October 22, 2020

Meanwhile in Canada

The ultra-liberal Trudeau government is acting above the law, involved in yet another scandal, and almost got forced into an election just ne year after their previous narrow electoral win.  Unfortunately the even more liberal (in fact outright socialist) NDP party voted to keep the government intact.

October 20, 2020

More misleading evidence of Biden's electoral prowess

There's a poll out today in Michigan from MIRS/Mitchell Research that shows an uptick in Joe Biden's lead:


Biden +10?  Is it time to panic maybe?

Nope.  Back in 2016 the same pollster in the same window polled the following:


How did the state voting turn out? President Trump got 47.5% of the vote and Hillary Clinton got 47.3%. In other words they overstated Clinton's vote by 5.5% and understated president Trump's vote by 6.5%.  They were off by 12% total. And they had Clinton +12. If the same is the case in 2020, then we would expect to see the poll corrected to  Biden at 45.5% and Trump at 47.5%. That's a Trump win and improvement for Trump overall vs. his 2016 showing. 

When I look at valid polls in Michigan, and account for this bias (assuming it has not been corrected since 2016) I see Trump as high as +4.4% over three different valid polls.  While I do not believe it will be that high of a lead, I see him winning Michigan.

A few graphs that show a lot

 Back in 2016 the polls in the swing states tightened a lot in the swing states in the last couple of weeks.  The pollsters were predicting a Hillary rout of now president Trump.  But as election day neared they had to become more realistic or the pollsters risked their credibility.

Look what's happening in a few key swing states according the the RealClearPolitics averages (which are problematic in their own right) this time around and draw your own conclusions:

 





Sad news - Rush Limbaugh cancer has worsened

Yesterday I posted the good news that Jordan Peterson was on the mend and back making videos. Unfortunately we also got some less encouraging news from the one and only Rush Limbaugh. I pray he can still recover.

Rush Limbaugh's stage 4 lung cancer has progressed "in the wrong direction," the conservative commentator and radio host announced. 

More than eight months after revealing his diagnosis, Limbaugh, 69, said Monday on his radio show that his new health developments weren't "dramatic," but had nevertheless recently worsened.

"The idea now is to keep it where it is or maybe have it reduce again," he said, according to a transcript on his website. "We’ve shown that that is possible. If it happened once, it can happen again. So that’s the objective of the current treatment plan."

Limbaugh announced in early February that he had been diagnosed with "advanced lung cancer," confirmed by "two medical institutions back on Jan. 20." Speaking Monday, he said at the time, he did not believe he'd live past September.

October 19, 2020

Jordan Peterson returns

Jordan Peterson coming back from ill health is a wonderful thing, for him, for conservatives, and for humanity.

Something to see here folks

Nothing Something to see here folks:


The Bidens are like an organized crime family in an extortion racket that also owns mainstream media.

Addendum: The reaction?  Biden panics and goes into hiding.

October 18, 2020

EXCLUSIVE: Joe Biden's son emailed shop owner about hard drive to 'get it back'

 Via Sky News Australia:

This week in censorship

 Mark Dice shares the frustration.

This is what being woke should look like

 This woman is really thinking about what's going on. This is such a well done video.

The psychology of crowd momentum

This is fascinating from a psychological or sociological perspective. And it has deep implications for politics. One guy dancing weird is, well, weird.  But when a second guy joins it becomes a little less weird and after the third guy joins it becomes a flood.  It's now okay to join in. And at some point, maybe it becomes unacceptable to leave.


A better view of the crowd joining:

Sunday verse

 


October 17, 2020

Hunter Biden -Joe Biden corruption scandal is slow-rolling away his chances of winning

This may not kill Joe Biden's chances of winning the White House, but it should.  Then again a lot of there things should have done so already.

Saturday Learning Series - Geography (Netherlands)

 Netherlands:


October 16, 2020

One of the best videos of 2020

 This guy's enthusiasm is infectious.  His positivity is off the charts. And his logic is highly persuasive.  As someone mentioned in the comments, president Trump should get this guy on his staff. He's that good.


Share this with your unconvinced friends. Please.

Friday Musical Interlude - one for the Democrat voters

 STRFKR's Open Your Eyes from 2016:

October 15, 2020

Twitter and Facebook are acting in an evil manner right now

 Evil Big Tech:

More election malfeasance at Twitter

 This would be on the verge of being criminal if subverting your own moral imperative were a crime.

Another view on the reasons the polls don't make sense

Biden won't win.  Here's another view of why, Biden is not a juggernaut but they would have you believe that.

October 14, 2020

Obama hack Bruce Ohr out at DOJ

This comes a few years too late, but still good news: 

Facebook in high gear to protect Biden

Communications @Facebook Andy Stone on Twitter is hiding the bombshell from the NY Post about Hunter Biden and Joe Biden.

This is pure damage control.  In case you are not familiar with the breaking story:

Latest election round-up

Click to enlarge.
There have been a few new polls since my last update. Taking a look at the RealClearPolitics average of polls in the battleground states, president Trump currently has 250 electoral college votes while  Joe Biden currently has 237 electoral college votes and there are still 51 electoral college votes that have not yet been decided.*  

In the swing states the following results are observed:

-- Texas has a total of only 1 valid poll.  That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up as a result. But Trump has 54.5% and Biden has 45.5% of the weighted valid vote total. Trump leads by 9.1%.    No one currently is winning the electoral college vote according to the included polls.  But I'm assuming a Trump win.  The projected vote differential would be 579,250 in a regular turnout or 605,580 in a high turnout election.  

-- Florida has a total of 6 valid polls. Trump has 51.5% and Biden has 48.5% of the weighted valid vote total. Trump leads by 2.9%.    Trump would get the electoral college votes.  The projected vote differential would be 150,825 in a regular turnout or 157,681 in a high turnout election. 

-- Pennsylvania has a total of 4 valid polls. Trump has 50% and Biden has 50% of the weighted valid vote total. But Joe Biden leads by 0.1%.   Biden would get the electoral college votes.  The projected vote differential would be a miniscule 2,748 in a regular turnout or 2,873 in a high turnout election. This state could be the difference in the election. 

