October 30, 2022

Updated Generic Congressional ballot (me vs RCP)

Here's my latest take on the RCP numbers for the generic congressional ballot.  If you strip out Trafalgar for being a REpblican leaning firm, the numbers actually get better for the GOP than they appear below, rising to a Republican advantage of +7.6%.  But since that is being selectively biased for a better result, let's stick with the below chart as my latest view:

Being cautiously optimistic as I am, I am getting close to conceding that this may indeed be a red wave election.  Not quite yet, but I am cautiously optmistic it just could be.

No comments:

Post a Comment

Disagreement is always welcome. Please remain civil. Vulgar or disrespectful comments towards anyone will be removed.

Related Posts Plugin for WordPress, Blogger...

Share This