Let's Go Brandon's Ohio trouble

I guess when you keep changing the rules on everyone, it's kinda good to keep track of things:

Senate Series: OH - JD Vance

 Ohio needs JD Vance. The alternative is unthinkable.

🚨@JDVance1 on the trail: "I'm the law and order candidate. I'm the guy who wants safe and secure street. I think our police officers deserve it, but most of all I think American citizens whether they're rich or poor, black or white deserve to live in safe communities." #OHSen pic.twitter.com/AQjY9BfYm4

— JD Vance for U.S. Senate Press (@JDVancePress) October 6, 2022

Who is JD Vance?

JD Vance is running for Senate in Ohio.  I've heard him on the Patriot channel on Sirius XM satellite radio, I've seen him in Breitbart clips.  He seems like a solid America first conservative.  Check the link for his website.  Or here for his Twitter.  He's worth checking out, especially if you are in Ohio.

Someone sounds presidential

 President Trump's full speech from Ohio this weekend.

Midterms Matter: In Ohio 12th District, please support Troy Balderson

Ohio 12 is likely going to re-elect Troy Balderson on November 6th.  But every vote matters, just as what Troy Balderson stands for matters.  Just as solving problems matters.

Please support Troy Balderon in this election; donate, volunteer and check out his website. Most importantly, by all means vote.

Thank you.

Midterms Matter: In Ohio 1st district, please support Steve Chabot

Steve Chabot probably doesn't need my help, but he needs yours.  The Republican incumbent congressional representative is leading in the polls fairly comfortably in a Republican leaning district.  And therein lies the danger - complacency.

If you don't vote, Steve Chabot can be beaten.  And he should not be beaten.

On November 6th, please vote for Steve Chabot for congress.  In the meantime, check out his website, and support his campaign in any way you can; donate or volunteer.  

And don't forget the part about voting.

Thank you.

Clinton voter fraud in Ohio

Hillary Clinton Democrats are trying to steal Ohio from democracy using vote fraud.

Things you should know.

When Donald Trump complained about having a defective microphone during the debate, Hillary Clinton responded that Trump complaining about his mic meant he wasn't having a good debate.  Except, now the debate commission admits that there were problems with Trump's debate microphone.

The U.S. has unilaterally given up oversight of the Internet:

The US Commerce Department announced that its contract had expired with the Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers, which manages the internet's so-called "root zone."

That leaves ICANN as a self-regulating organization that will be operated by the internet's "stakeholders" -- engineers, academics, businesses, non-government and government groups.

The move is part of a decades-old plan by the US to "privatize" the internet, and backers have said it would help maintain its integrity around the world.

US and ICANN officials have said the contract had given Washington a symbolic role as overseer or the internet's "root zone" where new online domains and addresses are created.

But critics, including some US lawmakers, argued that this was a "giveaway" by Washington that could allow authoritarian regimes to seize control.

China buying Hollywood? Why would they bother? 

 Did this really happen?

Trump had seemingly pulled ahead in Florida, it appears to be a tie once again.

Ides of March primary predictions

For what it's worth I'll continue to predict primary outcomes despite my tepid results so far.  It seems my strength is not my predictive abilities (to be honest, that's my day job but I ave better tools and more data directly at my disposal) but rather interpreting events and issues through my own conservative lens.

Nevertheless here's my predictions of primary victories.

On the Democratic side with Hillary Clinton leading in most every poll, seemingly a lock in each state, I'm going to pick a couple of upsets:

Ohio - Clinton will earn a narrow win but will take 88 or more of Ohio's 160 delegates

Florida -  Clinton will win handily and take a minimum of 124 of the state's 214 delegates 

Illinois - Sanders will earn a narrow win but take only 70 of the state's total 156 delegates

North Carolina - Clinton will win handily and take 81 or more of the 121 state delegates

Missouri - Sanders will earn a narrow win but both he and Hillary will wind up with 41 delegates

Hillary Clinton will able to claim victory on the night, swallowing up a lot of ground in the delegate count (420+ of 733 by my estimation) and equally importantly eating up the clock giving Sanders still less time to mount a comeback and further to travel to get there.

On the Republican side I'm going to go out on a limb as well.  Why not?

Florida - Trump will romp and take all 99 of the winner take all delegate count.  Rubio staying in as the anti-Trump option for Florida will be regarded by future historians as an all-time classic politcal blunder, both for Rubio and for the forces aligned against Trump. (I'm using aligned tongue-in-cheek here).

Ohio - John Kasich is going to pull this one out and take all 66 delegates.  The biggest loser in this scenario has to be Ted Cruz because Kasich will carry on and ensure Trump wins the delegate race come convention time. Kasich unwittingly will be enabling Trump and crippling the Republican party by splitting the anti-Trump votes and ensuring a brokered convention that will not end will for the GOP.

Illinois - Ted Cruz will upset Trump in Illinois and win up to the state's 69 delegates. The state is winner-take-all but with a twist, so Cruz may not end up with all of the delegates.

North Carolina - Trump wins this 72 delegate state, taking perhaps 2/3 of the proportional delegates with the majority of the remainder going to Cruz.

Missouri - this is going to be a too-close-to-call between Trump and Cruz. The state is a winner-take-most delegates and if my other predictions hold true, this state with 52 delegates could matter significantly.

By my math, Trump could end up with close to 200 delegates. Kasich will win his 66. Cruz' ceiling looks to be about 150 delegates. With 358 delegates up for grabs, it'll be an interesting night for the GOP.

Predicting the Election Outcome

This is really a weird year in terms of convergence of views on the outcome of the presidential election.  Polls are all over the place - from the differences between sample skews to the differences between the state polls and national polls, the lack of consistency points to a wide range of potential outcomes.  I've never looked at an election with as much optimism and trepidation at the same time.

Ohio Senate: Josh Mandel

Sherrod Brown - bad for Ohio.

Romney Ad Blitz - Ohio Edition

Now that Clinton and Obama have finished speaking, watch for the Romney fundraising advantage to start having an impact.  As long as the campaign doesn't overspend or blow it's budget too quickly, they have a funding advantage they have to leverage from now to the finish.  They can do like Obama did in 2008, speak their message far more often than the other side.  It's a way of getting in the last word, which is very important in politics.  Here's Romney's opening for Ohio.

Helping Out John Kasich

The Ohio governor race is pretty tight.  Right now Republican John Kasich holds a 3 point lead over Democrat Ted Strickland.  John Kasich understands what matters to Ohio voters - jobs, jobs, jobs.

He talks about it here;

He also discusses integrity;



And why Ted Strickland is not the man for the job;