-- Ohio has a total of 2 valid polls. Trump has 54.8% and Biden has 45.3% of the weighted valid vote total. Trump leads by 9.5%.    Trump would get the electoral college votes.  The projected vote differential would be 316,739 in a regular turnout or 331,136 in a high turnout election. 

-- Georgia has a total of 2 valid polls. Trump has 51.3% and Biden has 48.7% of the weighted valid vote total. Trump leads by 2.7%.    Trump would get the electoral college votes.  The projected vote differential would be 71,859 in a regular turnout or 75,125 in a high turnout election. 

-- Michigan has a total of 3 valid polls. Trump has 50.7% and Biden has 49.3% of the weighted valid vote total. Trump leads by 1.4%.    Trump would get the electoral college votes.  The projected vote differential would be 41,919 in a regular turnout or 43,824 in a high turnout election. 

-- North Carolina has a total of 3 valid polls. Trump has 49.3% and Biden has 50.7% of the weighted valid vote total. Biden leads by 1.5%.    Biden would get the electoral college votes.  The projected vote differential would be 42,295 in a regular turnout or 44,217 in a high turnout election. 

-- Virginia has a total of 0 valid polls. That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up.  No one currently is winning the electoral college vote according to included polls.  I'm assuming a Biden win in the state. 

-- Arizona has a total of 1 valid poll.  That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up. Trump has 52.2% and Biden has 47.8% of the weighted valid vote total. Trump leads by 4.4%.    No one currently is winning the electoral college vote according to included polls.  The projected vote differential would be 78,940 in a regular turnout or 82,528 in a high turnout election. 

-- Wisconsin has a total of 1 valid poll.  That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up. Trump has 47.7% and Biden has 52.3% of the weighted valid vote total. Biden leads by 4.7%.    No one currently is winning the electoral college vote according to included polls.  The projected vote differential would be 80,595 in a regular turnout or 84,258 in a high turnout election. 

-- Minnesota has a total of 0 valid polls. That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up.  No one currently is winning the electoral college vote according to included polls. 

-- Colorado has a total of 0 valid polls. That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up.  No one currently is winning the electoral college vote according to included polls. 

-- Nevada has a total of 0 valid polls. That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up.  No one currently is winning the electoral college vote according to included polls. 

-- Iowa has a total of 2 valid polls. Trump has 52.3% and Biden has 47.7% of the weighted valid vote total. Trump leads by 4.7%.    Trump would get the electoral college votes.  The projected vote differential would be 42,558 in a regular turnout or 44,492 in a high turnout election. 

-- New Mexico has a total of 1 valid poll.  That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up. Trump has 42.6% and Biden has 57.4% of the weighted valid vote total. Biden leads by 14.8%.    No one currently is winning the electoral college vote according to included polls.  The projected vote differential would be 74,797 in a regular turnout or 78,197 in a high turnout election. 

-- New Hampshire has a total of 2 valid polls. Trump has 48.3% and Biden has 51.7% of the weighted valid vote total. Biden leads by 3.5%.    Biden would get the electoral college votes.  The projected vote differential would be 13,821 in a regular turnout or 14,450 in a high turnout election. 

-- Maine has a total of 0 valid polls. That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up.  No one currently is winning the electoral college vote according to included polls.  Assuming a Trump win.  

*Based on the following parameters; polls taken in the last 17 days, with a sample size of at least 500 among likely voters, with a margin of error of less than 4.1%, among pollsters rated C- or better, using the Pollster Tracking by FiveThirtyEight.com, and removing 538's allocated pollster bias as well as my calculated temporal pro-Clinton bias vs. actual election results from 2016. States must have at least 2 valid polls to be considered.

I believe that president Trump will win Arizona bring his electoral college total to 261. He could also win North Carolina, New Hampshire, Minnesota and possibly Pennsylvania and Nevada. That gives him a lot of paths to victory. But in any of those states as well as Michigan I expect Democrats to mount legal proceedings to try to discount any of the president's victories.

That means this comes down to a legal battle, and the president will have to win more than 270-something or else it could be stolen.  But it's still possible that he gets as high as 326 electoral college votes if the election were held today.

This is gonna be another great Trump economic recovery

2021 is going to be an awesome economic year for the United States. The recovery to date under president Trump has been lightning fast and 2021 will be even better.


October 13, 2020

Amy Coney Barrett has a brilliant mind.

 The Supreme Court will be enhanced with her on board.

October 12, 2020

Electoral college and election night projection update

I've added a vote total component to my projection analysis and I've seen some interesting things to be a bit worried about. Remember, this is just a poll-driven analysis.  I'm only trying to account for poll errors and poll validity. With the addition of vote totals, I am looking at allocating the weighted average polling results for what I consider valid polls, on a  state by state basis.  It does not take into consideration registration changes, only Pew Research's state by state Republican/Democrat/Independent voter registration percentages (I have not paid for actual registration data because I am not rich).  These results are poll-viewed results, where I am unable to make a call in a state is it because there has not been enough valid polling being done in that state so far.  I expect a lot more polling to be done in the next three weeks and the valid data should be much more plentiful.

First the electoral college totals - I've refined my analysis to include only polls from the last 14 days, with 500 or more likely voters for sample sizes and a margin of error of 4% or less.  Including only those qualifying state polls, I have president Trump at 244 electoral college votes, Biden at 237 with 57  votes from states that are undetermined as of this moment - those being Nevada, Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, Iowa, Minnesota and Wisconsin. Texas I am assuming for Trump despite the lack of pollster information because even though there are many unknown pollsters, they are pretty much all clearly tipped towards the president.

Interestingly, after accounting for likely polling bias, I am seeing Michigan and Florida going for Trump but North Carolina going for Biden.  

There are also some interesting vote differential projections in both the regular and high turnout models. I am seeing a mere 10,000 vote win for president Trump in Florida. That's CLOSE. It's also something Democrats could paper over with mail in ballot malfeasance.

Pennsylvania I am seeing in Biden's column by 55,000 votes.  Georgia is in the president's column but by a mere 24,000 votes. Michigan he wins by only 11,000. Biden wins North Carolina by only 15,000 votes.  Despite only one valid poll, it would appear Trump will win the state by 80,000 votes.

