They just don't care

I'm sure most people outside the leftist bubble already know about this, but it bears frequent repetition:

The left just doesn't care about Americans in need of aid. Why? Because they are in a red state and not a pet cause of the left. But North Carolina is a state supposedly in play, so why not help out and get yourself some votes?  Does Kamala Harris already realizer she has lost the election and they don't even care about votes? Or is it even more sinister than that?

Former Obama senior adviser David Axelrod argued that Vice President Kamala Harris voters will be clever enough to navigate voting in the wake of the devastation from Hurricane Helene, while saying that rural Trump voters will have a harder time getting to the polls.

Axelrod made the claim during an episode of his podcast "Hacks on Tap" that aired Wednesday, predicting that liberal voters in Asheville, North Carolina – a predominantly blue area in the state – will "figure out a way to vote" more so than conservatives in the storm’s aftermath. 

Describing Asheville as a "blue dot" in the state, he continued, "Those voters in Asheville are – they’re, you know, the kind of voters that will figure out a way to vote. You know, they’re upscale, kind of liberal voters, and they’re probably going to figure out a way to vote," Axelrod said.

He continued, stating that rural conservatives may not be as resourceful in finding ways to vote following the destruction of their homes and communities.

"I’m not sure a bunch of these folks who’ve had their homes and lives destroyed elsewhere in western North Carolina – in the mountains there – are going to be as easy to wrangle for the Trump campaign," the political commentator hypothesized.

That's not just political opportunism, it's vile, sick and evil. 

Take the wins

Wherever you can get them, take the wins.  This is how you fix America.

Senate Series: NC - Ted Budd

 Ted Budd talks real issues that affect real people.

A mic drop moment on Voter ID laws

 This man blows away any argument against voter photo ID laws, and it's brilliant.

Midterms Matter: In North Carolina 13th District , please support Ted Budd

North Carolina's 13th district is a generally Republican district but you can never take other voters for granted.  Incumbent Republican Ted Budd has led in the polls, but that doesn't mean he will win, if every common sense conservative in the district expects other voters to do the lifting of showing up to vote.

Ted didn't do that and neither should you.

Please vote for Ted Budd on November 16th.

Midterms Matter: In North Carolina 2nd District, please support George Holding

Congressman George Holding is seeking re-election to represent North Carolina's 2nd district. George was first elected to office in 2012. In Congress, he has been an advocate of spending cuts. The National Journal ranked him the 2nd most conservative member of Congress. Fiscal discipline is exactly what the country needs, and George Holding is what North Carolina needs.

But he's being lied about by his opponent:

Send a message that lies don't get rewarded.  On November 6th, please vote for George Holding for congress.  In the meantime, check out his website, and support his campaign in any way you can; donate or volunteer.  

And don't forget the part about voting.

Thank you.

Ides of March primary predictions

For what it's worth I'll continue to predict primary outcomes despite my tepid results so far.  It seems my strength is not my predictive abilities (to be honest, that's my day job but I ave better tools and more data directly at my disposal) but rather interpreting events and issues through my own conservative lens.

Nevertheless here's my predictions of primary victories.

On the Democratic side with Hillary Clinton leading in most every poll, seemingly a lock in each state, I'm going to pick a couple of upsets:

Ohio - Clinton will earn a narrow win but will take 88 or more of Ohio's 160 delegates

Florida -  Clinton will win handily and take a minimum of 124 of the state's 214 delegates 

Illinois - Sanders will earn a narrow win but take only 70 of the state's total 156 delegates

North Carolina - Clinton will win handily and take 81 or more of the 121 state delegates

Missouri - Sanders will earn a narrow win but both he and Hillary will wind up with 41 delegates

Hillary Clinton will able to claim victory on the night, swallowing up a lot of ground in the delegate count (420+ of 733 by my estimation) and equally importantly eating up the clock giving Sanders still less time to mount a comeback and further to travel to get there.

