November 3, 2011

Gain on Cain

Three way battle?
After the latest debate I said Newt Gingrich won, after calling the previous debate for Cain.  In the latest Rasmussen report it looks like Romney and Gingrich have made a gain on Cain.  Or perhaps more accurately, Gingrich is moving up, and Cain may have peaked and is now returning to the pack.

Has it turned into a three way battle?  Or is this the latest in a series of streaks to the top followed by a fall back to nowhere?  Is Gingrich the latest flavor of the week?

Importantly, Rasmussen also points out that no one else reaches double digits.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely GOP Primary voters shows Cain with 26% of the vote over former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney’s 23%. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich draws 14% support, with no other GOP contender reaching double-digits.
I also recently noted that Gingrich might be the least objectionable Republican.  The Rasmussen poll seems to bear out my point on who won that debate.  It doesn't bear out my point about the least objectionable option for Republicans.  However, it may mean that every not-Romney candidate may indeed get a turn in the lead, and it just might be Newt Gingrich's turn to take a run at the lead.

With Cain facing allegations of sexual harassment, he might be sunk, or it might just be a blip.  If he can weather the charges it might just be a three man race.  Everyone else who had a shot of some kind - Perry, Trump, and Bachmann come to mind, seem to have past their zenith.  Gingrich on the other hand as the slow and steady climber may turn out to be the real contender to face Romney.

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