The president's lead in Wisconsin would be smaller than 2016, winning the state by just 25,000 votes. According to the polls Biden would win New Hampshire by 16,000 votes but it's also possible that the vote differential could be less than 1000 votes.

The next three weeks are going to be very interesting.

COVID-19 and school choice


Every crisis is an opportunity. Democrats manage their crises that way. Conservatives and Republicans do not.  We have not taken advantage of COVID the way Democrats would have done were we enduring a Hillary Clinton administration.

Conservatives believe in border security and school choice. Conservatives have seen first hand the dangers of a tech monopolies. COVID was an opportunity to move the ball, in a massive way forward towards these  conservative principles and probably others too.

We didn't do it.  We never do and that's why we are always playing defense against a progressive onslaught.

For example the lockdowns and later teachers not wanting to be back in school was VERY FERTILE ground to move towards alternative education options and ultimately the viability of school choice as an option. It could have been part of any of the runs at a stimulus this year.

Conservatism is often equal to trying to keep America great by stopping change.  But liberty and other conservative principles were meant to be spread, not just protected and slowly eroded. 


October 11, 2020

October 10, 2020

October 9, 2020

Pence destroyed Harris in the VP debate

 Another post where no additional words are needed:

The bombshell you'll probably never hear about

 Just wow.  Words no longer do justice to the level of injustice that Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama and their cabal of criminals committed on the people of America in 2016:


And many voters will not hear about this. Ever. Because of the media.

Friday Musical Interlude - Peace Frog

 The Doors, 1970.

October 7, 2020

A simplified election view and an explainer of why Trump is actually winning

 Based on the latest RealClearPolitics summary of polls, without looking at the partisan split and simply removing the partisan bias per FiveThirtyEight as well as the time-specific bias in polls by state that was evident in 2016 versus the actual results, I get some interesting results.

When I say time-specific bias, I think I owe an example. In Florida in 2016, in October, the RCP polls had Clinton at 48.2% and Trump at 42.4% support. The actual election had Trump garner 49% and Clinton at 47.8%.  So Clinton support was overstated in October in the polls by only 0.4%, but at the same time, president Trump got 6.6% more of the total vote than polls projected.  Combined, the pro-Clinton effect of Florida polls in October was the Clinton 'victory' margin was overstated by 7%.

It's true that the polls were not as far off in 2016 by the time November rolled around, but prior to that, they were either very wrong, deliberately very misleading or else something big changed in the last week to sway a massive shift in voter preference. I don't think the latter scenario was the case, even though Comey re-opened the Hillary Clinton email investigation in late October.  Why do I think that?  Because in a good number of the swing states the Hillary bias did not disappear in November polls.

What's more likely is that the polls were being used to push a narrative and that as election day closed in, they had to become more accurate or be viewed as untrustworthy in the future.  The bias often persisted right up to the election in 2016, but it was more muted than it was in November. 

Polls today have Biden outperforming Hillary's 2016 polls versus Donald Trump. Is that a concern?  Definitely - remember that Hillary Clinton had almost as high unfavorables in polls as  did Donald Trump.  Biden is, inexplicably, more likeable than Hillary Clinton to many.  That's why he's in hiding and not wanting to debate Trump again (ignore the lies that it is about Trump having COVID-19).

But it's possible the polls are biased towards Biden as much or more (or less) than they were  towards Hillary Clinton.  The bias is not easy to gauge.  Maybe by 2024 I'll be able to do that.  For now, I'm going to assume that the bias is the same for Biden as it was for Clinton.

With all that said - here's what my electoral college map looks like, removing the polling bias (or mistake):



Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com

October 6, 2020

NBC 100% in the tank for Biden.

These two videos show you the lengths that NBC is willing to go to in order enable Joe Biden's bid for the presidency.

First the recent and clearly fake poll that has no basis in reality:


And then the "Town Hall" that was a softball -fest for Biden.

October 5, 2020

The latest look of the polls

Taking a look at the RealClearPolitics average of polls in the battleground states, president Trump currently has 218 electoral college votes.  Joe Biden currently has 199 electoral college votes and there are 121 electoral college votes that have not yet been decided.*
In the swing states the following results are observed:
-- Texas has a total of just 1 valid poll.  That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up. Trump has 52.7% and Biden has 47.3% of the weighted valid vote total. Trump leads by 5.4%.  No one currently is winning the electoral college vote according to included polls.  I am assuming a Trump win. 
-- Florida has a total of 1 valid poll.  That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up. Trump has 50.2% and Biden has 49.8% of the weighted valid vote total. Trump leads by 0.5%. No one currently is winning the electoral college vote according to included polls.
-- Pennsylvania has a total of 2 valid polls. Trump has 50.2% and Biden has 49.8% of the weighted valid vote total. Trump leads by 0.5%.  Trump would get the electoral college votes.
-- Ohio has a total of 4 valid polls. Trump has 53.6% and Biden has 46.4% of the weighted valid vote total. Trump leads by 7.1%. Trump would get the electoral college votes.
-- Georgia has a total of 3 valid polls. Trump has 50.1% and Biden has 49.9% of the weighted valid vote total. Trump leads by 0.1%. Trump would get the electoral college votes.
-- Michigan has a total of 1 valid poll.  That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up. Trump has 52.7% and Biden has 47.3% of the weighted valid vote total. Trump leads by 5.4%. No one currently is winning the electoral college vote according to included polls.
-- North Carolina has a total of 1 valid poll.  That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up. Trump has 50.6% and Biden has 49.4% of the weighted valid vote total. Trump leads by 1.2%. No one currently is winning the electoral college vote according to included polls.
-- Virginia has a total of 1 valid poll.  That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up. Trump has 49.4% and Biden has 50.6% of the weighted valid vote total. Biden leads by 1.2%.  No one currently is winning the electoral college vote according to included polls.  I am assuming a Biden win.
-- Arizona has a total of 0 valid polls. That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up. No one currently is winning the electoral college vote according to included polls.
-- Wisconsin has a total of 1 valid poll.  That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up. Trump has 50.5% and Biden has 49.5% of the weighted valid vote total. Trump leads by 0.9%. No one currently is winning the electoral college vote according to included polls.
-- Minnesota has a total of 1 valid poll.  That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up. Trump has 48.8% and Biden has 51.2% of the weighted valid vote total. Biden leads by 2.4%. No one currently is winning the electoral college vote according to included polls.
-- Colorado has a total of 0 valid polls. That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up. No one currently is winning the electoral college vote according to included polls.
-- Nevada has a total of 1 valid poll.  That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up. Trump has 43.8% and Biden has 56.2% of the weighted valid vote total. Biden leads by 12.3%. No one currently is winning the electoral college vote according to included polls.
-- Iowa has a total of 0 valid polls. That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up. No one currently is winning the electoral college vote according to included polls.
-- New Mexico has a total of 0 valid polls. That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up. No one currently is winning the electoral college vote according to included polls.
-- New Hampshire has a total of 3 valid polls. Trump has 48.1% and Biden has 51.9% of the weighted valid vote total. Biden leads by 3.7%. Biden would get the electoral college votes.
-- Maine has a total of 0 valid polls. That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up. No one currently is winning the electoral college vote according to included polls. 

