Showing posts with label McCain. Show all posts
Showing posts with label McCain. Show all posts

July 23, 2015

More views on Trump

Views on Trump versus McCain from a man who I believe is probably a libertarian, on Donald Trump. Well spoken, and reasonable I'd say. I disagree with his overly rabid anti-war views but I understand where they are coming from. Muhammad Ali was not a war hero. That aside, this is worth a watch.

What's interesting to me is that many on the right who feel the GOP needs a good shake up because they have become Establishment vs. everyone else, don't seem to appreciate Trump.  Win or lose, he may be the wake-up call the GOP needs.

October 4, 2012

Debate observations

There's so much to say about the debate last night and I don't have much free time today. Here are some high level thoughts:

Romney clearly won. Flash polls confirmed that the perception of voters watching was exactly that. Romney won by a wide margin - both the debate and the polling.

Romney won because he did what McCain would not do in 2008 - he went after Obama. He was not afraid to go on the offensive. He also backed up everything with facts and he didn't allow himself to be put on defense. He was dynamic. He had 4 minutes less than Obama of speaking time and yet liberal commentators complained he ran all over the moderator Jim Lehrer. He was just more engaging when he spoke.

Obama the media is spinning, looked like he didn't want to be there. Of course he didn't want to be there - he was getting his butt handed to him. Obama was not distracted - he was flustered, and frustrated and way out of his element on defense. Look for him to come out firing at Romney, guns blazing, at the next debate. He won't hold back. He can't afford a repeat of that first performance.

The post debate bounce for Romney may be blunted by polling sampling ratios but it will be undeniable. This will bring the race back to a dead heat over the next week. Which, means that Romney will in reality be ahead. Buut he won't stay there for long if his second debate performance is not close to his first in quality. He has set himself a high bar. The media will spin anything less as Romney reverting to form and Obama as doing the same.

Liberal pundits, who have elevated Obama to a mythical status seemed apoplectic last night. They can't believe their guy lost. They can't believe he isn't infallible. Today they will be recomposing themselves and readying for the next rouund.

Romney should, and will, be doing the same.

June 5, 2012

Is Obama playing possum?

Roadkill or just a clever trap?
No donors. Momentum has become Nomentum. Every piece of news is seemingly going against the president of late. The Wisconsin recall election is likely to break for Walker and that bodes poorly for the president too. Is the Obama campaign really this bad? Are they really this far off the rails? Quite possibly yes. Or is it possible they are playing just possum? Yeah, that also is possible.

The president won in 2008 as an underdog. His improbable defeat of Hilary Clinton in the Democratic primary practically ensured he had enough momentum to defeat senator McCain in the fall. The conventional wisdom is that while 2012 is not 2008, the president needs to recapture the spirit of 2008 with his base in order to win. The conventional wisdom is that he can't do that with his own incumbency staring in the face of his outsider/underdog/agent of change motif.

January 25, 2012

McCain trashing Romney

A mere four years ago, the McCain primary campaign put this ad out about Mitt Romney - the same candidate McCain is now inexplicably endorsing.  A pair of flip-floppers if ever there were ones.  Seriously, do not put this guy up against Obama.



Just a reminder.

January 4, 2012

He's the most electable RINO in the race.

Have the facts on the ground changed?

Look, everyone can change their minds. Things change.  What made sense long ago may not make sense today. Newt Gingrich went from supporting an individual mandate and Romneycare to realizing that was a bad idea.  Rick Perry was a Democrat before switching to being a Republican. Sticking to your guns makes sense a lot of the time but not always.  Mitt Romney should not still be defending Romneycare, yet he persists.  All that said, there has to be a rationale for the change.  John McCain is expected to endorse Mitt Romney today (or soon).

The problem is, what McCain said about Romney in 2008 was correct, and his course reversal is nothing if not stunning, and transparent.  Here's a McCain ad from 2008 attacking Romney. It raises serious doubts about Romney.

November 20, 2011

Election Countdown Timer

The 4th quarter has started - it's the last year of the first of two possible terms for President Obama.  I've added a countdown timer on my blog in the upper right.  I might keep it there for the entire countdown, or I might remove it.  The year will go fast and time is one of the important factors in the election cycle for conservatives.  The other top factors are (i) quality of the candidate (ii) money and (iii) the successful dissemination of the message.

I talked about these things extensively after McCain lost to Obama.

Here's some links to some of those important posts.

The agenda.  The roadmap. The energy needed. The unforced errors. And combating Alinsky (continued here).

