Here's my latest take on the RCP numbers for the generic congressional ballot. If you strip out Trafalgar for being a REpblican leaning firm, the numbers actually get better for the GOP than they appear below, rising to a Republican advantage of +7.6%. But since that is being selectively biased for a better result, let's stick with the below chart as my latest view:
Being cautiously optimistic as I am, I am getting close to conceding that this may indeed be a red wave election. Not quite yet, but I am cautiously optmistic it just could be.
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