*Based on the following parameters; polls taken in the last 14 days, with a sample size of at least 500 among likely voters, with a margin of error of less than 4.1%, among pollsters rated C- or better, using the Pollster Tracking by FiveThirtyEight.com, and removing 538's allocated pollster bias and my calculated temporal pro-Clinton bias vs. actual election results from 2016. States must have at least 2 valid polls to be considered.

Given the above adjusted poll review, president Trump would need to win Florida (which he leads), Iowa (a reasonable assumption), Maine's 2nd district (a reasonable assumption), and 16 other electoral college votes to reach 270. Michigan alone could do that.  North Carolina could also almost do it, or Wisconsin plus Arizona could do it. Of those last three, it appears that Trump leads the first two.

Things do not look bad for the president at all.  His contraction of COVID-19 could have an interesting impact on the polling once polls come in post diagnosis.


Make corrections and retractions as big as the wrong story

This morning I was watching Tim Pool rant about the media (effectively, I might add) in the video below  and at 6:55 into the video he started talking about why the media sensationalizes the news, particularly fake news.  It's truth.  But it made me think that there's an easy way to make this stop:


What if every correction or retraction was required to be as forefront as the original story?  A headline in the Washington Post about Trump being severely ill that was incorrect, would require a headline correction and as much space in the story.  CNN leading the news hour with the same story for 2 minutes would require a 2 minute explanation of why they were wrong.

I know it's complex to enforce and there's a lot of loopholes, but at least notionally it's a good idea.  The New York Times does not want to cover the front page and all the editorial pages with retractions or corrections when it will kill their paper. A little forced accountability would be healthy for the news media industry.

Just a thought.

October 4, 2020

October 3, 2020

Saturday Learning Series - Geography (Nauru)

 If you thought like I did Nauru was a planet in Stark Trek, watch these videos.

 

October 2, 2020

Friday Musical Interlude - some Japanese Dreampop for you

2014's "Myrtle" by Tokyo band Oeil.

Trump got the COVID

 And it doesn't mean much, as long as he gets well. But that won't stop Democrats from harping on his "irresponsibility" in dealing with the disease.  But if the president gets well in a couple of weeks, he has a huge arrow in his quiver against Democrat hysterics about the disease.  We shall see.

Expect Biden to call for a cancellation of the debate in the coming days. Expect the president to resist. Perhaps even expect the president to turn up and debate an empty podium as Biden refuses to show up (you know they don't want him to debate Trump).  That said, an empty podium might help Biden. It won't mess up as much. 

October 1, 2020

Maybe I wasn't wrong about the debate.

 I said this, then Tim Pool said this, making me think possibly I was wrong.  Nope. Ben Shapiro sides with me on the net effect of the cluster**** of a debate:


I think the big loser in this is Chris Wallace.  He did a terrible job, by any measure, he was uneven in his treatment of the two men (to be kind about it) and he did not control the debate nor step out of the way.  He tried to control the debate and kept interrupting but never gained control.  So he did not accomplish an open debate forum and he did not  keep both men to stick to the rules. He was less than impartial, and somehow seemed to be a co-debater of Trump along with Joe Biden.

None of that matters in the Rorschach test of a debate.  People saw what they were expecting to see on both sides; their man won or nobody won.  Anyone not decided was not persuaded by this fiasco.  That said, Trump held his own, and Biden cleared the low expectations hurdle.  But that's not a win for either man.

September 30, 2020

Am I wrong about the first debate?

 I called it a draw.  Tim Pool disagrees:

Presidential Debates Round1 - Draw

As much as I am in the MAGA camp, the best I can call the debate outcome was a draw.  Luckily, it's also the worst I can call it. Both men came across as unfriendly.  Yes it was kind of a brawl, but you can fight and still come across as likeable to the audience.  Neither man did that. Both scored some points with their base but likely not beyond that - be it with Independents or voters typically in favor of the other party.

It was a night of jabs, not haymakers, and perhaps that was by design. No one wanted to make a big mistake.  Joe Biden may have made some mistakes with his base but president Trump should not have stepped in to point it out because the left does not want to hear that from him. It effectively reduces the impact.  Another mistake on the president Trump side of the ledger was him interrupting Biden too frequently.  There were a few times that Biden looked like he had the rope to hang himself but Trump did not stand back and allow him to do so.

The strategy was clearly to rattle Biden with the interruptions, and that part appeared to work to some extent.  But the president did not allow the rattling to marinate and Biden to make mistakes.

All that aside, both sides probably proved their case to their bases, but not much more. Remember that Clinton eked out a first debate win over Trump in 2016 according to most of the media. This too may be more strategy.  Trump was better in the later debates and that may be the result of the decision to focus on rallies and face to face politicking.  And if the next two debates are more impactful for Trump, then a draw is perfectly fine. I'd expect to see a different president Trump in round 2.

September 29, 2020

First Trump-Biden debate goes tonight

I have only one prediction - Biden will be roundly declared the winner, regardless of his actual performance.