August 8, 2011

Liberal Spin - It's Just Newsweek


I was listening to The Five on Fox today and liberal pundit Bob Beckel was admonishing the panel over the interpretations of Newsweek's latest cover  of Michele Bachman.  The National Organization of Women (NOW) called it sexist.  I don't think it is, but it's certainly unfair.  Beckel even said the cover wasn't the best, but he said it's not right to tar the entire media as anti-conservative because of something Newsweek did.  In principle he's right.  But everyone knows the media is primarily liberal.  In any case I wanted to point out why it can be argued that (1) it's not women but it's conservatives and (2) it's not just Newsweek, it is indeed the media.

May 23, 2011

New Category of Republicans

What can Brown do for you? Not much. He's no UPS.
Massachusetts Senator Scott Brown has decided to not endorse Paul Ryan's budget plan.  Understandably, in the liberal state of Massachusetts it's hard to be a Republican and do anything.  Especially in the seat formerly known as "Ted Kennedy's seat" and find things to actually be Republican about.  Something.  Anything?

January 2, 2011

McCain Trashed By Liberal. Surprised?

Sourpuss McCain?
It's odd that my first opinion post of the new year would be one in defense of John McCain. In general I think he's been a political disaster for the Republican party, with respect to everything McCain-Feingold to his left leaning Republicanism to the Gang of 14, to his abysmal showing in the 2008 presidential election, he's not my guy. He's really not.  But during the 2008 Republican primary campaign, is if he were a liberal mole, the liberal media still championed him as a reasonable Republican. That's because he caved on a lot of issues, but probably also because they knew he was beatable.

Nevertheless, that was 2008 and this is 2011.  McCain served his purpose as stooge for the left and now that he's taken a conservative stand on a few issues in order to in part win his primary and in part cash in on the Tea Party wave to bolster his conservative credentials, liberals are leaving him dangling in the wind.  His drift to the right isn't fooling anyone.  Well, it isn't fooling conservatives, but apparently certain liberals are buying into it.  In typical fashion, the perceived conservatism from the left is being met, at least in one case, with open hostility.

Cliff Schecter, "President of Libertas, LLC, a progressive public relations firm, the author of the 2008 bestseller The Real McCain, and a regular contributor to The Huffington Post" , had some very negative things to say, about McCain as recently as three days ago.  In his defense, Mr. Schecter it seems was always on this page about McCain. But this view I expect, will take hold much more strongly in liberal quarters over the next six years because it is convenient for them now;
...the driving force for McCain has been pure vitriol and spite. When I first pointed out this inconvenient truth in my book, that many Republicans, including some willing to go on the record, were sure McCain was motivated by demons and not decency...

So when others still saw McCain’s breaking from President Bush on taxes, healthcare, the environment and gun control in the early 2000s as a sign of “independence,” I tried to point out what I had learned: He was just doing it because he hated Bush for beating him in the primaries. And when others saw his loss to then-Senator Barack Obama and thought he’d work with Obama to display his maverickyness once Obama was sworn in, I warned that in all likelihood we’d see McCain once again do his best Judge Elihu Smails impression.

But even I couldn’t have expected how truly ridiculous he’s become...

Not supporting a bill to prevent military suicides? Really? It’s almost like this particular Scrooge got a visit from the Ghost of Christmas Crazy while napping after an especially large portion of Quaker Oats.

That is really the gist of it, and it’s at the heart of who McCain has been his entire time in Washington, whether most journalists have been willing to see it or not. He’s not a statesman, nor has he ever been. He’s a petulant bomb thrower. He’s Simon Cowell in a suit.

In fact, in a slightly alternative universe, it wouldn’t really be all that hard to imagine McCain standing on a Times Square street corner screaming at passersby that they all deserve to go to hell, or challenging random strangers to a fight to the death using sticks to determine who gets his clay marble collection.

But in this one, he was just elected to another 6-year Senate term. And that tells you a helluva lot about the predicament in which we currently find ourselves as a nation.

And he calls McCain a bomb-thrower? To quote Mr. Schecter himself, "Really?" It's ironic that the place I found this personal attack was in Al Jazeera. I bet Mr. Schecter views Guantanamo as a recruiting tool for Al Qaida. I bet he also feels his words in an Arabic news service that sees fit to show Bin Laden's rants unfiltered as being helpful to the U.S. cause.

In any case, as I've pointed out to conservatives and progressives alike, personal attacks DO NOTHING to advance a healthy debate on issues. John McCain is wrong on a lot issues (and right on a couple), but he does not deserve to be compared to a street corner maniac.  John McCain doesn't need my help defending himself., he's statesmen-like enough and I don't think he's ever bowed to a Saudi King or touched the Queen of England out of protocol.  I'm sure this blistering attack of vitriol hasn't kept John McCain from getting to sleep at night. Defending John McCain isn't the point here.  My point is that once again it is evident that liberals are bound to their Alinsky tactic of personal attack because they either,

(i) find it effective
(ii) have no logic-based argument to put forth
(iii) don't know any other way to debate

or 

(iv) they really enjoy insulting people.

