Showing posts with label Pawlenty. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Pawlenty. Show all posts

August 29, 2012

Quick Grading GOP Convention Speeches - Day 2

Speech of the night.
A close second.
For comparison, here are my quick assessments from Day 1

Unfortunately I missed Rand Paul, so I'll have to update that here after watching a replay.

The speeches tonight were good and certainly from a generally higher profile group than the first night (Christie being the obvious exception yesterday as the keynote speaker, and Abbe Romney also).

John McCain - the speech was okay, but he seemed tired and quite uninspiring.  D

Rob Portman - some great parts and some dull parts, but overall - pretty good. B-

Tim Pawlenty - A lot of good one liners kept the crowd engaged but not on their feet. B

Mike Huckabee - His prior speaking experience showed.  On point, well spoken, and engaging.  B+

Condoleeza Rice - Resolute, stirring and focused on national security which has only been casually mentioned heretofore.  Included the topics of trade and energy and economy and tied it all back to conservative philosophy. Inspired the crowd, and me. Rousing. A+

Susana Martinez - I wouldn't have wanted to follow Condi Rice. But her family success story was inspiring and important.  I wonder if MSNBC showed her. B

Paul Ryan - He hit all the right notes but it was not moving the way Rice's speech was. If it had started a bit more energetically the way it was when it had built up, his would have been the speech of the night. Still, a forward moving speech that was very strong over the latter half.    A


August 16, 2011

Some more two word opinions

I'm not really back from an unintended break in posting.  August has been an unusually busy month for me at work.  Consequently, my  posting frequency has suffered.  That's unfortunate because going into the dog days of August when there will be little new to discuss, my free time might just be normalizing.  That will mean I'll have to write more analytical essays, which might not be so bad since it's my preference anyway. In the meantime, anti-essays will be the order of the day since I only have 10 minutes to get this post done. 


Since brevity is the soul of wit, I give you more two word opinions.  The truth is that each of these today could still be reduced to a single word, so I'm not being as brief as possible..  I'll leave it to you to figure out for yourself  how to shorten these.

July 26, 2011

Debt Ceiling: Tim Pawlenty Says

The Des Moines Register on Tim Pawlenty's take on things;
“This is one of those line-in-the-sand moments” for Republicans, Pawlenty said. “Now it’s time for our team to walk the walk. We need to get something, some real meaningful structural reform.”

Pawlenty said that Obama offered a “false premise” by saying the government had no choice but to raise the debt ceiling or default on its payments. He said the government has the cash flow “for a while” to pay its bills in priority order, which would buy time to make actual spending cuts.

“Eventually you run out of money, but what you do is you buy yourself a bunch of time to have the debate about real reform,” he said....

Like many GOP presidential candidates, Pawlenty has said he supports the “cut, cap and balance” pledge, which calls for cutting federal spending, placing enforceable spending caps on the federal government and adopting a constitutional amendment that would require the government to balance its budget each year...

“I’ve been in favor of this approach,” Pawlenty said. “I no longer believe in the people we send to Washington, D.C., to balance the budget.”
Sensible.

June 14, 2011

GOP debate winners and losers

A lot has been written since last night about the GOP debate winners and losers.  Adding a detailed analysis here won't add much value, so here's a quick assessment.

May 23, 2011

As Expected, Pawlenty In

No surprise, Tim Pawlenty has entered the GOP race for president. The opening piece isn't bad at all. But this is not a sprint, it's a marathon and this is merely the first step. A single video isn't going to do much, but as a start goes, not bad.



I'm not a Pawlenty supporter, but as I've said before of other candidates - I'd support him over Obama any day.

May 22, 2011

Cain in, Daniels Out. Now what?

To catch everyone up on what's going on, Herman Cain is running in the GOP primaries.  Mitch Daniels another suspected candidate, surprisingly, is not.  Add Daniels' name to Huckabee and Trump, as a candidate who was a pretty safe bet to run and has dropped out before the race has begun.  Add to that the fact that Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman and Ron Paul have all said some pretty foolish things that make their nominations unlikely at best, as did Daniels' record for that matter. So far it seems like the GOP primary is starting off with a fizzle.  Romney has to be considered a clear front runner at this point.  Romney won't generate much enthusiasm in the primaries but with a disjointed field of relative unknowns, he has the easiest path to primary victory.  So far.