September 28, 2020

Idiot activist judge puts TikTok politics ahead of national security

Democrats caught cheating with absentee ballots

Can you imagine how big of a story this would be if it were Republican malfeasance in the election?  But it's not.  Project Veritas exposes more truth than CNN, NYT, Washington Post and Newsweek combined.  That's not hard though when the rest of those propaganda outlets expose next to nothing when it comes to truth.

State of the race - what I see


Taking a look at the RealClearPolitics average of polls in the battleground states, I am seeing results that are odds with their interpretation of who is leading the race for president in 2020. President Trump currently has 205 electoral college votes.  Joe Biden currently has 201 electoral college votes and there are 132 electoral college votes that have not yet been decided.*

In the swing states I'm seeing the following results based on the available RCP aggregation of polls: 

-- Texas has a total of 1 valid poll.  That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up. Trump has 52.7% and Biden has 47.3% of the weighted valid vote total. Trump leads by 5.4%. 
-- Florida has a total of 0 valid polls. That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up.
-- Pennsylvania has a total of 1 valid poll.  That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up. Trump has 50.1% and Biden has 49.9% of the weighted valid vote total. Trump leads by 0.1%. 
-- Ohio has a total of 2 valid polls. Trump has 52.3% and Biden has 47.7% of the weighted valid vote total. Trump leads by 4.6%. 
-- Georgia has a total of 2 valid polls. Trump has 50.3% and Biden has 49.7% of the weighted valid vote total. Trump leads by 0.6%. 
-- Michigan has a total of 2 valid polls. Trump has 49.4% and Biden has 50.6% of the weighted valid vote total. Biden leads by 1.1%. 
-- North Carolina has a total of 3 valid polls. Trump has 51.1% and Biden has 48.9% of the weighted valid vote total. Trump leads by 2.2%. 
-- Virginia has a total of 1 valid poll.  That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up. Trump has 49.4% and Biden has 50.6% of the weighted valid vote total. Biden leads by 1.2%. 
-- Arizona has a total of 0 valid polls. That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up. 
-- Wisconsin has a total of 0 valid polls. That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up. 
-- Minnesota has a total of 1 valid poll.  That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up. Trump has 48.8% and Biden has 51.2% of the weighted valid vote total. Biden leads by 2.4%. 
-- Colorado has a total of 0 valid polls. That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up.
-- Nevada has a total of 1 valid poll.  That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up. Trump has 43.8% and Biden has 56.2% of the weighted valid vote total. Biden leads by 12.3%. 
-- Iowa has a total of 0 valid polls. That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up.
-- New Mexico has a total of 0 valid polls. That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up.
-- New Hampshire has a total of 0 valid polls. That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up.
-- Maine has a total of 1 valid poll.  That is not sufficient to make a prediction in the state. The state remains a toss up. Trump has 39.3% and Biden has 60.7% of the weighted valid vote total. Biden leads by 21.3%. 
As for electoral college wins: most are still toss-ups if you look at the validity of the state polls.
Texas (38) -- No one currently is winning the electoral college vote.
Florida (29) -- No one currently is winning the electoral college vote.
Pennsylvania (20) -- No one currently is winning the electoral college vote.
Ohio (18) --Trump would get the electoral college votes.
Georgia (16) -- Trump would get the electoral college votes.
Michigan (16) -- Biden would get the electoral college votes.
North Carolina (15) -- Trump would get the electoral college votes.
Virginia (13) -- No one currently is winning the electoral college vote.
Arizona (11) No one currently is winning the electoral college vote.
Wisconsin (10) -- No one currently is winning the electoral college vote.
Minnesota (10) -- No one currently is winning the electoral college vote.
Colorado (9) -- No one currently is winning the electoral college vote.
Nevada (6) -- No one currently is winning the electoral college vote.
Iowa (6) -- No one currently is winning the electoral college vote.
New Mexico (5) -- No one currently is winning the electoral college vote.
New Hampshire (4) -- No one currently is winning the electoral college vote.
Maine (4) -- No one currently is winning the electoral college vote.
*These results are based on the following parameters; polls taken in the last 14 days, with a sample size of at least 500 among likely voters, with a margin of error of less than 4.1%, among pollsters rated C+ or better, using the Pollster Tracking by FiveThirtyEight.com, and removing 538's allocated pollster bias and my calculated temporal pro-Clinton bias vs. actual election results from 2016. States must have at least 2 valid polls to be considered.

Realistically I think both Texas and Iowa belong in the Trump column, which would up his electoral college total to 249.  With that he still needs to hold Arizona, and either Wisconsin, Michigan or Pennsylvania to put him over the 270 needed to win.

The president is in good but not great shape electorally, according to the evidence offered by pollsters (which has been presented as very bad for the president).  The reality may be very different.  But even if the president is in great shape, there's a movement afoot to delegitimize his potential win if not outright steal the election for Biden.  Every vote matters, as long as it is a real vote.  And in addition, the Republicans need to hold the senate and win back congress in order to implement Trump's agenda to drain the swamp, stand up to China, and make America great again.

UPDATE:  In my map I have assumed Florida for president Trump, where elsewhere I have left it as no current winner.  I think Trump will win Florida but I cannot call it that way based on the evidence.  Given that, I would add Florida to the "realistically in Trump's column" paragraph but as a must hold.  Otherwise the analysis holds up. Barring this craziness.

Now is the time to #WalkAway

 
#Walkaway from the political party that is build on lies.

September 27, 2020

Kim Klacik for Congress

 How does this woman not win in November? Well, voter apathy and Democrat misinformation could do the trick.

That's why working together and supporting each other matters.  Good on Rand Paul for doing this:

Every little bit helps.

Sunday verse

 


September 26, 2020

September 25, 2020

Friday Musical Interlude - Wild Nothing

 Dreampop or maybe mellow surf music, from Wild Nothing, "Nocturne" (2012):

The American Dream is real, this is cool

Hard work pays off.  This inspiring video led to an incredible series of events as seen in the follow up videos (below). 

Gary Lamb did a video thanking Tim Pool and applauding president Trump:

What happened next?  Take a look:

This is why work effort is better than grievance. The American Dream is real.

September 24, 2020

Trump: winning

I am seeing similar results to this using my polling adjustment factors, which I will share hopefully tomorrow if I have time:

September 23, 2020

Bribery? If it quacks like a duck

 Michael Bloomberg is trying to bribe Florida felons to vote for Joe Biden.