Liberals argue and are purportedly striving for a greater human condition where everyone is each other's keeper and everyone looks after the greater good of humanity.  Wonderful.  It should be disconcerting for anyone who believes in that sort of calculus that many who supposedly espouse that sort of progressivist belief are some of the most hate-filled people around.  Would you trust your well-being to someone who is like that?

November 17, 2009

McCain camp: Palin account 'all fiction'

 

McCain camp: Palin account 'all fiction' - Andy Barr and Jonathan Martin - POLITICO.com

Hey, people who ran the campaign for the supposed polite elder statesman, here’s an idea; how about a simple ‘no comment’?  The McCain camp continues to get even the little relevance it still has wrong.  Way to go guys.  Now go away.

Regardless of what you might think of Palin, the McCain camp pooched his campaign royally, including the handling of Palin.  They should deal with it by shutting up and sucking it up for the Republican team.  But they continue to be self-serving, even though their time has passed.  It’s disgraceful.  Not Newsweek disgraceful, but still bad.

August 30, 2009

The litany of McCain Errors - Part 6

After the Obama election victory, I went through the list of mistakes that the campaign had made. There were plenty of mistakes; it took 5 posts to cover off the problems.

You can see them here; Part 1,Part 2, Part 3, Part 4, and Part 5.

I've come across another problem that I hadn't considered.  It's probably the most pertinent to his loss.  We've seen lots of footage of John McCain in boring, uninspiring speeches.  We never saw this campaign commercial.  It was different. It could have turned the tide.


Seriously, McCain, aside from nominating Sarah Palin, never energized Americans.  Now instead, we are stuck with President Obama.  We are stuck wondering not 'what could have been', but rather 'what could have been avoided'.


Perhaps in a weird way though, the lesser of two evils turned out to be the greater of two evils.  A McCain Presidency would have continued the slow agonzing slide into socialism, with his RINO views on so many issues.  A death of 1000 cuts as it were.  By Obama being elected, it's surely starting to serve the "I told ya so." crowd's well, "I told ya so".  But more importantly, a headlong rush towards socialism in health care, cap and trade, liberal activist judges and other things, has had an effect on the sleeping electorate.  People have been awoken to the frightening spectacle of socialism.  Obama's hubris will not only be his undoing but could serve as a revitalization of America's freedom, democracy and capitalism based roots.

Towards that end, to  paraphrase a radical community organizer, we are the hope and change we have been awaiting.

June 11, 2009

Try this at home - your political compass

If you've ever wanted to plot your political leanings, there's a website that allows you to answer a few questions in under 10 minutes and it will plot your political leaning between liberal and conservative, and between authoritarian and libertarian.

Try it out for fun. The link is HERE.

However, a word of caution. You are your own best political thermometer. I wouldn't take their results too seriously because the underlying weighting and result interpretation seems to be somewhat subjective. The reason I suspect that can be explained in the following two graphs.

Here's one for some Historical figures;

While Stalin and Hitler look about right, I'm quite sure they never actually took this quiz. Therefore, someone has mapped their positions via an analysis of their results. It might be good for comparative purposes for people, but to portray them as accurate mappings is not exactly reasonable. Furthermore, I'd like to see the scoring that put Margaret Thatcher where she is on that graph. It seems a bit heavy towards the authoritarian side.

The reason I question these is not to quibble with specific results but rather to question the political bent of the creator(s) and the methodologies of interpreting the results.

Here's an even better example;



According to the graph every Republican is to the right of every Democrat (Mike Gravel, being an odd outlier). There's no surprise there. But here's where I take issue with this scoring;

1. Every conservative seems to score as more authoritarian than their liberal counterparts. That's VERY odd considering conservatives argue for smaller government, more individual liberty and more personal responsibility. Further, looking at the politics of President Obama since coming into office, he certainly has run an interventionist, and heavy handed government. Yet by this graph we are supposed to believe not only that all Democrats are less authoritarian than all Republicans but that Obama was one of the least authoritarian-minded of the Democrats. Not credible.

2. Every Democrat candidate was to the right of center except for Kucinich? Also not credible. . Sure, they are less left than Stalin, but to the right of center? It just doesn't compute. Liberals are sure to look to something like this for validation that they really are centrist, but it doesn't work if the tool they are using has an inherent bias built into it. Which brings me back to the question of how Stalin was scored and how different is that from the Obama score.