May 11, 2011

GOP 12 Man Rotation

In baseball, a team carries about a dozen pitchers. On a roster of 25 that borders on 50% of the staff. Why so many? Pitchers' arms get tired and they can't pitch every day. They would throw too softly and serve up home run after home run. They would risk injuring their arms and ending their careers. There's a lesson in that which the GOP may have inadvertently stumbled upon.


February 17, 2010

The problem with the Pawlenty defense

On Monday, Right Wing Nut House praised Tim Pawlenty as a potential nominee for the GOP ticket after reading an interview with Pawlenty in Esquire magazine. The article praises Pawlenty for a number of his attributes that are deemed Presidential; pragmatism, unflappability, and an understanding of the error of the former Republican majority's ways. But the article comes off as more cheerleading for the candidate of choice rather than a side-by-side comparison. And if he is trying to sell you on Pawlenty, he should have to do a lot better than that.

Pawlenty is a conservative candidate worth considering. Governing as a conservative in a state like Minnesota is tricky business, and he's done a pretty good job. Certainly that, and the Esquire article do speak to his unflappability. But anyone running for President should be unflappable. It's a job requirement. But that does not mean that Pawlenty has more Presidential timber than anyone else in the field.
Where Palin has a laundry list of resentments that resonate with the base, Pawlenty has a record of achieving concrete results by applying conservative principles to governance. That puts him lightyears ahead of Palin in my book.

Them's fightin' words. Well, not really. But there's something to be said about being the party of 'No', when 'Yes' means collaborating with policies that you vehemently disagree with. Personally, I'm more comfortable with a Sarah Palin arguing against the health care bills than Pawlenty either compromising on some of it, or 'bringing conservative principles' to governance on the issue. 

What does the latter point even mean? Palin is bringing conservative principles to bear in a forthright manner. How is that any different than Pawlenty's approach other than perhaps the fact that her points might be a little more caustic? Caustic isn't such a bad thing right now. In the face of mushroom cloud deficit spending and a hard left liberal agenda, a golf clap is certainly not in order.

Let's not conveniently forget that she was achieving concrete results in Alaska, a fact that isn't addressed in the Pawlenty piece. Let me set the record straight - I like Palin, and I support her efforts, but I am not beholden to her or any other conservative candidate either. If Huckabee ends up being the best choice, or Romney or Palin or Pawlenty or somebody else, then that's whom I will end up endorsing. Neither am I anti-Pawlenty. I like some things that he has done. He does bring the conservative viewpoint to bear in his approach to things.

...Pawlenty represents a new kind of Republican governor - pragmatic leadership buttressed by maintaining good relationships with the legislature, and plugging in conservative policy ideas to address the problems of ordinary people.

If this be the future of Republicanism, bring it on.

Here's where I get nervous on the Pawlenty sales job.  Keeping that conservative viewpoint, in the face of a liberal onslaught can be a daunting task. Being pragmatic can often involve unpalatable compromises. Some would call it being Democrat-lite.  We already know that doesn't work electorally, or in stopping the slow leftward creep.

Keeping good relationships with the state legislature is not a conservative or liberal principle. It is a matter of operational orientation. It makes sense to have a good working relationship wherever possible. That Pawlenty has displayed an ability to do that is a credit to him. But Romney managed to do so as governor as well. Sarah Palin managed to work within a somewhat hostile GOP environment during some of her tenure as Alaska governor. She had to run against the GOP old boys club to even get there. So do Pawlenty's accomplishments in this regard outshine anyone else's? Good though they are, not really. 

Getting back to the point, of pragmatism, how much compromise was required on Pawlenty's part versus other potential GOP contenders? I don't know the answer to that, but I can't stress this enough

Pragmatism at the expense of conservatism should not be the guiding principle for conservatives, or the GOP. Ever.

