Trump endorses both candidates in Arizona race

Well played Mr. President, well played!

I must have missed this

AZ Governor Katie Hobbs was always suspicious, this is no surprise:

The real danger for the Trump 2024 campaign

Donald Trump is an infinitely better candidate for president than Kamala Harris. He'd be a much better debater if she musters the courage to debate Trump (she probably won't and that alone is very telling). Trump would of course make an infinitely better president than Kamala Harris. We know this. But there's reason to worry. The Democrats are not playing to win, they're playing to be able to be in a position to say they won.

If you look at the RealClearPolitics poll averages in the swing states (something I urge you to do with caution as it averages polls that are not alike), as of today, Trump still leads Harris in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina, and Georgia. He's only trailing in Michigan, but thanks mainly to a highly unlikely outlier poll. If the entire current RCP state of affairs holds true, Trump will get 297 electoral college votes and win the presidency.

But here's the catch, the polls, particularly including the outliers, have significantly dampened the lead Trump holds.  In fact they've depressed the margins strongly enough (again as of now), that it would be fairly easy for Democrats to pad the vote totals and steal the election in states like Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.  Those two states alone would swing the election to Harris given enough ballot stuffing. And the Trump leads are a bit tight. You could also add Georgia to the list of possible Harris steals. Maybe even Arizona. 

The real danger therefore, is not Trump being unable to win the right combination of states to win the electoral college, the danger is not winning the right combination of states by enough votes to overcome cheating on an epic scale by Democrats in those states.  If Kamala Harris does indeed choose inexplicably popular Pennsylvania governor Josh Shapiro as her running mate, being able to cheat Pennsylvania into her column becomes infinitely easier.  If she holds the suspect polls for Michigan, that means any one Wisconsin, Georgia or Arizona would capture the Whitehouse for the Democrat.

The map with Harris as the Democrat nominee should be at least as easy for Trump as it was with Let's Go Brandon, but the truth is, it got harder. Not through legitimacy, but the bar to provably win each swing state got higher.

Tim Pool on Republican ballot harvesting

Tim Pool discusses Kari Lake's lawsuit in the Arizona election regarding Katie Hobbs' questionable win in the Arizona governor race.  The court is willing to look at the case, which is good news.  But Tim makes the larger point that Republicans should be ballot harvesting low information voters the same way Democrats have successfully done.  It's a strong point.

Pool also makes a great point about the need for establishing confidence in the election system.

Arizona, what happened?

 Georgia was a bad enough situation but the circumstances in Arizona are outright appalling.

Hundreds, if not, thousands, of Maricopa County election workers have come forward with evidence of illegality in this election.

Katie Hobbs refused to debate, did not campaign, and had almost no following. No reasonable person would believe that she actually won this race. She ran against Kari Lake, one of the most popular Republican candidates in a generation.

But Hobbs ran the election, oversaw 30% of election day precinct machines breaking down, had the media in her pocket, and is working with social media platforms to silence her critics.

The power brokers on the left are laughing at you for allowing this to happen America. 

Frustration

Is it time to devolve into chaos yet? Or do we just accept that this is going to continue? Frustration from things like this:

Can lead to a lot of frustration. I don't think Kari Lake should just knuckle under and accept a dubious defeat. The best way to deal with dubious results however, is logically, as espoused by Jordan Person in this discussion about president Trump:

Logic does not mean giving up, it means fighting within legal parameters.  I know that's hard to do when you feel you're being cheated, but it is ultimately necessary.

Governor Series: AZ - Kari Lake

Kari Lake talks about her agenda, her opponent hides from debates and reporters. Forhtright vs. Suspicious?  Yep.

Senate Series: AZ - Blake Masters

Challenger in Arizona, Blake Masters has really tightened the polling gap. He deserves to win and Arizona deserves better than it has gotten from Mark Kelly.

Let's hope this pans out

 Could non-RINO Republicans take back Arizona?  Yes.

Arizona Audit Report Presentation - Full Replay

The recent Arizona audit of the 2020 election results, played in full because it needs to be seen, not hidden.  Hopefully this doesn't get taken down from YouTube.

Massive voter fraud in Arizona ?

Arizona is about to release the results of an audit of voting irregularities tomorrow.  Apparently there are going to be a lot of questions after it is released. 

