Without an elections strategy that leverages demographic trends, conservative Republicans are doomed to repeat the failures of the past. Conservatives tend to be students of history - the past can offer terrific insight into the future dangers and opportunities. One of the confluences of two emerging trends offers the GOP a great opportunity for improved electoral performance. Failure to recognize the opportunity, failure to capitalize on it will turn the opportunity into an electoral threat. There are two trends to consider (1) educational standards and reforms and (2) the rapidly growing Hispanic demographic. Our Nation is at risk. Our once unchallenged preeminence in
commerce, industry, science, and technological innovation is being overtaken by
competitors throughout the world. This report is concerned with only one of the
many causes and dimensions of the problem, but it is the one that undergirds
American prosperity, security, and civility. We report to the American people
that while we can take justifiable pride in what our schools and colleges have
historically accomplished and contributed to the United States and the
well-being of its people, the educational foundations of our society are
presently being eroded by a rising tide of mediocrity that threatens our very
future as a Nation and a people. What was unimaginable a generation ago has
begun to occur--others are matching and surpassing our educational attainments.If an unfriendly foreign power had attempted to impose on America the
mediocre educational performance that exists today, we might well have viewed it
as an act of war. As it stands, we have allowed this to happen to ourselves. We
have even squandered the gains in student achievement made in the wake of the
Sputnik challenge. Moreover, we have dismantled essential support systems which
helped make those gains possible. We have, in effect, been committing an act of
unthinking, unilateral educational disarmament.Our society and its educational institutions seem to have lost sight of the basic purposes of
schooling, and of the high expectations and disciplined effort needed to attain
them. This report, the result of 18 months of study, seeks to generate reform of
our educational system in fundamental ways and to renew the Nation's commitment
to schools and colleges of high quality throughout the length and breadth of our
land.
Census Hispanic Hispanic
Year Pop (Millons) % Total Pop
1970 9.6 4.7
1980 14.6 6.4
1990 22.4 9.0
2000 35.3 12.5
Projections
2020* 59.7 17.8
2030* 73.0 20.1
2040* 87.7 22.3
2050* 102.6 24.4

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