July 12, 2024

The panic hasn't stopped and it's going to get wild

It's popcorn time folks. Democrats panic continues and it's fun to watch. I'm not a schadenfreude type of person, but after the absolute lock the left/Democrats have had on the narrative for decades, it is good to see a large crack form and a division in that narrative, endangering its ability to continue.


What's interesting about how it's shaking out is that the media and the elites are primarily the ones turning on Let's Go Brandon while the far left progressives are the ones rallying.  I can think of only one reason that's happening; the media and the elites want to win and retain their grip on power, while the far left are being their typical team-player selves. They of course would pivot and support Harris or whomever steps into Let's Go Brandon's spot because they only know one thing; they must support the team. That's how the far left works, team first, individual second.

Right now, the team for them is still Let's Go Brandon so they are starting to rally around him.  Of course that's not a universal truth (The Young Turks for example have turned hard) but it seems to be at least somewhat correct. The point is, they haven't got the memo that the team is considering releasing their 'star' player.

As of this writing, it's 38 days (5 and a half weeks) until the Democratic National Convention; that's a long time in politics. But as of today, Let's Go Brandon has already lasted 2 weeks. He has lasted a little over 25% of the way until he locks up the nomination, I think he might last.

The panic itself has not faded as much as I would have expected.  The debate did a number on a lot of people on the left who had no clue that Let's Go Brandon was such a cognitive mess. To quote Bill Burr, they just didn't get the information (thanks to the protective media bubble).  I understand that Let's Go Brandon had to step up in order to quell the immediate panic, But the effort was a train wreck. The Stephanopoulos (Elvis comeback special) interview made things worse, as did his accidental introduction of Zelensky at NATO as President Putin and his accidental mention of Donald Trump as his VP. It has been abysmal performance after abysmal performance that we on the right almost fully expected because we have been seeing it for years already.  We weren't shocked, and now I guess we should not be shocked at the left's continued shock.

So while I never expected Let's Go Brandon to win in 2024 (possible cheating aside), I thought it made a lot of sense for him to lay low.  It's worked for him for at least as far back as his 2020 presidential campaign when they sequestered him into his basement. Let the handlers handle it. Oh sure there would be blowback about that on the left, but it would diminish over the course of the summer. When you take a look at the calendar, there's a lot of things to hide behind.

First there's the Republican National Convention where president Trump will be forced to take center stage; no doubt he likes that but he's shrewd enough to let Let's Go Brandon continue shooting himself in the foot as much at the forefront of the news cycle as possible.  Trump will announce his VP pick and no matter who he picks, some conservatives will be disappointed. That will take some heat off Let's Go Brandon as the GOP convention dominates the news cycle. The media may even rediscover it's hatred for Trump and move on to the next shiny object permanently. Maybe not, that depends on the polls. Either way there's a least a small respite for Let's Go Brandon starting next week.

Then there's the Olympics, one week after the GOP convention. The week in between will be full of media poll watching to see if Trump hurt or helped his chances of winning. Once the Olympics kick in, there's another two weeks during which people are on vacation and/or focused on non-political matters.  Even the media may be focused on the Olympic stories to a sizable degree.

One week after that, the Democratic National Convention. Laying low to get those locked in delegates is not a cakewalk for Let's Go Brandon, but the next five to six weeks are going to be a hell of a lot easier for Brandon than the last two weeks. It won't be easy but I think Let's Go Brandon will be the presumptive nominee by the convention. 

At that point the Democrats have two options; back Let's Go Brandon fully or convince him to step aside and have Kamala Harris become the nominee and inherit not only his nomination but also all the campaign contributions. The former option they probably see as playing music on the deck as the Titanic sinks. The latter they likely see as their best option. 

Assuming Let's Go Brandon cooperates (and there's no way to assume that's even as good as a 50/50 shot at this point), this is where it gets wild.

Who would Kamala Harris pick as HER VP nominee? Gavin Newsome? Gretchen Whitmer? Sherrod Brown?  This could be the real DNC ploy where these people's names are being floated out there for consideration; not as the presidential nominee, but as the VP nominee.  

I don't believe the VP choice matters enough to swing the election but it does make Trumps VP pick all the more important for the VP debate, should one occur. For my money that makes Vivek Ramaswamy or Tulsi Gabbard the best choice as they could debate a Gavin Newsome and win, or a Gretchen Whitmer and be devastatingly victorious. But at this point, I think we are only discussing shades of a Trump electoral college and national vote total victory.

That's not to say relax and begin celebrating, after the convention conservatives must bear down and focus on making this victory one that cannot be snatched away, one that enables Trump to have a GOP congress and senate and one that gives him a clear, inarguable mandate to drain the swamp.

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