My thinking is that he's the obvious next GOP nominee and the Democrats are so far from being able to put together an sensible and effective platform it might not matter who their nominee is. My gut says it will be Gavin Newsom, and despite his smarminess and clear California failures, he is an effective speaker. That said if JD Vance is prepared, I think he can both debate and charm Newsom of the debate stage. Here's another take:
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