Arizona should not have been called

Fox was not stupid, they were complicit. That's obviously an opinion, but I think it's based on actual events as they occurred. That's a discussion for another day. But let's take a look at why Arizona may still end up in Trump's column.

Hey Georgia, when you run out of ballots, start counting napkins

...and empty cereal boxes.  Oh, and change your state motto to "Cheat To Win".  I thought Georgia was a state where people gave a crap. Turns out it only takes enough of them to crap on democracy to wipe out a country.  Good for you.

Pennsylvania you're not exempt either.  Bill Burr was 100% as right about Philadelphia.

Michigan, well we didn't really expect anything out of you anyway. You never fail to disappoint until you do it so much it becomes the expectation.

Wisconsin, now that's a real disappointment.  I'm not gonna lie, I had hopes for you.

Arizona makes no sense anymore and Nevada, I hope Las Vegas gets swallowed up by the desert.  Been there once, recently in fact, had a great time.  Guess what - never going back again. Enjoy the Raiders until they move back to Oakland and you are left with a giant empty stadium.

Okay, that felt good.  Back to normal.

Errors and oddities

 Arizona errors, Michigan oddities...

Midterms Matter: In Arizona 2nd District - please support Lea Marquez Peterson

The race for Arizona's 2nd congressional district is one in which the polling definitely seem skewed.  Hillary Clinton won this district but so too did Mitt Romney.  The district is consider a Leans Republican district but the only poll conducted so far, in late September by the NYT, showed the Democrat with an 11 point lead. FiveThirtyEight shows the Democrat having a 96% chance of winning.

But is that really true?  I'm not convinced any polling done by NYT/Sienna is valid, and FiveThirtyEight had Hillary Clinton's chance of winning in 2016 at 71% chance of winning, but only at the very end.  And there is a heavy reliance on the one suspect poll in this race.  The odds at 96% are frankly ridiculous given what we know about the candidates in this race.

The Democrat, Ann Kirkpatrick seemingly fended of her more radical primary opponent after an infusion of cash from the Democratic establishment.  Will Arizona's 2nd district progressives turn out for a party insider? Enthusiasm has to be down among the far left in this race.

But Kirkpatrick herself is not counting on progressives, she's trying to pull a Heitkamp and lure unsuspecting independent and Republican voters into her orbit.

Kirkpatrick said she has “always voted like a Democrat” and that she’s “always” had challenges from the left “in every campaign.”

“It’s a swing district, and I have to remind people of that,” Kirkpatrick said, standing in the hallway of her campaign office as two dozen volunteers phone-banked on her behalf. “You can’t win this district with just Democratic votes.”

The contrast in those two paragraphs is truly stark - always voted like a Democrat vs. can't win with just Democratic votes.  That's as underhanded as it gets. 

It doesn't start and end there - even her primary opponent tried to legally challenge her openness of her actual residency.  Even though she can legally run, she's a carpetbagger. And when it comes to being attacked, she reverts to playing the victim, trying to tie her opponents remarks to, of all things, sexism.  That's just plain manipulative.

She's also been non-responsive to constituents, having been implicated in the VA scandal.

Imagine how she will be if she gets into congress.  There's a stark contrast in what her opponent is offering.  She has an impressive resume of qualifications to serve the District. President & CEO of the Tucson Hispanic Chamber of Commerce. Co-chair the Arizona Zanjeros, a business leadership group formed to promote economic development in the state. She chairs the board of St Mary’s Hospital and the Pima Association of Governments Economic Vitality Committee. Lea has received dozens of awards and recognitions throughout her career. This is to name but a few of her many accomplishments. In addition, Lea has resided in the 2nd Congressional District for over 40 years.

Lea Marquez Peterson needs your support to counter the establishment left agenda and to provide meaningful and purposeful representation in the district.  Please support her efforts; volunteer, donate or at least check out her positions on her website. And by all means - vote. 

Thank you.

Midterms Matter: In Arizona's 9th District, please support Steve Ferrara

Arizona's 9th District has been reliably Democrat in the last few elections.  That's largely due to then congressional candidate Kristen Sinema winning and holding the seat.  Now that she's running for the senate, where she can really damage the country, the seat is open.  But as a result of the district's voting history, it is still listed as "Likely Democrat" by most pundits.  That's a shame because the Republicans are blessed with a quality candidate.  Furthermore, this race is not over and Steve Ferrara has a real shot at winning this race.