You might be thinking I scored badly and am upset with my personal result. To the contrary, I'm almost okay with it and here it is for your consideration;

According to this I'm on par with Fred Thompson in terms of the left-right scale. I find that assessment somewhat plausible, but out of that list of candidates I would have chosen Newt Gingrich to represent me. As for the libertarian leaning, I'm sure I was on the right side of the line there, but I'd definitely have expected to be a little bit further towards the bottom of the chart. Still, it was fun to try.

May 21, 2009

Explaining my Anti-McCain outburst

While I wouldn't exactly call it an outburst, earlier I wrote that John McCain needs to step aside from the GOP. He's an impediment to the party and to conservatism in general.

I do not wish to recant that opinion. However, I think it requires a bit of explanation in light of the fact that I've expressly stated in the past, know your friends, know your enemies and pick your battles accordingly. So attacking McCain would seem to be incongruent with that position. Except that it isn't really.

No friend to conservatives

Firstly, I don't number McCain among the enemies of conservatism. However he isn't exactly numbered among the friends of conservatism either.

Here's what I said previously in an open letter to the GOP leadership;
Fifth – know your friends, know your enemies. As a corollary- pick your battles accordingly. It needs to be spelled out. Your enemies are the mainstream media. Your enemies are the weak Republicans who side with the Democrats when there needs to be a unified front – either you believe in conservative principles or you don’t. Your enemies are the Democrats. These people are working against your purpose. Be aware and act accordingly.

Conversely your friends are people to be defended and supported. Be forgiving of friends’ errors, and ruthless in taking advantage of the errors of enemies. Don’t be ashamed to be that way. The Democrats do it, and they often do it brazenly and shamelessly. Guess what, they’re winning the culture war.

For too long Republicans, conservatives have fought with one arm tied behind their back. You’ve tied it there yourselves with kow-towing to the media, with drifting away from conservative values. But you can maintain your principles and still fight. In fact, if you don’t maintain your principles, why bother fighting? And if you don’t fight for your principles, why bother having them in the first place? You have to ask yourselves if you still believe. And if you do still believe, then why aren’t you being fierce in your dedication to preserving and defending the Constitution and the free market?

If you can answer both of those questions positively – you still believe and you are still fighting then you deserve to be a leader in the party. If you can’t answer both questions positively, you need to retire. It’s that simple.

Subsequently, and much more recently, I suggested that John McCain become useful to conservatism or step aside. He's debated the right far more than the left. Call it running to the center for the general election, it's still unprincipled because he supposedly revelled in angering conservatives. That, is no friend.

My second point about my rant

He's not a true conservative and didn't deserve to be our standard-bearer. Not that he didn't make a good soldier - in Vietnam or even at times in the Senate. But he has done more harm than good to the GOP. I stand by the position that he is no friend to conservatism.

Some will still raise the argument that conservatives need every voice they can get at this point. That's not true if they are not only singing out of tune with the rest of the choir but are in fact singing an entirely different song and telling the choir they are the ones getting it wrong.

He has not defended conservatism. He has sided with liberals on numerous and substantive issues. A party that does not hold to it's principles but is fluid in it's beliefs to 'fit the times' is not a party of ideals, it is a party consumed with victory. A hollow victory isn't a victory worth winning. Given McCain's moderate stances it's easy to suggest he's simply carved out the moderate space and believes he is doing right. No problem there. However, it doesn't reflect conservatism. Given that he shared the same supposed space with Colin Powell and his daughter Meghan McCain, I'm surprised all three of them didn't vote for Obama.

If conservatives are destined to be the party of 40%, so be it if it's 40% of people who hold common values. Besides, that number is not carved in stone. The way to change that 40% to 60% is by communicating ideas and explaining your positions, clearly, effectively and with conviction. If liberals can do it with platitudes, we can do even more with substance.

Step aside McCain

Going forward, the only McCain I'd consider voting for is Robert S. McCain - the other McCain. I supported John McCain during the election, but it was one of those "if this is all we've got, okay, I'll take it I guess." types of support. To be sure, by October many Republicans were feeling buyers remorse with respect to their February decision, but most still felt it was better than the alternative.

McCain obviously didn't win, but he didn't die either. He has showed up here and there, mostly it seems for the purpose of deliberately ignoring or maligning Sarah Palin. How ignoble. He has done a disservice to her and to himself as well with his lack of support for her.