That is not to say pragmatism does not have a place in politics. But there has to be some threshold beyond which things cannot pass. McCain-Feingold is a good example of bi-partisanship as the form of pragmatism, trumping core conservative principles. It took the Supreme Court to strike down parts of that legislation. The point is, working together for the sake of working together is not pragmatism - it's ideological suicide.
"Education, health care, mass transit, and other issues important at the state level were addressed to varying degrees by Pawlenty by growing government as little as possible. He also addressed budget shortfalls by generally cutting spending and not raising taxes..."
Liberals, until the Obama era, were satisfied with the slow march approach to the big government encroachment on individual liberty (and yes, government encroachment matters to Main Street America). So the 'little as possible' approach is still a poison pill, even if it is a slow-acting one.

Growing government as little as possible is no longer sufficient. By that logic, growing the annual deficit as little as possible, the latest Obama trick, is okay too. It's not. We've past the point where minimizing further damage is a way out of the mess. Shrinking government is now a must. If the biggest selling point for Pawlenty is pragmatism, then I don't want to be a part of it. 

We've tried the centrist candidate approach with McCain, we tried it with Dole and even both Bush Presidencies. None of it was a screaming success, though each of those men had their various merits. In each case we either lost by not offering a substantive alternative to Democrats or we took the slow-acting-poison-pill and piled on more debt or taxes (in the case of the two Bush Presidencies).



It's not that Pawlenty is a bad option. He's got some salient things to bring to the table. But I'd prefer to let him have the chance to impress me over time than to have Rick Moran tell me about it, all the while digging at Palin as if he were a suffering from PDS like so many on the left. Ordinarily I wouldn't try imposing my own interpretive context on Moran's assessment of Pawlenty, except that in the next post, he goes on to talk about the phoniness of Palin's 'Patriot Speak';

Palin doesn’t ordinarily have this effect on me. I can usually watch her and marvel at a speaking style that makes her so approachable, so homey. But this sort of Patriot Speak makes me cringe in embarrassment. And the idea that she hadn’t thought a “darn thing about the politics of this” made me want to puke. It’s clear that unlike Humphrey, Reagan, and many others, that she disrespects her audience, cynically manipulating them rather than showing deference to their deepest feelings. Only those already predisposed to love anything that comes out of her mouth can read the above and believe she is expressing anything genuine, or honest in those words.

Ouch. It's obviously clear where Moran stands, despite his protestation to the contrary. He cavalierly has assigned nefarious motives to Palin as if he is The Amazing Kreskin and he can read her very thoughts.   The crux of my problem with Moran's Pawlenty defense - it's more about tearing down a fellow conservative in order to pump up your own guy is not a core conservative principle and not one I'm about to embrace. It cheapens debate the way you'd expect from a liberal.

January 13, 2010

Big ripples from Massachusetts

The special election next week for the Senate seat left empty by the death of Ted Kennedy has more, far-reaching, implication than just a single Senate seat. It has national implications that will ripple throughout the nation, and ripple throughout 2010, and beyond. The Democrats, realizing this, have sent in some of their top guns to pull this race out of the fire for their party. So why aren't the Republicans all over this too?

Firstly, consider the impacts of another Republican Senator. With the current tally of Republicans at 40, and 60 votes required to stop a filibuster, the GOP needs one more Republican to be able to thwart a Democrat supermajority. The election of Scott Brown over Martha Coakley would provide that inertia dampening one extra vote that the Democrats swindled by sneaking in Al Frankenberry. It means poorly designed health care reform can be slowed if not stopped. It means cap and trade can be slowed so that real debate can take place. It's not a panacea but it might slow the bleeding on the national debt - or at least stop it from quickening even more.

But that's not the only consideration. With the GOP sweep in Virginia last November, along with the win for Governor in New Jersey, and the near upset of the Conservative Party candidate in NY23, conservatism, and to a slightly lesser extent the GOP has been on a roll. Combine that with a victory in Massachusetts of all places next week, and you have the making of true, surprising momentum. It sets the tone for the 2010 elections. For example, it gives the Republican National Committee a good position to work from for 2010 if there are any recruiting needs still outstanding.