Are we doomed?

I sometimes wonder if I'm talking to the same 100 people all the time.  I'm pretty sure this blog has been shadow-banned, de-listed, whatever term you choose, by Google.  It's very rare that I see a spike in traffic.  There's no hubris in that statement, 10 years ago it used to happen. I'd get an occasional post with thousands of views.  Now?  Well it hasn't happened in about 5 years.  I get an occasional bump into several hundred more than normal, and that's it. 

I'm not going to turn this into a rant against Big Tech, who clearly have their thumb on the scale for Democrats and progressive liberal causes.  There's a reality that needs to be confronted, because Congress is not going to confront it.  Until there's a conservative version of Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, Pinterest and Google, we are going to have an ever-shrinking voice in the public sphere.  We will be silenced.  It will be a death by 1000 cuts scenario, and we are only about 300 cuts into it.

I know there are alternatives that have developed like Parler instead of Twitter but they seem to be stuck below the critical mass needed to become an alternative.  Perhaps it requires a root level alternative, a counter to Google, which is a truly massive undertaking, probably beyond our capability.

So what do we do?

Talking to your neighbors, neighborhood grassroots organizations, and voting are part of the answer but not all of it. At some point that becomes the same as this blog - talking to each other and not spreading the word.  Our message needs to reach into areas that it does not currently reach. There are cities and states that are with 100% certainty, locked down by Democrats. They do not get exposed to a conservative message.

The one weapon we have right now is president Trump. He's not afraid to do the outreach that changing demographics dictate we must at least consider, if not address.  In 2016 Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania proved it.  But if president Trump loses (legitimately or otherwise) or if he's not replaced by a similar fighter who is willing to win over non-supporters we are in big trouble. Are we doomed?  Yeah, maybe.

Even with a Republican congress, senate and president after 2020, we are on borrowed time right now. In every arena, media, education, government beaurocracy (the CIA, IRS, and FBI to name a few), entertainment, sports, law, and Big Tech we are getting our asses handed to us. Even churches are losing their values and caving to the social justice mob. 

It's not over, but as I said, we are on borrowed time thanks to president Trump. We need to make the most of it.  We need a conservative network of support and promotion.  We need one that grows not only in political action committee efforts but to include all of the areas mentioned above.  We need an allegiance to conservative principles and a support system across every area of life.  Yes it sounds like Big Brother, but it's a fight-fire-with-fire situation.  We need to fight back and we need to do it no.  Short of cheating with vote-by-mail schemes like Democrats, we need to coalesce. We need to harden and we need to fight back a lot harder than we are doing.  The reason we aren't is because we can't. We are millions of voices but we are not in unison.  We won't always need to be so homogenous, but the only way to fight the ongoing onslaught by the Democratic hoard is to be an organized, coordinated  hoard on our side. Failing that we probably are doomed.

September 22, 2020

What Trump did and Democrats won't - decoupling

Democrats, step back for a moment.  Look at what has happened in the last 12 years. Most recently, President Trump has worked to stop endless wars. He's stopped ignoring minorities, stopped foregoing rust belt states as locked Democrat voters, he stopped ignoring the working class in favor of a globalist agenda under the guise of free trade. He's decoupled the GOP from having a blind eye on illegal immigration. In effect, he has decoupled the Republican party from it's recent historical agenda in a return to root conservative principles.  He's decoupled the Republican party from it's establishment agenda and tied it to a populist agenda that favors the middle class and the working class.  It's been genius despite all of the resistance from everyone both within the GOP establishment and from without (the Democrats, the media, educational institutions, the beaurocracy in Washington, etc.).  It will be brilliant if he manages to win re-election.

Brilliant because Democrats will not have learned from his example.  The old staid policy platforms of both parties were part of the reason for the logjam that had become Washington D.C. It's not that the positions were unimportant - some were, some were not - but rather that a healthy re-examination of them was not being done on either side.

It certainly was not done on the Democrat side in the eight years of president Obama.  Democrats doubled down on identity politics. Democrats pushed the accelerator on the things they thought got president Obama elected. You believed your own hyperbole not just on Obama but on your policy positions.  You got it wrong.

Now, if president Trump wins re-election, you Democrats will either have to do the same, or face the fact that it is common sense, not demographics, that informs destiny. But you either won't or can't decouple from tax the rich philosophy, so the rich move and Democrat states lose revenue, and eventually, power. You seem oddly unwilling to decouple from globalism, so voters move away from Democrats towards the party that seems to care about the working class and middle American jobs. You are tied to group politics and perhaps cannot decouple from the theory that you build your base on identity politics, as your tight grip on these groups continues to decay.  If the Democrats do not similarly decouple from your recent history as Republicans led by president Trump have done, you won't win. 


September 21, 2020

Do it now!

I'm not going to sugar coat this, Ruth Bader Gindsberg's seat on the Supreme Court should be filled on by a president Trump appointee ASAP. By ASAP I mean before the election, or at worst, in the lame duck session after the election.

There is zero reason to delay this, and I don't expect the president, nor the senate Republicans will do so.  Of course there may be some recalcitrant Republicans who are either in a precarious re-election battle (Susan Collins), wish-washy (Lisa Murkowski) or just plain spiteful (Mitt Romney) who might not vote to nominate a Trump appointee if it happens before the election.  But those are not show-stoppers.  The Republicans have 5 seats in the Senate and if they lose all three of those votes, the deciding vote is cast by VP Pence, so Trump's nominee will be confirmed.

There are many reasons not to delay:

  • it's seen as decisive action by Republicans, delivering on one of the most important issues for conservative voters.
  • there's no guarantee Republicans will be able to pass a Trump appointee after the election if either Trump loses the election or Republicans lose control of the senate in November
  • most importantly, there is no reason to care if the left sees Republicans as holding a double standard after Mitch McConnell refused to hold hearings on president Obama's nominee Merrick Garland when Obama had less than a year left in his term because Democrats would have no compunction about doing it if the roles were reverse.  We must not be held to the standards they want  because Republicans are in power and avoiding the use of that power to achieve conservative goals ensures that they will never be achieved.
Don't sweat the risks of this.  Yes, there are downsides like firing up the Democrat base, but they are pretty fired up already.  Fire up our base by showing them results.