Meanwhile, his silver-spooned daughter has taken upon herself the task of trashing the party of her father. The party she toyed with not voting for in 2008. Her criticisms could be considered legitimate if they were given in a constructive light. It appears though as nothing more than harping on the party. Her motivation may be that she is secretly a liberal, or that she's disgruntled by the lack of enthusiastic support her father received. It doesn't really matter though. Her input isn't needed or wanted. She's speaking for a congregation of what - 2 or 3? Rich, out of touch young, inheritance Republicans who don't really hold conservative values that dearly and don't really understand politics or economics or national security enough to appreciate conservative principles. To her I say go away. But she is not running for election, at least not for now. She is of course. entitled to her ill-informed opinions. But her father is the real concern.

During the 2008 campaign, John McCain promised he'd 'make you famous' if you were involved in pork barrel spending. With $1.8 trillion you'd think he'd be busier outing the offenders.

During the 2008 campaign, he pointed out he was the national security guy. Given the trouble with Iran, the trouble with North Korea, the problems with China, Russia and the dangers of closing Guantanamo and the possible release of internationally damaging photos, you'd think he'd be front and center on the talk circuit pointing out what should be done, and what shouldn't be done.

Instead... *Crickets chirping*. So John McCain, where have you been? Or was that all just election bluster? Did it only apply if you won? Or are the issues just not mavericky enough? Too mavericky maybe? You didn't die - so why aren't you screaming from the mountain tops about these issues you supposedly held so dear?

Now to be fair, perhaps you have been saying those things but the press was not listening and reporting. If that's the case then the press didn't like you John, and you were what they considered not a maverick, but rather a 'useful idiot'. They never were your friends. And you let them misguide you into a soft tack in the election battle. They weren't serious on questioning Obama, and they made sure you weren't either. And now that you are no longer needed as a patsy, you have been dismissed from their A-list. They understand the GOP has moved on from you, so you serve them no purpose. They've moved on too. At least until you are willing to attack Dick Cheney or Rush Limbaugh with a well-timed backstabbing. Is the media attention really worth that betrayal Mr. McCain? Was it worth it in Sarah Palin's case?

You claim to be a man of honor, but many of your actions appear to be dishonorable, and in some cases shameful.



Maybe it's just that you have simply run out of steam. You may lack the energy to fight on after the election '08 battle. In any case, you aren't doing what you said you'd do as President. But you don't have to be President to do it. You still can work on making people famous. At least the ones you aren't too cozy with. Otherwise it appears that your political career has run its course at this point. You should think about retiring. If not, might I suggest a bit of soul searching. Conservatives didn't sit out the election to be spiteful to you - they sat out because you were too moderate. Our word for that is wishy-washy. At least our nice word for it. Democrat lite is does not taste great, and it's your own fault you didn't energize the Republican base, and you didn't win. I'm not even so sure I'm still buying that Obama tailwind phenomenon story any more. Despite it all, he was catchable. You got into a reasonably tight race before the wheels came off. But they came off because of your actions, no one else's, not even Obama's.

This is going to sound harsh to someone who served his country honorably in the military and in the Senate, but it needs to be said. With all due respect, make yourself useful to conservatives or get out of the way.

As for the rest of us, we'll look elsewhere for inspiration, leadership and conservative vision - and it doesn't even matter if it comes in the form of another conservative McCain - after all, what's in a name? It's the ideas that count.

May 7, 2009

Colin Powell - HE'S the one out of touch

Not content to have aggrieved the far left over the Iraq WMDs issue when in the Bush administration, it seems Colin Powell has set about to alienate the right as well. Perhaps Colin Powell has tried to talk himself back into the good graces of the far left, knowing that the media will treat his legacy more leniently in doing so. Perhaps he's just drifted leftward.

As Reported in the National Journal,

"The Republican Party is in deep trouble," Powell told corporate security executives at a conference in Washington sponsored by Fortify Software Inc. The party must realize that the country has changed, he said. "Americans do want to pay taxes for services," he said. "Americans are looking for more government in their life, not less."

Powell, secretary of State during the first term of former President George W. Bush, made waves last year when he came out for the Democratic presidential candidate, then-Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois. Powell described the 2008 GOP candidate, Sen. John McCain of Arizona, as "a beloved friend" but said he told him last summer that the party had developed a reputation for being mean-spirited and driven more by social conservatism than the economic problems that Americans faced.

Powell also criticized other GOP leaders, for bowing too much to the right.

He blasted radio commentator Rush Limbaugh, saying he does not believe that Limbaugh or conservative icon Ann Coulter serve the party well. He said the party lacks a "positive" spokesperson. "I think what Rush does as an entertainer diminishes the party and intrudes or inserts into our public life a kind of nastiness that we would be better to do without," Powell said.

Stop shouting? We can't be heard otherwise Mr. Powell. Meanwhile you have talked yourself into total irrelevance.

You endorsed Obama for President against a very moderate, even liberal ,Republican. Now you want to lecture the GOP on how to improve it's stature? No thanks. Nobody likes you, deal with it.

