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| Not a crystal ball. |
Early on in the debates when everyone was declaring Perry or Romney the winner, I called it for Cain. He started rising in the polls shortly afterwards. Later on when people were calling the debate for Cain or Romney, I called it for Gingrich. Gingrich has been rising in the polls ever since. The latest debate people are declaring for Gingrich, but I think both he and Romney were co-winners. We'll soon see if I was correct again.
[I'd post the links to my observations but it's late and I'm tired, so just trust me - or look up my previous posts].
I'd like to say I'm good at predicting winners but it's not the case. What I think I've been doing well is watching the debates dispassionately and determining the winners based on merit. That's not to say I'm not passionate about the debates, I am. But you have to be dispassionate to get the winners and losers right. The latest Marist poll looks like Gingrich has moved to the top tier with a flat Romney and a possible fading Cain (although that has more to do with accusations against him than debate performance).