While you are at it, replace the role of the justice you are nominating with another conservative justice at the same time.  Do it.  Do it now!

September 20, 2020

September 19, 2020

Saturday Learning Series - Geography (Myanmar)

 The geography of Myanmar, the flag, and some bonus content:

September 18, 2020

September 16, 2020

We'll be right back

I am experiencing an unusually hectic day with my day job, so the posts I had planned to work on this morning have been postponed.  Nonsensible Shoes will return shortly.

 


September 15, 2020

Drudge is off the rails and why it matters

 For years the Drudge Report was the place for news minus the mainstream media skew.  Conservatives held it in high esteem.  For the last year I have not been using the Drudge Report at all because it has gone off the rails.  It's just like the New York Times now.  It's useless, anti-Trump, orange man bad, kool-aid drinking Trump-derangement syndrome crazy.

It's not just me seeing this.

If you are a conservative and have been relying on Drudge without realizing the change that has happened, please stop using it as a source.

The problem with being a conservative and having so few news sources and pundits on our side (relatively speaking) is that progressive know this.  They can attempt to destroy our voices like they tried with James O'Keefe and Project Veritas (and many others) or they can  subvert or convert the voices on our side like with Fox News or Matt Drudge.  Either way it is a big blow to our voice, our side.  Each voice silenced is a big blow to our message, unlike CNN faltering on the left there are hundreds of other voices that can step into the void.  What hinders liberals is that they step in and keep making the same mistakes so liberal messaging is hemorrhaging across the board.  That's what is keeping our side afloat, not our own strength of voice.

I hate to say it but what the right needs is a little less competition and a little more cooperation.  We see that happening but not enough.  Conservative voices are still seedlings and not mighty oaks.  Outside of Fox News, Matt Drudge and Rush Limbaugh there are a few next tier voices that matter but with Fox and Drudge titling leftward now, only Rush Limbaugh remains as a steadfast top tier reliably conservative voice.  As much as I love Rush and have been listening since 1989 or 1990, we cannot have him remain our lone voice, even as strong as his voice is.

We must become a network of supporting members, as fraught with peril in the long run as that becomes.  We do not want to become the same problem the liberal media can become.  While we are capable avoiding that, and must be mindful of it, we do need to create an environment where conservative voices can flourish.  It's a strategic imperative for the right. 

September 14, 2020

Conform or be cast out - NFL edition

I have to confess, I've lost a lot of respect for the NFL and their efforts at wokeness.  They have done so much to turn off their fans, including me, that this could be the inflection point for the league - either realize the damage you are doing to your reputation and stop it, or go full force woke, and learn to live with a fraction of your former audience ( and the commensurate decline in TV revenue, merchandise sales etc.).  I was not planning on supporting the NFL this season.  But despite that my curiosity got to me. Brady and Gronkowski going to New England?  Other high profile players switching teams?  The Raiders in Las Vegas? Nope, nope and nope.  The sad state of the game was my driving curiosity.

I wanted to see the Washington Redskins' Football Team's new helmets.  No logo, just the players' numbers on the side of the helmet.  Just like Canada's popular "No Name" (generic) brand of grocery products, the homogeneity of the Washington Football team inspires blandness.  It inspires conformity.  To a generation bent on being true to themselves and their unique identity by getting the same sort of tattoos, body piercings, fad clothing and haircuts as everyone else, conformity should be anathema.

But in a twisted perversion of identity, sameness is celebrated by a society too dumb to realize they have been duped.   All people of 'all genders' are the same.  Men and women are the same, conform to the notion that Black Lives Matter is purity or else be cast out.  The NFL is not immune to any of this, and indeed seems to have embraced it.  The Washington Football Team's no logo is the epitome of that notion.  Dolphins are endangered,  let's change their logo to the Miami Football Club, so as not to be confused with the Washington Football Team. Ridiculous.

But it extends beyond the team formerly known as the Redskins.  Stadiums were mostly completely empty because of COVID. I wanted to see the teams pump in crowd noise.  It was sad.  The players kneeling for the anthem or the playing of both the national anthem and “Lift Ev’ry Voice And Sing,” commonly known as the Black national anthem.  They seem to think that is a smart, and inclusive move when it is at its core segregationist.  A separate national anthem?  How does that bring people together?  Answer - it doesn't, it does the opposite.  It places people in different camps.

Let's not forget the COVID fear inspired no training camps.  A lot of the stuff I saw on the field looked like many of the players were just not ready enough.  It looked like preseason in many places.

I still love football. What I don't love is where the NFL is at right now, and I won't be watching  any games in week 2.  Sure, I'll ready the scores, maybe watch a few highlights.  But sports, formerly the last refuge from political correctness and enforced conformity has lost it's luster for me.  Liberals have managed to destroy yet another thing they have touched.  The NFL may have just experienced their own #MeToo moment after being mauled by liberal ideology.

September 13, 2020

September 12, 2020

Saturday Learning Series - Geography (Mozambique)

 Returning the Saturday Learning Series to geography, let's check out Mozambique.



And the flag:

September 11, 2020

Will president Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize? No.



President Trump brokered a peace deal and normalized relations between The United Arab Emirates and Israel.  Were that president Obama he would have won his second Nobel Peace Prize, this time actually having earned it rather than getting it for his 'potential'.  But Trump got crickets.  Or rather he got nominated for a Nobel Peace Prize, but it affected little fanfare in America.  Now president Obama has brokered a peace deal and normalized relations between Bahrain and Israel.

Wow. WOW!    Obama didn't accomplish that, or either president Bush or Bill Clinton.  Impressive, right? Well yes, but he won't be heralded in America because the media cannot laud their mortal enemy weeks before his possible re-election.  

And he won't win the Nobel Prize either, even though this merits it.  And he probably has more of these peace accords between Arab nations and Israel pending too.  But just like the United Nations, the Nobel Foundation has a globalist view.  Their unwarranted peace prize to then president Obama proves it is an agenda driven organization.  So no, president Trump will win the peace prize.  Corruption and agendas will see to it.