As for attacking Rush Limbaugh, it's undignified enough to not merit a response. Rush Limbaugh espouses freedom, individualism, and reason. He tries to argue point based on facts. There is no dishonor there. There is nothing to hurt the party in his ideals. What hurts the party is the twisting of his words.

May 5, 2009

Defeating MSNBC. (With the military?)

It's an ideological battle for America between conservative free market principles on one side and socialists, liberals and the media on the other side. And it's on. It's been on for decades but only the liberal side seemed to realize it. Defeating MSNBC (as a representative of the mainstream media bias) should be one of the highest priorities for conservatives. But how?

I've always been an advocate of bypassing the mainstream media. Ronald Reagan managed to do it once he became President. But he had an advantageous position to do it from at that point. It's a position the GOP no longer possesses. It's a position the GOP squandered for the better part of eight years with the Bush bunker-mentality that served to greatly embolden the liberal media to create their own tangent for every story and mold situations to suit their own storyline.

It happens to be the biggest factor the GOP needs to overcome in order to regain control of the House, Senate and White House. Of course it's not impossible. Bush was able to beat Al Gore in 2000, despite an antagonistic press. In the past I'd recommended different ways to bypass the MSM. Those approaches, including community outreach, community activism (Tea Parties), and finding alternative channels to promote and even explain conservative principles, should not be abandoned.

But looking at the shortcomings of that approach is only reasonable. In deciding how to re-assert conservatism in America every possible approach should be considered. Is there a better way to accomplish that goal? A military analogy serves this discussion well. If this were a military campaign, there would be several different strategic approaches to accomplishing a victory over a well defended position. And make no mistake, the Obama administration and the Democratic majorities will be a fiercely well defended position come election time.

An entrenched, established defender can still be overcome. If not, military engagements would typically have one outcome - a defender victory. But how does a smart general overcome this? There are many ways.

Outflanking the defender - this approach of bypassing the strong suit of the defender is essentially what I have argued in the past. In order to defeat the Democrats, the GOP must find other ways to get it's message to Americans, and do so in such a way that the message sticks. This involves using face-to-face discussions, lectures, community programs. Avoiding the heavily fortified defenders worked for Hannibal, Napoleon and Julius Caesar, and in the realm of ideas it worked for Ronald Reagan.

The links above outline more details on this approach.

Force concentration - Summarized from Wikipedia;
Traditionally it is accepted that a defending force has a 3:1 advantage over an attacker. In other words, a defending force can hold off three times its own number of attackers. However, as the defensive line increases ...in length, the advantage slips from the defender to the attacker. The longer the line to be held the thinner the defenders will be spread. With the defender having sacrificed his mobility to dig in, the attacker can choose where and when to attack...Thus, concentrating divisions and attacking at a single point generates a far greater force than is achieved by spreading... into a line and pushing forward on a broad front.

In other words, by finding the weakest link in the mainstream media and focusing all of the messaging efforts at overcoming that point, the GOP could poke a hole in the media's protection of the Democrats. In theory proving a media bias or outright fabrications, would certainly help the cause of conservatism as people would eye the MSM with some suspicion. People might look for alternative sources for their political coverage. But is that a long term win, or a temporary gain that could be large enough to sway an election? After all, you've defeated the media in that case, not the Democrats.

Well timed force concentration, focusing on the right weak point could be enough to tilt a Presidential battle in our favor.

Overwhelming the defenders - This approach is one of sheer numbers or overwhelming force. When there's just too many attackers, the defenders can't cope. The GOP isn't in a position to overwhelm the media. But conservative activists and bloggers might be. Taking an approach of dividing into 100 or more small super-cells who are responsible on a bi-daily basis coming up with talking points or new items of investigation that the media, hopefully cannot choose to ignore. The next layer down would require a layer of ordinary cells to take these issues on and carry the message further by disseminating it as much as possible. This layer would have to include some key conservative pundits, who carry more weight in legitimizing some of the issues that deserve to be made legitimate. Taking a blitzkrieg approach of finding an issue or controversy, blowing it out into the Internet and then moving on, leaves the media responsible for picking up the pieces or explaining away the controversy. By the time they've picked up the pieces, 1 or 2 more new issues should have bubbled to the surface. This keeps the media on the defensive if nothing else, and keeps it from setting or managing the agenda.

Use of stealth attacks - No. Guerrilla warfare has it's place, but being stealthy here isn't going to be of much use unless it involves converting John Warner to ideological conservatism, it isn't going to amount to much. Unless it involves discovering a direct connection between Obama and Blagojevich, it's not going to help.

