumping.

Dow futures are way up this morning.  I'm not surprised by that either. The Democrats' economic policies have been asinine for decades but have truly blossomed in their putrescence during the Let's Go Brandon years.

Here's another big surprise, as of 9:25 this morning, 

...Trump edged Harris by a few million votes -- 71,436,910 to 66,364,497 -- with 88% of precincts reporting, according to NBC News.

Trump is roughly on track to win just under the same number of votes as he did in 2020.  According to Cook Political Report, Let's Go Brandon got 81.28 million votes to Trump's 74.22 million votes in 2020. And according to CNN, Hillary Clinton also beat Trump 65.8 million to his 62.98 million votes.

Trump may end up with fewer votes than in 2020 but a landslide victory compared to a loss that year. The surprising part is that Let's Go Brandon somehow got 81.28 million votes in 2020. More than any other president in history. Roughly 12 million more than Obama's best year (2008). No one believes Let's Go Brandon's popularity on the left rivalled Obama at his peak, or even Obama in 2012.  You'll never convince me that TDS was so bad in 2020 that Let's Go Brandon overperformed to that extent. It supposedly was high turnout, during COVID. Something clearly happened in 2020 that still needs to be reviewed and fixed. 

Getting back to 2024, this win was epic.  More importantly it was justice; they tried to imprison him, they tried to keep him off the ballot, they incited violence against him. This may indeed have even been more than justice. It may have been Divine Providence.

VOTE!

As I mentioned earlier, this is incredibly important.

Is her whole existence astroturfed?

I mean, c'mon man. It really does feel like it's not just the campaign that's astroturfed, it's the actual candidate.

Be anti-woke

 A good argument to be anti-woke.

It's election day. Vote!

I too am not an American (unfortunately), but supporting Trump is not just an American imperative, it's a matter for a better world.  Making America great helps it's allies. It hinders the enemies of liberty and justice.  From the outside I can say America is not perfect, but it's a lot closer than anything else the world has seen (Jesus aside). So it is imperative that Americans vote to reclaim what the Constitution intended and not let it continue to be deliberately eroded away by those who seek to change America's destiny to socialism, from those who seek to  profit from it's downfall, from those who have been told lies about America and now have fused them into their distorted worldview. An imperfect America walking in the right direction is better than an imperfect America sprinting in the wrong direction. Every single day.

Please vote Trump, while you still have the opportunity to tell your children you did not allow America to succumb to the tyranny of the state. America's time may come in some distant future, but it must not be this day, and for the reason of apathy.

By the way, there are a hundred reasons to vote for Trump. But when you are doing so, please remember, vote Republican for senate, for congress, for any other office or proposition that is on your ballot.

As an enthusiast of America, as a believer in America I implore you, please go vote Trump today if you have not already done so.

A return to the golden age

You can make it happen America; vote Trump/Vance and vote Republican in 2024. Don't skip out on it.

State of the race - Nov 3rd

So a rush of Kamala Harris leading polls dropped this weekend, one even showing Harris winning Iowa. Tis to laugh. But there are a bunch of New York Times swing state polls spelling good news for Kamala Harris, among others. I just don't buy it.  Here's what I am seeing as of this morning:

I see Trump winning handily in Arizona, North Carolina and Georgia. I also see him winning in Nevada and Pennsylvania by slim margins, and I see nailbiters that either candidate could win, in Michigan and Wisconsin.

Now let me caveat my own findings.

In Michigan there's a Marist poll that's got Harris ahead by 3, while the rest of the recent and reasonable polls have the race too close to call. So as a nailbiter I still think Michigan is leaning Trump but it is a too close to call state. With Trump typically overperforming his polling, I think this should still go Trump.  However, I do not say that with overwhelming confidence and it could be stolen by Democrat shenanigans. 

The story in Wisconsin is similar to Michigan; a Marist poll pulling the average towards Kamala. Looking at only the three polls that I think fit the late stage and reasonable margin of error, sample size and likely without sample issues, I see Trump at 50.5% and Harris at 49.5%. Tight but winnable for Trump.

North Carolina has swung closer to Trump, but all of the four polls I am including are what most consider right-leaning pollsters; Fox, Rasmussen, Atlas Intel and Trafalgar. I'm not suggesting these pollsters are wrong, but there is a risk of confirmation bias and polling bias overstating Trump support. 

The same is true for Georgia (two polls, both from the aforementioned group) and to a lesser extent, Arizona (three polls, two right leaning and one I am unfamiliar with). It is also the case for Nevada, with 3 reasonable late polls all showing Trump ahead, but all three are right leaning pollsters. That said I think the first two states are both pretty solidly Trump. Nevada is probably a lot closer but I'd give a slight edge to Trump.

That leaves Pennsylvania, where there are seven viable polls. On the left leaning side, the Washington Post has Harris ahead by roughly 1, Marist has her ahead by 3. The other poll I think skews a bit left is Quinnipiac, which actually has Trump ahead by 2. The right leaning polls are as follows, Fox - Trump +2, Insider Advantage - Trump +1, Rasmussen - Trump +2 and Atlas Intel - Trump +2. I think Trump wins the state.

Overall, I still see Trump winning the electoral college, handily, minus any malfeasance.

For what it's worth, for the national popular vote I am seeing Trump at 50.94%.

Sunday verse

 

Ana Kasparian's slow walk to becoming based

Good for Ana Kasparian for leaving the Kool Aid cult. She's on her way to becoming a conservative, though it will take time.

The Liz Cheney firing squad lie

“If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it. The lie can be maintained only for such time as the State can shield the people from the political, economic and/or military consequences of the lie. It thus becomes vitally important for the State to use all of its powers to repress dissent, for the truth is the mortal enemy of the lie, and thus by extension, the truth is the greatest enemy of the State.”

The Nazis used this tactic during World War II.  Now the man the media accuse of being Hitler is having this tactic used against him, repeatedly. Thankfully, ineffectively. The mainstream media claimed yesterday Trump wanted to put Liz Cheney in front of a firing squad, which is demonstrably false. Megyn Kelly takes the time to disprove the despicable lie. When you hear the full quote, it's obvious how big the lie is.

These are the same people who lied about Let's Go Brandon not calling 70 million+ Americans garbage. So ask yourself, "Who are closest to the Nazis in reality"? 

Well played, Thome Yorke, well played

Pardon the pun. Radiohead's Thome Yorke shuts down a pro-Palestinian heckler in the best possible way. Your protests do indeed have consequences, in this case unintended consequences.

Byron Donalds decimates with truth bombs