Friday Musical Interlude - Never Forget

 Fleetwood Mac's song Never Forget from the 1979 album Tusk. 

We have not forgotten

If you lost loved ones in 9-11, my deepest sympathies are with you.  America needs to be more than just a shining city on a hill, it must be a safe shining city on a hill.  For the most part it is, but we must never forget that there are those who would exploit America's vulnerabilities for evil reasons.  It harms America and it harms real people when it succeeds. If we forget, we risk more harm.  Never Forget.


 

September 10, 2020

ACLU goes after kid

 If you thought the ALCU was for liberty, you were wrong.  They have an agenda and if you are against it, they feel free to ruin your life. Apparently Nick Sandmann can't go to college if tehy ACLU have their way.

September 9, 2020

Another look - why the polls don't scare me

Intuitively everyone on the right understands that Clinton was crushing president Trump in the polls in 2016 and still lost.  I've been looking at the polls in 2016 by month. After filtering for likely voter polls in the RealClearPolitics polls for September 2016, and comparing those results to the final outcome of the presidential election there is a consistent bias in the results towards Clinton.  Looking state by state you can see the bias in the polling leaning heavily towards Hillary Clinton:

As you can see there were 13 states in September that exhibited a polling bias towards Clinton, two that exhibited no bias and two that exhibited a bias, or error, towards president Trump. Some of the bias was pretty dramatic at this point in the race.

Some of these states had the bias tighten later in the race.  Some did not.  The point is the polls now are either biased or inaccurate compared to what they will like like the day before the election.  One counter-argument could be that the voters' choices changed during that time as well.  Fair enough - there was all of that James Comey garbage of the email investigation back and forth going on.

But if you look back at this point in the race there was a media exuberance that Clinton was going to win 350+ electoral college votes.  Remember this?


Isn't that fun to watch in retrospect?

Even if the pollsters have made adjustments and accounted for 75% of those biases (which is a stretch since there is little evidence that is the case), there's still a swing of a couple of points towards president Trump and that impacts his chances of re-election pretty significantly.

FiveThirtyEight has rated various pollsters as having a bias towards Democrats or Republicans or neither, but that is a more generic bias and understates the bias I have found.  It's possible both biases apply.  Most of the FiveThirtyEight polls seem to have benefited Democrats.  While there is potentially some overlap between their identified biases and my 2016 pollster biases, the overall impact is to Trump's benefit and potentially more than my cautious view of granting pollsters a 75% correction this time around.  The polls don't scare me.

September 8, 2020

Dinesh D'Souza summarizes The Atlantic's latest hit piece on Trump

Dinesh D'Souza summarizes why you shouldn't believe the hit piece in the Atlantic on president Trump.  In the process of watching you'll come to the realization of the reason why people have stopped believing the mainstream media and their anonymous source; it's because they have been proven wrong SO MANY TIMES already.  I guess maybe if you're a progressive leftist or a member of that same mainstream media, you may not actually come to that realization just yet, and I'm fine with that because you've made yourself into a joke.

September 7, 2020

Stemming the final push of the woke

Wokeness and China-ness are killing the NBA. Politics over product produces a paucity of people.

Via Tim Pool (more below the video).



If athletes, some of the most successful people in America thanks to their skill, believe that America keeps people of color oppressed, so be it.  It's blindness, but everyone is entitled to their own opinions. If they want that to be the stamp on their sport so be it too.  But don't expect everyone to fall in line with it.  The Harris poll shows that to be true.  

America is a damn successful country and it enables success for everyone, albeit quite imperfectly (there's definitely room for improvement).   Because it is so successful, people need an escape,  a respite from the day to day grind of putting food on the table.  When they want that escape, they don't want to be preached to about being uncaring scumbags who support cruelty and inequity.  That's not who they are, they don't deserve that and they don't want to watch someone telling them to be woke.  They want to see a three point shot or an amazing dunk.

Yet the growing omnipresence of the social justice agenda and messaging is slowly tearing away the fabric of America, the world's only true exercise in people first. Progressives clearly want to take that away, or are unaware how badly they are damaging it.  And the omnipresence is real.  It was news media, education, the entertainment industry and the government (everything from the FBI to the IRS).  That was destructive enough. It's now moved beyond that to the remaining refuge of sports and video games. Even knitting for God's sake. It's even infiltrating religion.  It's a weed that needs to be eradicated.

I'm not talking about anything nefarious.  I'm talking about really waking up to what is happening and pushing back.  Voting for conservative principles.  Eschewing companies that support radical agendas.  Going to PTA meetings to have some control over what your children are learning and not learning.  If you are so inclined, go to your church regularly and speak up about what it should be doing - volunteerism not advocacy.  And boycott sports that boycott their own business in favor of wokeness.  Start your own community organizations aimed at positive change towards American values.  Just voting for president Trump is not enough.  It's stemmed the bleeding but not solved the problem.

There's a war going on and you are losing the battle for the soul of your country and many of you are not even paying attention to it.  The one good thing about this massive progressive push is that has been a red alert for a lot of people.  The slow crawl to wards socialism was working because people would just grumble about these minor incremental changes but accept them.  With Obama there came this "fierce urgency of now" that led so many on the woke, progressive Left to believe they were so close to the finish line, that Trump was just a one time aberration that requires a massive ramp-up of the push towards socialism.  A final push of wokeness, they believe is all that is need to quash resistance to their collectivist socialism.  

But it's finally alerted many people to the danger they pose to America, to liberty, to individuality, to creativity, to entertainment, to religion, to life and to individualism.  They may have harmed their own cause irreparably. That remains to be seen. Everyone needs to play a part in the future of the country.  That starts at home, in your own community and goes all the way up to every vote you ever cast locally, statewide and federally.  Look at who you are voting for.  Understand what values they stand behind and their positions on issues.  Democrats vote in a block and cannot be trusted to vote what they claim.  But many Republicans are establishment types who espouse, if only secretly, the same positions as the Democrats.  Know who they all really are, and act and vote accordingly.  It is incumbent upon you, not just now, always.  Because this is not the final push of the woke, even if they believe it is.

With personal freedom comes personal responsibility, and that includes your RESPONSIBILITY to vote, and vote with understanding and knowledge.

September 6, 2020

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