The situation facing the country requires a massive push towards a conservative victory, not a series of micro-skirmishes. The only real way stealth could be useful is in conjunction with the tactic of deception. The GOP, pretending to be flat on it's back while it rebuilds it's strength for a sudden realization of power.

Exploiting the prevailing weather - this approach has a dependency in a political battle. The prevailing weather could be a headwind instead of a tailwind. Or the prevailing weather could be a non-factor. President Obama used his tailwind in 2008 to try to keep most of his weaponry holstered and thereby avoided shooting himself in the foot. If Obama's recovery plan flops, there will certainly be prevailing weather that the GOP should be able to exploit. The question is, how? The obvious way would be to keep the pressure on the attack on the problems, while concurrently offering solutions to the same problems. Don't let the defenders try to change the focus of the debate, because this one is a winning issue. Perhaps THE winning issue.

If you keep the Democrats on the defensive on an issue they can't counter with a good new approach because they used it to get into the mess. Either that, or if they can argue their way out of it, then they were asleep at the wheel when they should have been working to prevent the problem.

If they are on the defensive on a big issue, they will be back on their heels and not able to counter anything else. It opens up multiple options for the GOP, and gives them more room to maneuver.

Finding the high ground - This works well in military situations. The political equivalent would be to be up in the polls. Clearly you have to fight your way up that hill first before you can claim it. Therefore for this to even be an option for the GOP in 2010 and 2012, they have to start chipping away at the Presidential poll numbers right now.

Some might argue that the high moral ground would help in that regard. Yes and no. Yes, being above corruption and reproach will help. But being unable or unwilling to bloody your knuckles in a political punch-up will get you McCained.

Deception - No matter what battle is being fought, deception is important. Not perfidy. But misdirection, diversionary attacks, feints, and decoys are all acceptable. Clinton had a War Room. Why? Because politics is war. Knock-down, drag-out, street fighting war. In politics, if you are unwilling to fight by anything other than the Marquis of Queensbury Rules, you are going to get a knife in the stomach. You can't win by playing nice. You'll get McCained.

So how do you deceive your enemy? That's not easy. And certainly doesn't merit exposure here, it gives away too much. It would be like telling the terrorists that waterboarding is off the table. That's pulling an Obama. However, one thing is patently obvious. The less your opponent knows about your true intentions, the easier it will be to misdirect their energies. It would be profoundly well played to misdirect both the Democrats and the media.

Which tactic is best?

Thinking in terms of the long war for hearts and minds, I still think the community outreach approach has to be a big part of the tactics. Perhaps a mix of the other tactics would compliment that approach. The battlefield has yet to be fully drawn - figuring out the best approach at this point would be premature. But given the economic policies being put in place by the Democrats, the battle field map is definitely starting to be filled in. So somebody had better be thinking about this stuff already.

March 25, 2009

The Creep Factor - Democrats

When it comes to politics, there's something that describes one possible way that things change called the creep factor. You might have thought, based on the title that this post was going to be about Rahm Emmanuel. In a way you would be right. The creep factor I'm referring to, is the idea that the unhealthy specter of socialism in America can be advanced in many way, one of which involves the slow creep of incremental progress.

This is something that involves taking control of the media over time so that you have the biggest and most megaphones to blast your message over top of, and eventually to the exclusion of a conservative counterpart. It involves taking over the educational institutions so that you can teach the young your doctrines. It involves implementing things like Card Check, and the Fairness Doctrine and naturalizing illegal immigrants. These are big things but they are developed and achieved over time, in small incremental steps. For example, the current spate of everything on the table - Fairness, Card Check, Health Care, etc. represents an all topics approach to the achieving of a socialist agenda. But is it really, what the Obama administration is going after?

First Rahm's take on how to advance the 'cause';



and Obama's take;



Do they expect to win every battle because of the crisis situation? Probably not, but if they put 7 agenda items on the table and 6 of them fail, they still get one victory. It's a creep further down the path towards socialism. Republicans can claim 6 of 7 victories in defeating the other ideas, but at the end of the score sheet, there's 0 steps towards free market capitalism and individual liberty and 1 step towards something more socialist. I'm not sure how you keep score, but in my books those 6 victories amount to a loss.

Many conservatives, especially when it comes to voting, tend to swing for the fences. If it's not a home run, then I'm not interested. You saw that in a depressed turnout for John McCain in 2008. Yes, he didn't hold enough conservative values to energize conservatives, consequently he had no chance of winning. Granted at best he would have been a mediocre President from a conservative viewpoint, but did anyone really want the alternative they got?

The point is the return towards conservatism in the United States will be a slow road. The gains made between 1994 and 2004 were unfortunately wasted. President Bush swung for the fences on Social Security reform, and struck out. Conservatives abandoned their principles in favor of pork and re-election. Things, just went awry.