There have been no polls but Steve Ferrara is a grassroots conservative with common sense positions on the issues.  He is a veteran and a radiologist.  Those are some impressive credentials for dedication and service.  

His opponent is a former mayor with a history of scandal and is secretive about his radical progressive agenda.  Pundits give the Democrat a 99% chance of winning.  However, only 41% of eligible voters are predicted to turn out.  With significant influential endorsements, and presidential accomplishments that have many voters enthusiastic about a GOP win in the district, Steve Ferrera could win with a strong surge of voters who think the country is finally heading in the right direction.

What matters in these last two weeks is voter support. Steve Ferrera needs your support  in this important race.  Please support his efforts; volunteer, donate or at least check out his positions on his website. And by all means - vote. 

Thank you.

Midterms Matter: In Arizona's 1st District, please support Wendy Rogers

Wendy Rogers is running for congress for Arizona's 1st congressional district.  The district is rated as leaning Democrat despite the fact that both president Trump and Mitt Romney carried the district in the most recent presidential elections.  The midterm is obviously a different situation but the Democrats are determined to treat this election as a referendum on president Trump.  That's fine, as long as voters who support the president's policies also turn out to vote for quality candidates like Wendy Rogers.

Her opponent holds a lot of ridiculous positions:

This seems like a straightforward choice. But it is going to be a close race. That means Wendy Rogers could use your help and support.  Please support her efforts; volunteer, donate or at least check out her positions on her website. And by all means - vote. 

Thank you.

Midterms Matter: For Arizona Senate, please support Martha McSally

Martha McSally was the first woman to fly a fighter jet on a combat mission. She won a Bronze Star and 6 medals for her service to America.  She represents Arizona in Congress and is looking to gain your support for a seat in the Senate. This is a close but important race; her opponent is an extremist (so far left, she won't even support Chuck Schumer), a classless opportunist, and has a history of not caring from where her support might come.

Martha McSally on the other hand already has a record of accomplishment on common sense deliverables.

Some of Martha accomplishments during her three years in office include:

• Authoring and passing 18 bills in three years. 

• Fighting for and funding the A-10 Warthog — the world’s best plane to provide Close Air Support to American troops. It is also a primary mission of Davis-Monthan Air -Base, which employs thousands of airmen and pumps millions into Southern Arizona’s economy. Martha flew the A-10 in combat in the Air Force. -

• Authoring legislation signed by the President that restored the rights for WWII female pilots to have their ashes in Arlington National Cemetery.

• Authoring legislation signed by the President to fast track veterans for jobs at our border to fill critical vacancies.

• Spearheading solutions to secure the southwest border.

You can have that, or you can have this:

Her opponent is an extremist masquerading as a moderate.  Don't be fooled. Martha McSally is the smart choice.

Please support her efforts; volunteer, donate or at least check out her positions on her website.  And by all means - vote.

Thank you.

Sheriff Joe vs Jeff Flake?

Possibly coming soon, recently presidentially pardoned Sheriff Joe Arpaio might challenge faux conservative Jeff Flake in the primary for the Arizona Republican senator's seat.

My only concern with Sheriff Joe would be his age. He'd make a good senator for the state and is head and shoulders above Jeff Flake, but a 6 year term for an 85 year old man seems risky. That said, a win would be a vote in favor of Obamacare repeal and a border wall. And should Sheriff Joe become unable to continue prior to completion of his term, at least a CINO would have been displaced and that would be a win for conservatives.

Quick hit: Supremely Disappointing Court

Just happening this morning, the Supreme Court has ruled Arizona's law that requires proof of citizenship for voting purposes illegal.

WASHINGTON (AP) -- The Supreme Court ruled Monday that states cannot require would-be voters to prove they are U.S. citizens before using a federal registration system designed to make signing up easier.

The justices voted 7-2 to throw out Arizona's voter-approved requirement that prospective voters document their U.S. citizenship in order to use a registration form produced under the federal "Motor Voter" voter registration law.

Federal law "precludes Arizona from requiring a federal form applicant to submit information beyond that required by the form itself," Justice Antonia Scalia wrote for the court's majority.

The court was considering the legality of Arizona's requirement that prospective voters document their U.S. citizenship in order to use a registration form produced under the federal "motor voter" registration law.

Is it just me or does this seem like a 10th Amendment issue?  We'll need more details to determine the decision's logic, but if this is supposed to be a conservative court, I'm not impressed.