Here's how you know that the RealClearPolitics average of polls is well, useless (or garbage, if you prefer). If all their averages are correct, this would be the result:
Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com
But by using their polls, and filtering as I have in the past, for Likely Voter polls, acceptable margin of error polls, trusted pollsters (according to FiveThirtyEight's ranking of pollsters), sample size and recency - as well as now adjusting for the pollster biases as per FiveThirtyEight, here's what it looks like to me:
Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com
The average of polls are garbage, probably because most of the polls themselves are flawed in one way or another. I would spend some time drilling down on it, but it is pointless at the moment - in a month or so, the polls will tighten. If Biden is very close in Texas and Georgia and +6 in Pennsylvania and as high as +15 in some polls in battleground states, then I'm an artichoke.
Remember, these pollsters had Hillary Clinton winning a similar landslide in 2016.
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