People on the right though often expect that instant success when in reality, smaller gains are probably the better way to go. That is not to suggest abandoning our principles to achieve power. Far from it. Abandoning the principles is the last thing conservatives need to do. They represent the ideals we need to work towards.

However, we need to look at making gains where we can, and take the long view. The goal is conservatism, but the path there is made up of base hit singles, not home runs. Supreme Court Chief Justice Roberts and Justice Alito were singles. As conservatives we should be aware that pitching and fundamentals win ball games, not flash, not long balls.

There are things working in favor of conservatives in this regard, we do tend to play well on defense. If we can prevent 6 of the 7 (that's a made up number by the way, it's probably 67 items on the Obama wish list) things from happening, we can always make up that deficit in our half of the inning (come 2012).

And an even bigger factor in our favor is that, despite the potential slow march approach socialist often take, President Obama may in fact be swinging for the fences himself (instead of taking the slow creep approach), and in that case, the possibility of a strikeout is very, very real. And even if he's trying to propose 6 things so he can get 1 through, we can still work towards winning things back starting in 2010. I for one am not one to believe that once a program is put in place it irrefutably cannot be undone. True, it ain't easy, but let's just look at it in terms of baby steps.

Finally, I apologize for mixing in a baseball metaphor with a creeping doom of socialism metaphor. That's what happens when you blog in stream-of-consciousness mode.

March 9, 2009

A lesson in moderation

After touring with Senator John McCain and endorsing him for President during the 2008 campaign, Senator Joe Lieberman has turned back to his Democratic roots and started singing the praises of President Obama. No knock against Senator Lieberman - he's a Democrat so it's not surprising, and he's allowed to change his thinking just as any other Senator or any other American on any issue.

But it signals another lesson for those who believe in the moderates mean Big Tent conservatism theology. Big Tent conservatism never meant watering down your beliefs to grow the tent, it meant expanding those who truly believe in the basic principles of conservatism. In other words, reach out, explain, educate and get people to realize the benefits of conservatism. By doing so the tent will grow on its own.

Joe Lieberman is simply doing, whether he believes what he is saying about the President or not, what is necessary to save his political skin, and his political weight. Without folding like a cheap suit, Senator Lieberman would have no say in the Democratic caucus, no power, no real offerings to bring back to his constituency explaining why electing him over Ted Lamont in the last Senate election was a good idea.

Here's the crux of the lesson; politicians will most often do what is politically expedient. This is especially true of weak Republicans (RINOs) like Senator Arlen Specter. Thus they cannot be counted on to vote the conservative line. They can be counted on to waver or cave when it comes to pork or when it comes to siding with liberals. Do we really need that in the Republican party? After all the support deserted the President and Congressmen and Senators when they started to act like classic spending liberals. So why do we need more of that in the party's future? It will mean more electoral defeat because it truly is Democrat-light versus Democrat or else it's two very alternative visions for America - liberal versus conservative. And if you can't stand the heat of that fire-fight then you don't belong in politics. If you don't believe in your principles how can you stand up for them?

As a parting shot at those who would argue that the future is moderation, compromise is not a principle, it's a negotiating tactic, nothing more.

February 28, 2009

Great CPAC 2009 Quotes

A few highlights from this weeks CPAC Convention, here's some great quotes;

“I am a recovering McCain surrogate.” Michael C. Burgess.

“America’s challenges are different from year to year, but our defining principles remain the same. Conservatives don’t enter each new political era trying to figure out what we believe.” Mitt Romney.

"Margaret Thatcher used to say it well. She said, 'First you win the argument, then you win the vote.'" Mike Pence.

"If we get our act together, he is a one-termer." Josh Bolton.

January 8, 2009

Race, Gender & Religion

Back during the 2008 election cycle I visited a lot of websites looking at different polling results, and models to predict electoral college outcomes. A lot of sites offered the option to flip states red/blue or neutral and see how it impacted electoral college totals.

But one site offered a way to adjust voter turnout and voter split by race, gender and religious affiliation. By playing with those breakdowns on a national level, it would flip states appropriately and calculate the resulting electoral college totals. It was (is) a great toy for experimentation. You can check out the full demographic options here. Credit to http://www.boston.com/ for the tool.

I've included a sample that relates to Hispanics, a topic I've discussed previously.



Being a numbers guy, and a database marketing guy, I'd really love to see the algorithms behind the summary totals. But being a marketing guy, I see the value in having RNC members, conservatives, the GOP in general see the power of those shifts, in small scales and what it means to the electoral college. I'd encourage you to go there and give it a try, just so you can see what I'm talking about.
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