And the momentum has a spinoff effect as well that serves to compound the prospects for the GOP in 2010 - Democrat retirements. If some House or Senate Democrats were on the fence about retirement, imagine how news of Republican Senator from Massachusetts might impact their decisions. It helps ease the incumbency advantage the Democrats possess (in theory), and it might cause the DNC to have to scramble for replacements, thereby taking them out of their 2010 game plan.

So yeah, this special election is a big deal. Special indeed. And the outcome is not a guaranteed Democratic win.



So where the heck is the RNC? After all, just as Sarah Palin pitched in for Hoffman in the NY23 Congressional race, Tim Pawlenty and Mitt Romney have both pitched for Brown in Massachusetts. Steele? Well, he's on a book tour. Even if he has a team working around the clock behind the scenes to help out Brown, the optics are terrible.

November 4, 2009

Temperature Check on GOP 2012 Candidates

Back in the spring I did an early analysis (premature, no doubt) on the likely GOP candidates for President in 2012.  I looked at the relative merits of Palin, Huckabee, Jindal, Sanford, Gingrich and Romney.  Things have, to say the least, changed.  It's about time for another premature temperature check.

Next week I'll take a look again at the possible candidates but I'd like to take this opportunity to point out some noticeable changes.  Gone will be Jindal and Sanford and Gingrich.  For various reasons, they are no longer viable candidates.  Of course that is arguable which I'll be discussing my rationale in this post today.  Added to the mix will be Tim Pawlenty and possibly Haley Barbour. Returing for re-evaluation will be Romney, Huckabee and Palin.

Why is Jindal out?  He delivered the Republican response to the first Obama State of the Union address.  It was flat and probably did a lot to torpedo his chances in 2012.  Jindal has a bright future in the GOP and in politics.  He's still young and will eventually surface as a candidate.  But I don't think it will be before 2016, and more importantly, I don't think he thinks so either.  Jindal may run in 2012, but if he does, he's a long shot at best.

Why is Sanford out? In case you missed it, an extra-marital affair in Argentina combined with a borderline missing person case when Sanford went missing for a few days to cheat on his wife.  I don't think that sort of thing will slip past the conservative base.  Unfortunately Sanford has some great conservative ideas and credentials, but he's doomed himself either to at least 2016 if he can repair his image over the long haul, or more likely, he's lost his chance permanently.

Why is Gingrich out? Scozzafava, plain and simple.  He backed not only the wrong horse, he backed a very liberal Democrat in Republican clothing despite the hue and cry from conservatives.  He stubbornly stuck to his I'm right on this attitude until Scozzafava, backed out of the race and then backed the Democrat.  That's not just egg on Newt's face, it's in his pockets, his shoes and all over his hair.  It doesn't seem on the surface like something that is as big as the right is making it out to be, but make no mistake in many quarters Newt is being pilloried for this.  Scozzafava is just the straw that broke the camel's back.  He's also hopped on board the global-warming-scare train.  He's cavorted with Hillary Clinton and in general, come to embody the watered down, beltway Republican that the party is looking to purge right now.  Centrist Republican or right wing Republican, civil war or not, no one wants a bunch of self-serving, unlistening representatives at any level of governement.  Newt, is toast.

Why is Tim Pawlenty in?  He seems serious about running.  He may fill the void vacated by Sanford and Jindal in terms of positioning.  Without Pawlenty and Palin in the race, we're left with Huckabee and Romney.  I don't think the base sees either of those as the second coming of Reagan.  Palin maybe could be. I know a lot of conservatives don't see that in her, but the question you have to ask yourself is why is CNN running polls on her viability for the Presidency and not on say Romney or Huckabee at this point?  But Pawlenty probably sees a real opening, especially if Palin is the favorite next time.

Why is Haley Barbour in? Just because he's been mentioned. I don't know if he would seriously consider running but he'd make another good alternative to have in the mix for the same reasons as Pawlenty.  But it's just speculation on him right now compared to the others who are likely candidates for a Presidential run.

Next Week - the assessments of Romney, Palin, Huckabee, Pawlenty and Barbour.
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