On the Republican side I'm going to go out on a limb as well.  Why not?

Florida - Trump will romp and take all 99 of the winner take all delegate count.  Rubio staying in as the anti-Trump option for Florida will be regarded by future historians as an all-time classic politcal blunder, both for Rubio and for the forces aligned against Trump. (I'm using aligned tongue-in-cheek here).

Ohio - John Kasich is going to pull this one out and take all 66 delegates.  The biggest loser in this scenario has to be Ted Cruz because Kasich will carry on and ensure Trump wins the delegate race come convention time. Kasich unwittingly will be enabling Trump and crippling the Republican party by splitting the anti-Trump votes and ensuring a brokered convention that will not end will for the GOP.

Illinois - Ted Cruz will upset Trump in Illinois and win up to the state's 69 delegates. The state is winner-take-all but with a twist, so Cruz may not end up with all of the delegates.

North Carolina - Trump wins this 72 delegate state, taking perhaps 2/3 of the proportional delegates with the majority of the remainder going to Cruz.

Missouri - this is going to be a too-close-to-call between Trump and Cruz. The state is a winner-take-most delegates and if my other predictions hold true, this state with 52 delegates could matter significantly.

By my math, Trump could end up with close to 200 delegates. Kasich will win his 66. Cruz' ceiling looks to be about 150 delegates. With 358 delegates up for grabs, it'll be an interesting night for the GOP.

Thom Tillis right for North Carolina

Becauae this...


is better than this...

Kay Hagan not serious on ISIS

Why would you want to vote someone who doesn't take her job seriously North Carolina? The question is especially pertinent due to the fact that the specific part of her job I'm talking about is as a member of the Armed Services Committee and the issue at stake is ISIS. And her flimsy excuse for not attending is not convincing other members of the Armed Services Committee.

How about electing Nina Hagen instead? She'd likely be more serious than Kay Hagan.  Failing that, give Thom Tillis some consideration.

Kay Hagan, self-interest

What's wrong? There's nothing wrong with self-interest, unless it comes at the expense of honesty, and taxpayers' wallets. Kay Hagan, takes self-interest to the level of conflict of interest.

North Carolina: Kay Hagan and Showing Up

To be an effective senator, Kay Hagan, you have to actually show up.

North Carolina: Kay Hagen, dodgy

Do not make the mistake of voting for this senator again.

North Carolina: Thom Tillis

Thom Tillis makes more sense for North Carolina and for America than his Democratic opponent.  Why?  Simple math.

Want to help? Check here.

Predicting the Election Outcome

This is really a weird year in terms of convergence of views on the outcome of the presidential election.  Polls are all over the place - from the differences between sample skews to the differences between the state polls and national polls, the lack of consistency points to a wide range of potential outcomes.  I've never looked at an election with as much optimism and trepidation at the same time.

Romney Ad Blitz - North Carolina Edition

North Carolina won't make the mistake of supporting Obama again.

American spirit witnessed

I'm back home after a business trip to North Carolina.  It's a beautiful state.  I was in Cary (outside of Raleigh) and it's almost as if the city is set down in the middle of a National Park.  I've really missed posting.  I had trouble connecting to the hotel's WiFi and even if I could the two days I was there were so busy that by the time I got back to the hotel room, I didn't have the energy to write or even check the news.  But I'm back now after a busy day at the office trying to catch up.

One thing that struck me while I was in Cary was that certain businesses seem to be resistant to recessions, and apparently I'm in one of them.  The business climate there seemed vibrant and energetic.  There was no sense of America's best days being in the past.  There was no sense that the economy was never going to recover.  What I saw was American spirit and ability.  That's something that transcends politics and it was quite refreshing to see that spirit on display.  It provides hope in a far more tangible way that a mere slogan.

Seeing what I witnessed in Cary, I know that America is not a lost nation or a lost cause.  There's too much human capital, too much intellectual capital, and too much spirit for that to be the case.  There will be a comeback, of that I'm certain.